Goat or Woat

[rfgqqabc]

http://weaktight.com/6785060

very early in, I c4b fold orbit before from bb. We've played 20 hands before no real info but on tighter side, and I've not been on 888 long so hes more likely to be a reg than a rec.

[rfgqqabc]

I will also accept an answer somewhere between the two ends of the spectrum.

[wazz]

I would fold the river as played but think the lead is pretty bad. He's much more likely than you to have the bd flush and will try to rep it some of the time, and the fact that you don't have it very often also means he'll feel free to vbet thin, i.e. some worse hands than you.

[rfgqqabc]

I would fold the river as played but think the lead is pretty bad. He's much more likely than you to have the bd flush and will try to rep it some of the time, and the fact that you don't have it very often also means he'll feel free to vbet thin, i.e. some worse hands than you.

I felt like he might call this with hands as weak as AK though, people seem to play bad vs river leads but given he is probably better than average on 888 your probably right. I felt like I could get a bigger bet out of him then he would bet himself with value hands if that makes sense. It does stop any bluffs though which might not make up for the extra few hundred the lead gets out of him.

Still working on correct spots/sizes to lead here so it wouldn't surprise me if it was bad.

[SuuPRlim]

when good (or bad for that matter lol) players do stuff that is really out of rhythm its very frequently for value, so if he is good (and thinks you're good, or thinks you're bad lol) i think you'll induce more hero folds than thin calls, Hero folds everything from good top-pairs plus.

Also you stop him bluffing, and make sure that if he ever does have a rush of blood and bluff that he'll win the pot.

[pleno1]

yeh id never lead river and if i did it would be to induce

[lucky_scrote]

Definitely check call river. Check and sigh call too.

[youthnkzR]

If were gonna start leading, I would lead turn and b/f river. Don't like c/c c/c b/f.

Hes not gonna start 'repping a backdoor flush'. Hes gonna have it when we take this line. So wouldn't worry about getting bluffed.