You are not calling 2746 to win 7867. You are calling 2746 to win 5121, which is the size of the pot once it reaches you.
There is really no reason to use anything other than Pokerstove here. Its not an ICM heavy situation as you don't bust when you lose. You are getting slightly worse than 2/1 (1.86/1) so you need 35% equity vs his shoving range to call.
Key in some ranges and see how certain hands fair vs that range. I would start with a 30% range and go up in 10% increments. Look for 35% equity or better and that will show you what you should be calling with. I would even take a close spot here as the benefits of busting him outweigh the negatives of taking a small hit to your stack.
Sorry was rather battered when i originallly posted in fb group and c+p'd over here when people were a little unsure. Its clearly not an ICM heavy situation, but I and others that posted on fb felt we had to make considerations given everyone elses stack sizes. With us being 3/5, two big stacks giving away any chips here can really hamper us. Is there a poker phrase coined for ICM Factor? So Doobs would say Heavy ICM factor, whereas I would say, Small ICM factor. Would this make sense to people?
Hand 0 is his range- 30% of hands, not top 30, but a range he might shove.
Hand 1 is a variety of calling ranges. So as long as he shoves 30% of hands, we can call with virtually atc, as we knew before, getting virtually 2/1. This is what i was getting at, and why i don't think its a lolstove spot as people have indicated. I wanted to know
is he shoving top 30%? What do we think someone who has been extremely nitty so far is shoving? Has this changed? What do people expect from randoms?
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
12,042,843 games 5.154 secs 2,336,601 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 61.506% 60.27% 01.24% 7258521 148777.50 { 22+, A2s+, K8s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, A2o+, K9o+, QTo+, JTo }
Hand 1: 38.494% 37.26% 01.24% 4487215 148778.50 { random }
---
8,606,765 games 3.679 secs 2,339,430 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 59.923% 58.54% 01.38% 5038672 118916.00 { 22+, A2s+, K8s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, A2o+, K9o+, QTo+, JTo }
Hand 1: 40.077% 38.70% 01.38% 3330677 118921.00 { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T2s+, 92s+, 82s+, 72s+, 62s+, 52s+, 42s+, 32s, A2o+, K2o+, Q2o+, J2o+, T3o+, 95o+, 85o+, 75o+, 64o+, 54o }
---
5,231,224 games 2.250 secs 2,324,988 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 57.709% 56.09% 01.63% 2934049 85045.00 { 22+, A2s+, K8s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, A2o+, K9o+, QTo+, JTo }
Hand 1: 42.291% 40.67% 01.63% 2127610 85051.00 { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T2s+, 94s+, 84s+, 74s+, 64s+, 54s, A2o+, K2o+, Q4o+, J6o+, T7o+, 97o+, 86o+, 76o }
---
21,571,885 games 9.342 secs 2,309,129 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 56.275% 54.45% 01.82% 11746468 393241.00 { 22+, A2s+, K8s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, A2o+, K9o+, QTo+, JTo }
Hand 1: 43.726% 41.90% 01.82% 9039498 393250.00 { 33+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J3s+, T5s+, 95s+, 85s+, 75s+, 65s, A2o+, K4o+, Q6o+, J7o+, T7o+, 98o, 87o }
---
28,928,435 games 12.415 secs 2,330,119 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 54.518% 52.44% 02.08% 15168992 602465.50 { 22+, A2s+, K8s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, A2o+, K9o+, QTo+, JTo }
Hand 1: 45.482% 43.40% 02.08% 12555072 602472.00 { 44+, A2s+, K2s+, Q4s+, J6s+, T6s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, A2o+, K6o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+, 98o }
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