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Poker Hand Analysis
Tough river spot Sunday Warm Up
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Topic: Tough river spot Sunday Warm Up (Read 2487 times)
bergeroo
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 2195
Tough river spot Sunday Warm Up
«
on:
January 11, 2015, 05:32:12 PM »
After one hour in the Warm Up. Minimal info on opponent. He/she is from the Philippines. Playing three tables, this, Big75 and Big8
Poker Stars $200+$15 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t60/t120 Blinds - 9 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos
Hand History Converter
BTN: t14402 120.02 BBs
SB: t8492 70.77 BBs
Hero (BB): t10464 87.20 BBs
UTG: t16441 137.01 BBs
UTG+1: t10129 84.41 BBs
UTG+2: t4211 35.09 BBs
MP1: t9660 80.50 BBs
MP2: t11704 97.53 BBs
CO: t5729 47.74 BBs
Pre Flop:
(t180) Hero is BB with 8 :diamond: J :diamond:
3 folds
,
MP1 raises to t240
,
4 folds
, Hero calls t120
Flop:
(t540) Q:club: 9 :diamond: T :diamond:
(2 players)
Hero bets t360
, MP1 calls t360
Turn:
(t1260) J :club:
(2 players)
Hero bets t720
, MP1 calls t720
River:
(t2700) A :diamond:
(2 players)
Hero bets t2160
,
MP1 raises to t8340 all in
, Hero ?
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cambridgealex
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 14799
#lovethegame
Re: Tough river spot Sunday Warm Up
«
Reply #1 on:
January 11, 2015, 06:32:36 PM »
Don't think people are gonna bluff vs your river sizing here, can see them turning
x into a bluff if you bet <1/2 pot but this is gonna be the nuts so often imo, massive sigh fold for me.
Is the turn definitely a bet? I like the donk on the flop.
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Poker goals:
[ ] 7 figure score
[X] 8 figure score
pleno1
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 18912
Re: Tough river spot Sunday Warm Up
«
Reply #2 on:
January 11, 2015, 06:52:18 PM »
id c/r the flop big, i often see people just cram it in with kq etc.
turn seems too thin, have a pretty great hand to check with.
she raises from mp so kxdd combos are akdd and kjdd.
would imagine both get raised at some point, especially vs our turn sizing.
wait we have jd and ad is otr? only combo is kqdd that beats us? i'd expect it to raise flop sometimes. would just shrug call i guess. people react to leads very weirdly, they feel insulted, somewhat defensive etc.
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Quote from: TightEnd on December 16, 2013, 12:59:59 AM
Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
TL900
Hero Member
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Posts: 2418
Re: Tough river spot Sunday Warm Up
«
Reply #3 on:
January 11, 2015, 06:53:03 PM »
not folding vs someone from the phillipines with no info. Not many combos of better flushes when J/8/9/T/A all dead. Expect to see 67dd/45dd/56dd just as often as KQdd/some other weird combos.
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@MtSpewmore
Quote from: jgcblack
I wouldn't normally try so hard, but didn't have another opportunity I could wait for. I wasn't ready to surrender what I WANTED SO MUCH, that easily, I couldn't guarantee a call with me staying stoic and relying on a flinch "top pair" calling reflex.
rfgqqabc
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 5369
Re: Tough river spot Sunday Warm Up
«
Reply #4 on:
January 13, 2015, 05:31:14 AM »
How can we do anything but call?
Turn bet seems ambitious too.
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[21:05:17] Andrew W: you wasted a non spelling mistakepost?
[21:11:08] Patrick Leonard: oll
cambridgealex
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 14799
#lovethegame
Re: Tough river spot Sunday Warm Up
«
Reply #5 on:
January 13, 2015, 09:45:59 AM »
ah didn't see KQdd was only one combo we lose to. not folding in that case.
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[X] 8 figure score
The Squid
Sr. Member
Offline
Posts: 346
Re: Tough river spot Sunday Warm Up
«
Reply #6 on:
January 19, 2015, 10:40:00 AM »
Think lead real bad at this stack depth and pretty hard to balance.
Call river.
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lucky_scrote
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 3525
Re: Tough river spot Sunday Warm Up
«
Reply #7 on:
January 25, 2015, 01:37:04 PM »
Quote from: pleno1 on January 11, 2015, 06:52:18 PM
people react to leads very weirdly, they feel insulted, somewhat defensive etc.
This made me laugh. I am going to insult as many people as possible today.
Hand is a snap call, don't put too much effort into worrying about losing to 1 combo early stages of the warmup!
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Quote from: titaniumbean on April 05, 2013, 02:23:10 PM
<3 ENSUING
Quote from: lucky_scrote on August 04, 2014, 04:57:13 AM
stato_1 said, "banoffee pie i reckon"
stato_1 said, "this is delicious"
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