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Poker Hand Analysis
Non-standard Live Cash turn and river spot
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Topic: Non-standard Live Cash turn and river spot (Read 4807 times)
cambridgealex
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#lovethegame
Non-standard Live Cash turn and river spot
«
on:
May 22, 2015, 03:05:03 PM »
The villain is unknown to me, one of those hard-to-tell youngish players that could very well be a pro, but also could not. Sometimes it's quite hard to tell until you've seen them play a bit. Certainly didn't give anything anyway during the key moments.
I raise
utg to £12 at 1/3. Villain (cutoff) is the only caller.
I cbet £19. Even this is interesting. Thoughts on having this hand as part of our check call range? Villain tanks for a while and calls.
I check (pros and cons?)
I bet £45, he thinks for 10 seconds then raises to £142. Thoughts?
It's a kind of unusual line for me to take, but also from him. Flame away!
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shipitgood
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Re: Non-standard Live Cash turn and river spot
«
Reply #1 on:
May 22, 2015, 04:07:03 PM »
Bet the turn, check behind a lot of rivers like this particular 1. It's really hard 2 say, without having any reads. When he raises the river, it does look a bit fos , in saying that how many players are bluffing in this particular spot or value raising worse. I guess with player tendencies we are just beat. But the lack of turn bet for protection / value is really interesting
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Tal
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"He's always at it!"
Re: Non-standard Live Cash turn and river spot
«
Reply #2 on:
May 22, 2015, 08:26:58 PM »
If this were me (and let's all take a minute to be grateful that it isn't), I would think his most likely holding is something like
, so strong enough to call in position pre, but not strong enough to raise, a nice flop to flat in position, happy to check the turn and need to raise to win on the end.
I would expect significant draws that don't include the ace blocker to be more aggressive, if he wants to rely on the value from the flush draw, if that makes sense. With the
as villain, you'd definitely bet the turn, wouldn't you? Assuming stack sizes are irrelevant, this feels like
>
>
If memory serves, what normally happens now is everyone stops laughing and one person very patiently explains how many shades of wrong I am.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
George2Loose
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Re: Non-standard Live Cash turn and river spot
«
Reply #3 on:
May 22, 2015, 09:24:07 PM »
A7o folds pre and 33 folds the flop. Any live reads Al? Really can't see him taking this line as a bluff and can't think of too many value hands that we beat.
«
Last Edit: May 22, 2015, 09:25:38 PM by George2Loose
»
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Ole Ole Ole Ole!
pleno1
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Re: Non-standard Live Cash turn and river spot
«
Reply #4 on:
May 22, 2015, 09:34:40 PM »
how much behind? all in?
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Quote from: TightEnd on December 16, 2013, 12:59:59 AM
Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
Tal
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Re: Non-standard Live Cash turn and river spot
«
Reply #5 on:
May 22, 2015, 11:52:01 PM »
Quote from: George2Loose on May 22, 2015, 09:24:07 PM
A7o folds pre and 33 folds the flop.
Interesting. Think I'd do that at least half the time, but I'd call sometimes in both against a perceived loose aggressive (are we still allowed to use that expression in 2015?) player. Alex is going to open UTG with hands that are behind A7 and he'll CBet a lot, so calling with a pair for one bet and hoping to see a check on the turn is definitely in my mind as an option.
I'm not saying this is how Doug Polk plays the hand, but a local rec, for example, could easily have them in their range.
I would
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
pleno1
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Re: Non-standard Live Cash turn and river spot
«
Reply #6 on:
May 23, 2015, 12:01:15 AM »
i would fold JJ on the flop and AT and maybe AJ pre flop
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Quote from: TightEnd on December 16, 2013, 12:59:59 AM
Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
George2Loose
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Re: Non-standard Live Cash turn and river spot
«
Reply #7 on:
May 23, 2015, 12:04:42 AM »
Quote from: Tal on May 22, 2015, 11:52:01 PM
Quote from: George2Loose on May 22, 2015, 09:24:07 PM
A7o folds pre and 33 folds the flop.
Interesting. Think I'd do that at least half the time, but I'd call sometimes in both against a perceived loose aggressive (are we still allowed to use that expression in 2015?) player. Alex is going to open UTG with hands that are behind A7 and he'll CBet a lot, so calling with a pair for one bet and hoping to see a check on the turn is definitely in my mind as an option.
