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Poker Hand Analysis
extracting value
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Topic: extracting value (Read 4031 times)
Pinchop73
Hero Member
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Posts: 1435
Re: extracting value
«
Reply #15 on:
August 26, 2013, 10:48:40 AM »
He's opened from EP on a 10 handed table with the bubble just burst therefore a table full of jamming stacks, he has pretty much zero light opens.
Abs hatting life if he 4b's, just take him to the streets.
Getting JJ in for 40 big ones vs an EP open will almost certainly be -cEV imo
Great stack too for this stage of the comp, a lot of utility, your going to find far greater spots to accumulate than this one.
«
Last Edit: August 26, 2013, 10:56:45 AM by Pinchop73
»
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First they came for the nits, and I did not speak out because I was not a nit
The Squid
Sr. Member
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Posts: 346
Re: extracting value
«
Reply #16 on:
August 26, 2013, 12:55:55 PM »
I always 3 bet call. But it's f***in Party. they do always have it.
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pleno1
Hero Member
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Posts: 18912
Re: extracting value
«
Reply #17 on:
August 26, 2013, 01:10:16 PM »
well i wouldnt expect him to rip so much, but we can maybe induce a 4bet fold, im not sure how great we do vs him 4bcall range tho.
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Quote from: TightEnd on December 16, 2013, 12:59:59 AM
Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
Doobs
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Posts: 16733
Re: extracting value
«
Reply #18 on:
August 26, 2013, 01:14:16 PM »
We are aggro. As such, we can't have a 3 bet range consisting entirely of bluffs, and a calling range full of monsters. Our entire strategy would surely be spew then?
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
rfgqqabc
Hero Member
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Posts: 5371
Re: extracting value
«
Reply #19 on:
August 26, 2013, 02:03:45 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on August 26, 2013, 01:14:16 PM
We are aggro. As such, we can't have a 3 bet range consisting entirely of bluffs, and a calling range full of monsters. Our entire strategy would surely be spew then?
Depends what they know about our strategy.
http://youtu.be/EklCI7D7Rns
Pinchop I feel like quite a few players just carry on being aggro and wouldn't correctly adjust to the bubble bursting. Plus he can still open hands like A9s QJs 66 etc.
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Last Edit: August 26, 2013, 02:07:53 PM by rfgqqabc
»
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[21:05:17] Andrew W: you wasted a non spelling mistakepost?
[21:11:08] Patrick Leonard: oll
pleno1
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Posts: 18912
Re: extracting value
«
Reply #20 on:
August 26, 2013, 02:07:50 PM »
its all about perceived ranges
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Quote from: TightEnd on December 16, 2013, 12:59:59 AM
Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
gouty
Sr. Member
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Posts: 783
Re: extracting value
«
Reply #21 on:
August 26, 2013, 02:45:37 PM »
Quote from: pleno1 on August 26, 2013, 02:07:50 PM
its all about perceived ranges
Not at all. It's all about looking after that lovely stack you have built up and keeping your tourney equity nice and juicy. Your 3 bet will look pretty strong to opening raiser even with the bubble action with him. For 6% of your stack you get to put him to the test. If he plays back he is playing for stacks. Fold. Wait for a better spot.
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AlexMartin
spewtards r us
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Posts: 8039
rat+rabbiting society of herts- future champ
Re: extracting value
«
Reply #22 on:
August 26, 2013, 03:15:08 PM »
Quote from: pleno1 on August 26, 2013, 02:07:50 PM
its all about perceived ranges
this
would be concerned with what his utg open % is, but this is such a sweet spot with an aggro dynamic on the button, finger twirl territory. if there are a bunch of shorties and/or hes not been stealing from utg a lot or no battling, then yeah flat. 3b fold is horrible.
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Doobs
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Re: extracting value
«
Reply #23 on:
August 26, 2013, 03:40:16 PM »
Quote from: rfgqqabc on August 26, 2013, 02:03:45 PM
Quote from: Doobs on August 26, 2013, 01:14:16 PM
We are aggro. As such, we can't have a 3 bet range consisting entirely of bluffs, and a calling range full of monsters. Our entire strategy would surely be spew then?
Depends what they know about our strategy.
http://youtu.be/EklCI7D7Rns
Pinchop I feel like quite a few players just carry on being aggro and wouldn't correctly adjust to the bubble bursting. Plus he can still open hands like A9s QJs 66 etc.
You can construct a sentence, why the youtube clip?
It isn't like it makes much sense either, you sit there raising every hand for a circuit, even the most slow witted of your rivals aren't going to have you pegged as a nit. They may not know your entire strategy, but there is a fair chance they have seen you go raise, raise, raise, raise, raise, raise, call though? I am not sure there are that many people who do that who call with their weakest hands either.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
pleno1
Hero Member
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Posts: 18912
Re: extracting value
«
Reply #24 on:
August 26, 2013, 04:07:35 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on August 26, 2013, 03:40:16 PM
Quote from: rfgqqabc on August 26, 2013, 02:03:45 PM
Quote from: Doobs on August 26, 2013, 01:14:16 PM
We are aggro. As such, we can't have a 3 bet range consisting entirely of bluffs, and a calling range full of monsters. Our entire strategy would surely be spew then?
