MC Nut Turn Card

[TL900]

Monte Carlo Day 2, both myself and villian (Pleno1) have been having a pretty tough time of it start of day 2 and he has just lost a pretty big pot where he tried to bruff a guy.

Pads 45k @ 8/1600/200 I just cover got like 50k

Pads opens button to 3200 i peel  from the bb seems pretty standard.

  i check/call 2900

Turn  I check planning to c/jam to my surprise Pads jams for 38k into ~14k

Hero?

What range do we assign Pads? I'm trying to stove the hand but I'm not exactly sure of his entire range in this spot

[outragous76]

3b or fold pre

[TL900]

3b or fold pre

peeling is by far the best/standard play

[outragous76]

3b or fold pre

peeling is by far the best/standard play

playing 28bb with an oversized ante I disagree

you have a semi nutted hand and no idea how to play it oop vs a competant villain post flop

[TL900]

3b or fold pre

peeling is by far the best/standard play

playing 28bb with an oversized ante I disagree

you have a semi nutted hand and no idea how to play it oop vs a competant villain post flop

rofl

[pleno1]

Agree anything but flatting pre would be bad, not that it doesn't play ok in a 3bet pot jut calling is far superior.

But guess Tom doesn't want advice on pre flop.

[TL900]

you are gona just 4b rip so wide over my 3b here and with a hand like 97s it just seems stupid, we have no blockers and it plays great post

[outragous76]

you are gona just 4b rip so wide over my 3b here and with a hand like 97s it just seems stupid, we have no blockers and it plays great post

we disagree.  oop vs a totally undefined range and a competant player with 26bbs (effective) back you are losing this pot more than winning it

[pleno1]

you are gona just 4b rip so wide over my 3b here and with a hand like 97s it just seems stupid, we have no blockers and it plays great post

I was confirming that I agreed with flatting btw. I don't think it's v close, just in case you misunderstood.



@guy winning more than losing doesn't matter so much #wegotaprice is 1600 to win 200x9 + 1600 + 800 + 3200 =7600 we don't een need to win close to 50% of the time for this to be close to a profitable peel.

[WotRTheChances]

Guess I just sigh fold here. I mean we're never in awful shape... and we're deffo ahead 25-40% of the time imo (obv thats a big spread, but wtf is his range).

Think I fold a pretty decent % pre here, never 3-bet, Pleno is someone i'd probably be less inclined to peel vs 28bb eff, 35 i'd be loving life and flicking in the call, but i'm sure it's still fine.

[pleno1]

Guess I just sigh fold here. I mean we're never in awful shape... and we're deffo ahead 25-40% of the time imo (obv thats a big spread, but wtf is his range).

Think I fold a pretty decent % pre here, never 3-bet, Pleno is someone i'd probably be less inclined to peel vs 28bb eff, 35 i'd be loving life and flicking in the call, but i'm sure it's still fine.

i think id call 97s and fold 64s.

[mulhuzz]

pleno just always has *it* here.

[cambridgealex]

peeling pre only option imo.

[Honeybadger]

Ignoring Pleno's range for the time being... what is your range for getting to the turn?

[The Camel]

Guess I just sigh fold here. I mean we're never in awful shape... and we're deffo ahead 25-40% of the time imo (obv thats a big spread, but wtf is his range).

Think I fold a pretty decent % pre here, never 3-bet, Pleno is someone i'd probably be less inclined to peel vs 28bb eff, 35 i'd be loving life and flicking in the call, but i'm sure it's still fine.

If you think you're ahead 25-40% of the time, it's an absurdly easy call, isn't it?