It is day 3 at the GUKPT. I started the day with 600k chips and I lost a lot of chips early, so have spent much of the day on around 300k. Marc is now to my right, but that has meant that I seem to have spent most of the day facing either a raise or a 3 bet before it gets to me. This and a lot of bad hands have meant I was unable to find many decent spots before winning a race with 99 vs AJ off (open shove for 260K, blinds 8k/16k) and a SB vs BB coup (K6 open shoved vs AT when on 185K at 10K/20K). I also had an AQ vs AT split pot all in pre between them and clearly lost/spewed a few chips.
I don't think villian will have seen any more of my hands. I should have appeared pretty tight, barring the K6 hand.
I now have 550k, and it is only a couple of hands after the K6 vs AT coup. Andy Efstathiou is sat on my left crippled on just over 20K. There are 11 players left. Marc has recently left the table with his huge stack (2m or so) and everyone left at the table has less than 1m. I think we were 6 handed. As we are all short we aren't playing the streets, and are playing a lot more hands than table big stack next door.
Villian is Antonio Millan. He has about 100k more than me. I am reasonably sure he is Spanish and I have previously googled and hendon mobbed him without any obvious success other than chip counts from this tournament (I didn't spend a lot of time on google, and probably didn't go past page 1e). He was on the next table to me earlier and seemed to love the game and was clearly excited when talking about his hands (presumably) at the bar to his friend, and was clearly excited when he won big pots.
Antonio has a small table on his right. On this table he has a paper copy of the payouts for the tournament. He has looked been looking at it frequently, I mean really frequently.
He likes his tapis button. His standard 3 bet size over a min open to 40K appears to be all in 600K. He calls in the BB frequently and he appears to be calling 3 bets fairly wide, and doesn't fold easily.
He is UTG and limps 20K. I am UTG+1 and look down at

. I raise to 100K, which I am reasonably sure is too much, but at the time I assumed would let every one know I wasn't folding, and I didn't want to play 3 streets vs Antonio with a vulnerable hand. I fully intended to call off my 25 BBs or so if anybody shoved on me when I raised. I accept this raise size looks a bit spewy.
Everyone folds including Andy Efstathiou on my left with his 20K. Antonio thinks for a while, looks at his table of payouts yet again, waits a few seconds and says all in.
A few years ago, through a trawl through my database I concluded that the vast majority of limp reraises are pretty much always AK, AA, KK, or QQ with a handful of other pairs and spew. I have tended to assume over the years that this assumption still holds for bad or inexperienced players.
I folded. Is my thinking right?
For info, the payout piece of paper he is reading says:
1st – £103,240
2nd – £68,480
3rd – £44,660
4th – £27,000
5th – £20,250
6th – £16,670
7th – £13,100
8th – £9,530
9th – £7,150
10th – £5,560
11th – £4,470
Edit: I am reasonably certain he hasn't limp jammed before. I can't recall many limps either, I think he was usually opening with a raise.