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Poker Hand Analysis
Pre-flop dilemma
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Topic: Pre-flop dilemma (Read 2797 times)
Tal
Hero Member
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Posts: 24288
"He's always at it!"
Pre-flop dilemma
«
on:
June 21, 2013, 06:05:04 PM »
$340 six max comp at
Caesar's Palace
(the apostrophe is mine, not theirs). We are six handed. First level (50/100), average stack is about 25k starting stack. The people involved in this hand are:
Dramatis personae
Seat one: Tal, hero to the people, purveyor of fine banter, philosopher, friend and occasional curator of betting discs. We have been the
sickest mofo in the room
most active player at the table, probably playing seven of the dozen or so hands to this point and generally with a raise.
Seat three: French chap, about 30. He dresses like a poker player, has opened a couple of times to sensible (≤300) amounts and has yet to 3bet.
Seat four (button): smaller, Parisian chap. 35ish. Riffles competently but not showing a particular level of comfort at the table. He's been the tightest player at the table thus far, but tiny sample size.
Seat six (BB) is a portly, middle aged American chap, shrouded in a Hawaiian shirt that would service well as shelter for a family on a desert island, both because of its size and how easy it would be to see from a passing 'plane. He has been quite loose and although he is a little awkward when handling his chips (shaky hands every time), I'd nevertheless say he's played a fair bit before; more likely he just gets a bit nervy early doors in a comp.
That out of the way, I'll get to the hand...
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
titaniumbean
Hero Member
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Posts: 10018
Equity means nothing.
Re: Pre-flop dilemma
«
Reply #1 on:
June 21, 2013, 06:12:05 PM »
i've never yet read a pha which didn't manage to get to the hh itself in the first post.
marv wp.
<3 apostro'phes
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KarmaDope
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Posts: 9281
Re: Pre-flop dilemma
«
Reply #2 on:
June 21, 2013, 06:13:22 PM »
Based on descriptions I do a shove for all of my betting discs with my value hands. They are Frenchies - they'll call with 5 high
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pleno1
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Posts: 18912
Re: Pre-flop dilemma
«
Reply #3 on:
June 21, 2013, 06:14:22 PM »
We gonna need full footwear and posture details.
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Quote from: TightEnd on December 16, 2013, 12:59:59 AM
Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
Tal
Hero Member
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Posts: 24288
"He's always at it!"
Re: Pre-flop dilemma
«
Reply #4 on:
June 21, 2013, 06:15:43 PM »
We look down at
and open UTG to 225, playing 27,600.
Seat 2 folds.
Seat 3 raises to 600, verbalising it as he throws in a 500 and a 100 chip, in a manner of no discernible difference to how he has thrown in chips before.
Seat 4 calls quickly.
Seat 5 folds.
Seat 6 thinks for a while, counts out calling chips, thinks some more and then calls.
We decide this is a good spot to 4bet and make it 2300 to go.
Seat 3 passes quickly, as does seat 4, so we lose both Monsieurs.
Seat 6, our American neighbour, dwells (we can't see much of his facial expressions past the dealer, but his posture has largely remained unchanged) and 5bets to 6,000. He started with about 25k.
My questions follow...
(And yes, pleno, the posture comment was for you)
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
Longy
Professional Hotel Locator.
Learning Centre Group
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Go Ducks!
Re: Pre-flop dilemma
«
Reply #5 on:
June 21, 2013, 06:19:23 PM »
In before questions, to give the reader a sense of the pauses in Tal's prose.
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Tal
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"He's always at it!"
Re: Pre-flop dilemma
«
Reply #6 on:
June 21, 2013, 06:22:07 PM »
I have 4 options, so far as I can see:
A) Fold
B) Call in position
C) Raise to 11k and reassess if he jams
D) 6bet jam
I discounted B quickly, as I don't see any point in calling, when I have repped so much strength so far. Why would AA or KK just flat, when this guy is five betting me?
I didn't give C much thought tbh but maybe I should consider it.
The time I took to make a decision was largely spent between A and D.
I figured the only way he could have a monster is if he didn't mind playing a four way pot OOP, he didn't want to get knocked out early or he thought I'd likely four bet.
Alternatively, AK fits the bill.
I'm really not sure what I should have done. Was happy to pull the trigger but elected it was more likely that something was up so folded. I suspect the shove was better, but I welcome criticism on this.
Off you go then.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
titaniumbean
Hero Member
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Equity means nothing.
Re: Pre-flop dilemma
«
Reply #7 on:
June 21, 2013, 06:30:39 PM »
why is this a good spot to 4bet?
why is this hand a good hand to 4bet with?
how will you continue to any action from anyone once you've 4bet, how many froppies do we like to see that don't contain a 9.
how super dooper excited are we to get this hand in preflops for 27 thousand of the betting discs?
where any of them wearing a scarf?
