Micro Million. 3.30 rebuy

[verndog158]

Hand is after the end of re buys and addon break in the MM last night. Down to attempting to download a HUD last weekend and the laptop literally blowing up, we have no reads.
Have been fairly active, but not done anything crazy.

PokerStars Hand #113286339234: Tournament #872136619, $3.00+$0.30 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level X (150/300) - 2014/03/15 1:31:04 WET [2014/03/14 21:31:04 ET]
Table '872136619 777' 9-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: Techan82 (4961 in chips)
Seat 2: DocÓDaimhín (1280 in chips) is sitting out
Seat 3: l_GREECE_l (30714 in chips)
Seat 4: lmlove (72853 in chips)
Seat 5: fredvelt (1470 in chips) is sitting out
Seat 6: iamVerndog (16378 in chips)
Seat 7: DanK1977 (44015 in chips)
Seat 8: -JMC-53 (69798 in chips)
Seat 9: glAAva (13025 in chips)
Techan82: posts the ante 40
DocÓDaimhín: posts the ante 40
l_GREECE_l: posts the ante 40
lmlove: posts the ante 40
fredvelt: posts the ante 40
iamVerndog: posts the ante 40
DanK1977: posts the ante 40
-JMC-53: posts the ante 40
glAAva: posts the ante 40
l_GREECE_l: posts small blind 150
lmlove: posts big blind 300
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to iamVerndog  
fredvelt: folds
iamVerndog: raises 300 to 600
DanK1977: folds
-JMC-53: folds
glAAva: folds
Techan82: folds
DocÓDaimhín: folds
l_GREECE_l: calls 450
lmlove: calls 300
*** FLOP ***  
l_GREECE_l: checks
lmlove: checks
iamVerndog: bets 820
l_GREECE_l: raises 980 to 1800
lmlove: folds
iamVerndog: calls 980
*** TURN ***    
l_GREECE_l: bets 5700

What do we do?

Have ran the numbers with Dimsum, and it seems its profitable to call here, leaving ourselves with 30bbs if we miss. Assigned a fairly probable range including, Tx hands, pair combos, Ahxh as well as top 2, sets etc.
Thoughts greatly appreciated!!

[pleno1]

huh we have a flush? absolutely go all in its a 3 dollar tournament, he could have a worse flush, a set, 2 pair, a pair, or a draw. be happy, be very happy.

[verndog158]

huh we have a flush? absolutely go all in its a 3 dollar tournament, he could have a worse flush, a set, 2 pair, a pair, or a draw. be happy, be very happy.

ah crap, sorry pads, mistake made in OP. corrected now, turned the up and down with a flush draw. my bad!

[rfgqqabc]

You found dimsums only use and still want to question it?

[lucky_scrote]

When someone pots it on the turn and you have a straight and flush draw (clean outs, 15 in total) then it is exactly a break even call with the pot odds.

45 unknown cards, 15 of them are winners = will make hand 33% of time. Someone bet's pot, you are getting 2/1 = need to win 33% of time to break even.

Variables are obviously his range, how many of your outs he can have plus the rare time he has a better flush draw.


All in all you will need to win very little money on the river when you make your hand to make this a profitable call.

[theprawnidentity]

You found dimsums only use and still want to question it?

[verndog158]

im glad you and pickem have meant no one will post on a hand I was really stuck on!