I checkraise this flop sometimes as villain has to have specifically
,
or JJ to have us in rough shape having opened UTG. The problem I guess is that we rep a lot of draws, especially given that our history has bluffs in it. But we can get him to fold some hands and we have 12 outs when he jams.
The more I look at it, the less I like this ^^ at 4am. Earlier in the night it might work more often/be more beneficial for image reasons.
Call is fine.
Sometimes I lead the turn to get value from
combos like AJ, AA, etc. A lot of these hands unlikely to raise, or bet when checked to. This can prevent some disasters like getting zero streets of value when the river comes a fourth club or a fourth straight card, or being in a situation where our hand looks quite faceup when we check the flush card and bet the river. I think it looks a little bluffier if we bet the turn as well, not many live players would expect someone to donk into them when they turn a big hand, they expect you to do exactly what you've done.
The river is quite interesting. He's not supposed to have a flush, but he can certainly have a QUEEN which would raise for value. He can also have some bluffs if he thinks you have a fold in you, because he has a queen way more often than you do, and he can use clubs to get you to fold hands he can't beat. I wouldn't expect him to check back KQ on the turn. I wouldn't expect him to check back a flush on the turn but he's more likely to check a flush than a straight, so he has a hand we can beat a lot but he doesn't very often have a hand we can get another value bet from.
In summary, I really can't see him calling with a worse hand so I just call and see his cards and expect to win the pot a high % of the time.
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