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corkeye
Sr. Member
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Re: Pre-flop dilemma
«
Reply #8 on:
June 21, 2013, 06:36:04 PM »
I call the 3b pre. We can probably set mine this deep. It feels too weak to fold to a with 99.4betting you're only getting action from the top of his range, which buries you. What was your motivation to 4bet?
As played pass immediately.
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pleno1
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Posts: 18912
Re: Pre-flop dilemma
«
Reply #9 on:
June 21, 2013, 06:36:53 PM »
Stopped reading after first line.
You are 300bbs deep why are you min raising?
We should be opening to at least 3x, 4x would be fine min raising is jut too small.
I'd rather have a limping and raising range than min raising at this point.
It is absolutely not a good spot to 4bet.
What is the reason of a bet?
1) for value - thus happy to go with out hand, 270bbs deep what are we hoping for 88?
2) as a bluff - we don't need to use this hand as a b,if or even have a buffing range if we are going to bluffid rather do it with aq that would fold to another raise, be ahead of their range whilt still being able to improve. 99 is too static and flops horribly with aq we can out kick people and outdraw them later whilst representing but flushes etc. aqhh would've even more appropriate.
Reasons for calling
1- the other guys likely have pocket pairs under 99 meaning this deep we can legitimately stack any of them given the chance of set over set.
2- the 3bettor should have a tight range as its small blinds and small buy in tournament (ranges generally tighter and more passive) thus enhancing our implied odds, but in this case it doesn't matter as we're deep enough to profitably set mine vs anybody
3- we don't have any reverse implied odds. If we get staked 1 in a million on k92 that's ok but generally were gonna know where we stand most of the time.
4- reverse implied odds 2- sp,etimes when you call 88-1010 you call 1 or 2 cubes however this will go 4 way most likely the meaning we can expose a no set no bet strategy.
5- if the player who squeezed is competent and we do want to get tricky we can represent a lot of boards like 875, 78t where we represent sets and put pressure on his static, tighter range.
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Quote from: TightEnd on December 16, 2013, 12:59:59 AM
Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
Tal
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 24288
"He's always at it!"
Re: Pre-flop dilemma
«
Reply #10 on:
June 21, 2013, 06:38:16 PM »
Quote from: titaniumbean on June 21, 2013, 06:30:39 PM
why is this a good spot to 4bet?
why is this hand a good hand to 4bet with?
how will you continue to any action from anyone once you've 4bet, how many froppies do we like to see that don't contain a 9.
how super dooper excited are we to get this hand in preflops for 27 thousand of the betting discs?
where any of them wearing a scarf?
Well, I think I have the best hand most of the time when I four bet. I would rather thin the field and play against one or fewer opponents post flop.
Getting all in with 99 if he calls my jam is probably a horrible spot for me, which is probably my main driver for folding. I'd likely be turning my hand into a bluff and trying to get TT-QQ and AK to fold.
I can confirm the table was scarfless, despite a LAG air conditioning system.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
celtic
Global Moderator
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Posts: 19202
Re: Pre-flop dilemma
«
Reply #11 on:
June 21, 2013, 06:39:18 PM »
Excellent op.
I'll take 10%
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Keefy is back
But for how long?
outragous76
Hero Member
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Posts: 13315
Yeah Bitch! ......... MAGNETS! owwwh!
Re: Pre-flop dilemma
«
Reply #12 on:
June 21, 2013, 06:41:40 PM »
Have we got a hand yet? The rouge apostrophe threw me, then the bit about needing advice vs 2 frenchies and a tourist
;0p
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".....and then I spent 2 hours talking with Stu which blew my mind.........."
Tal
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 24288
"He's always at it!"
Re: Pre-flop dilemma
«
Reply #13 on:
June 21, 2013, 06:44:49 PM »
Why should we be making it more for the initial raise? Isn't "little and often" the best strategy?
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
titaniumbean
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 10018
Equity means nothing.
Re: Pre-flop dilemma
«
Reply #14 on:
June 21, 2013, 06:49:57 PM »
Quote from: Tal on June 21, 2013, 06:44:49 PM
Why should we be making it more for the initial raise? Isn't "little and often" the best strategy?
that's correct later when stacks are shallower, earlier when we are all deep we are looking to take the chips off the weaker players, rather than minraising with 300bb because we are opening super wide, we open strong hands and playable hands etc and make it slightly bigger, this pf change to raise size has exponential affects down the streets and allows us to build pots when we have very strong hands, build decent sized pots for when we realise equity and gain more fold equity.
4betting turns our hand into two napkins face down, whilst peeling the 3bet gives us a multiway pot (I don't know why you don't want to go multiway given how well this hand plays) where we can do a third nine and be all like zomg lets get 300bbs in vs france.
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