I'm not saying this is how Doug Polk plays the hand, but a local rec, for example, could easily have them in their range.
I would
You don't combat loose aggro players by calling with hands that are often dominated and don't flop well (A7)
Nor do u do it by playing guessing games on the flop where said player is likely to put pressure on future streets (33)
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Ole Ole Ole Ole!
Tal
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Re: Non-standard Live Cash turn and river spot
«
Reply #8 on:
May 23, 2015, 12:15:07 AM »
Quote from: George2Loose on May 23, 2015, 12:04:42 AM
Quote from: Tal on May 22, 2015, 11:52:01 PM
Quote from: George2Loose on May 22, 2015, 09:24:07 PM
A7o folds pre and 33 folds the flop.
Interesting. Think I'd do that at least half the time, but I'd call sometimes in both against a perceived loose aggressive (are we still allowed to use that expression in 2015?) player. Alex is going to open UTG with hands that are behind A7 and he'll CBet a lot, so calling with a pair for one bet and hoping to see a check on the turn is definitely in my mind as an option.
I'm not saying this is how Doug Polk plays the hand, but a local rec, for example, could easily have them in their range.
I would
You don't combat loose aggro players by calling with hands that are often dominated and don't flop well (A7)
Nor do u do it by playing guessing games on the flop where said player is likely to put pressure on future streets (33)
No. But people do. You know, people who pretend to know what they're doing and are convinced they can beat 1-3 games and can outplay the opponent down the streets. We...er
they
see a bet-check-bet and decide to get creative with the nut blocker in their hand.
With the threes, there's no other way to play the hand but call or fold on the flop. Sometimes you fold, sure. But call one bet, get lucky with a check on the turn and get super lucky on the river. Fold when Pleno 3betjams. Post hand on PHA. Cry.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
SuuPRlim
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Re: Non-standard Live Cash turn and river spot
«
Reply #9 on:
May 23, 2015, 09:45:34 AM »
I think checking the flop is better than betting flop/checking turn, once we cbet then check the turn I feel like we just either have nothing and fold or have something we're trying to pot control with, not that i dont think you'd be capable of checking very strong hand there OTT, just that I think a competent unknown villain could probably make that assumption fairly profitably in such a spot.
Going to call this river, fuck people and stupid lines and you have a hand that is quite good. He probably has JT mind.
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PathFinder
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Re: Non-standard Live Cash turn and river spot
«
Reply #10 on:
May 23, 2015, 12:18:41 PM »
The way the board has run out, seems like a bet-bet-bet line. Or bet-bet-chk/call.
Can't see a reason to check the turn as I would bet all my Ace of spades hands.
A con of checking the turn is that villian can play his bluff range and value range the same. Which puts us in tough spots on the river because you very rarely have a flush here.
«
Last Edit: May 23, 2015, 12:20:38 PM by PathFinder
»
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SuuPRlim
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Re: Non-standard Live Cash turn and river spot
«
Reply #11 on:
May 24, 2015, 12:19:21 PM »
could just stick this in his eye for another 400+
fuck these guys and there stupid lines
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pleno1
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Re: Non-standard Live Cash turn and river spot
«
Reply #12 on:
May 24, 2015, 12:49:06 PM »
Quote from: SuuPRlim on May 23, 2015, 09:45:34 AM
I think checking the flop is better than betting flop/checking turn, once we cbet then check the turn I feel like we just either have nothing and fold or have something we're trying to pot control with, not that i dont think you'd be capable of checking very strong hand there OTT, just that I think a competent unknown villain could probably make that assumption fairly profitably in such a spot.
Going to call this river, fuck people and stupid lines and you have a hand that is quite good. He probably has JT mind.
i'm happy to protect the flop against 22sx, why let him see 13 outs.
i don't think we can call the river, but that doesn't mean we should necessarily fold.
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Quote from: TightEnd on December 16, 2013, 12:59:59 AM
Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
SuuPRlim
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Re: Non-standard Live Cash turn and river spot
«
Reply #13 on:
May 24, 2015, 04:20:52 PM »
yes betting flop best.
I think we can call the end
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cambridgealex
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#lovethegame
Re: Non-standard Live Cash turn and river spot
«
Reply #14 on:
May 24, 2015, 06:51:18 PM »
Jamming the river is pretty suicidal isn't it? No blockers and rep nothing. Think he will find a call with anything that he's raising for value with.
I called and to my real surprise he had 96s for flopped two pair.
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