Depends what they know about our strategy.
http://youtu.be/EklCI7D7Rns
Pinchop I feel like quite a few players just carry on being aggro and wouldn't correctly adjust to the bubble bursting. Plus he can still open hands like A9s QJs 66 etc.
You can construct a sentence, why the youtube clip?
It isn't like it makes much sense either, you sit there raising every hand for a circuit, even the most slow witted of your rivals aren't going to have you pegged as a nit. They may not know your entire strategy, but there is a fair chance they have seen you go raise, raise, raise, raise, raise, raise, call though? I am not sure there are that many people who do that who call with their weakest hands either.
Doobs, he isnt thinking like that though. Its so important to understand our perceived range, and even uif weve gone raise, raise, call, hes not going to care, hes going to have tptk and not think ah hes prob got aces here, hes going to think, boom we got a sick spot vs the aggro tard chip leader.
also btw guz was like ep3 rather than utg.
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Quote from: TightEnd on December 16, 2013, 12:59:59 AM
Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
rfgqqabc
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 5371
Re: extracting value
«
Reply #25 on:
August 26, 2013, 04:15:34 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on August 26, 2013, 03:40:16 PM
Quote from: rfgqqabc on August 26, 2013, 02:03:45 PM
Quote from: Doobs on August 26, 2013, 01:14:16 PM
We are aggro. As such, we can't have a 3 bet range consisting entirely of bluffs, and a calling range full of monsters. Our entire strategy would surely be spew then?
Depends what they know about our strategy.
http://youtu.be/EklCI7D7Rns
Pinchop I feel like quite a few players just carry on being aggro and wouldn't correctly adjust to the bubble bursting. Plus he can still open hands like A9s QJs 66 etc.
You can construct a sentence, why the youtube clip?
It isn't like it makes much sense either, you sit there raising every hand for a circuit, even the most slow witted of your rivals aren't going to have you pegged as a nit. They may not know your entire strategy, but there is a fair chance they have seen you go raise, raise, raise, raise, raise, raise, call though? I am not sure there are that many people who do that who call with their weakest hands either.
Adds some flair to my posts. I pretty much stated my thoughts earlier, personally I feel it is a touch transparent to flat, we never have a weak hand with the two shorties being about, but it is hard to know if our opponent knows this. I'd prefer to carry on being aggressive with our image and hope to make our opponent snap. Obviously it isn't ideal and we may be behind, but I don't think our opponent will find a hero fold with 99/TT or such like, we get into a few flips and have his range that calls the 3bet fairly crushed. Initiative is very nice. We don't always have to 3bet for our all in equity, having him peeling when we have such a strong hand is fantastic too.
If our 3bet range was purely weak hands and our flatting range purely monsters then our opponents would find it very easy to exploit us. But they will never get the sample to find this out. We can create a big edge for ourselves by adjusting our ranges at different points. For example, Pads might have 3bet the
here the orbit before, and I believe our opponent will still expecting him to be frisky, so I would 3bet. However, I also believe that he isn't going to put us on a strong hand here when we flat, although in my opinion he probably should.
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[21:05:17] Andrew W: you wasted a non spelling mistakepost?
[21:11:08] Patrick Leonard: oll
SuuPRlim
Hero Member
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Posts: 10437
Re: extracting value
«
Reply #26 on:
August 27, 2013, 09:55:15 AM »
if this guy has a 4b/fold range then surely 3b/5b/jam is miles and away the best play. If, as suggested by others his opening range is wide enough and he's gonna mae more stubborn calls but will have a magnum 4b range then 3bet/fold is prolly the best play right?
If neither assumption is correct (he will never 4b light and wont make too many stubborn calls) then this is when flatting starts to show more merit. I don't think there is anything wrong is flatting with the dominant reason being we would have no idea how to react to a 4bet, but obviously we will make more money if we can make an accurate assumption on his reaction to our 3bet and use an appropiate strategy.
BTW I think it's a common theme for people not to give enough credit to players, I think even quite poor players are a lot more conscious of what is happening then people assume, even if it might be a little sub-conscious.
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wazz
Sr. Member
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Posts: 614
Re: extracting value
«
Reply #27 on:
August 27, 2013, 11:20:28 AM »
Flat has to be fairly healthily +ev but nowhere near as good as 3b/5b. We have to size our 3b carefully though, I think I make it like 6.5-7k. Cannot envisage how people are considering 3b/f given our image.
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cambridgealex
Hero Member
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Posts: 14799
#lovethegame
Re: extracting value
«
Reply #28 on:
August 27, 2013, 11:35:29 AM »
LilDave wins imo
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gouty
Sr. Member
Offline
Posts: 783
Re: extracting value
«
Reply #29 on:
August 27, 2013, 12:08:57 PM »
Quote from: cambridgealex on August 27, 2013, 11:35:29 AM
LilDave wins imo
I don't actually understand what he said? Is it 3 bet/f or 3//5/jam. My point is if oppo 4 bets he is stacking off unless he is v good and click folds with airball. Hey do we want to flip with this much TE?
Love it if a shorty reshoves depending on matey boys action.
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