Strictly Come Dancing 2015 cleaning up at the bookies thread

[Tal]

When they do two dances which do they do in the dance-off - do they get to choose or is it the lowest score or something?

Highest scoring dance. This saved Simon Webbe a few times last year. System favours people who are good at one variant over the consistent dancers.

Without having seen any training footage, I would expect Kellie to do her AS but Anita is tougher to call. Maybe her salsa.

[AndrewT]

You'd have to think that Jay and Georgia would be the top two on the leaderboard - Jay is surely piling on the votes each week and Georgia will get the bounce so neither will be in the dance off, so that leaves 2 from 3.

Anita and Katie benefit from their pro dancers having a fanbase and winning them votes, whereas surely no one votes for the KFG. I think Kellie would need top two to stand a chance of avoiding the danceoff but I don't see how that happens.

I actually think that Kellie beats either in a dance off (she's finished top of their 3 woman mini-leaderboard in the last 4 weeks), so that Evens is a lay for me.

Katie has beaten Anita the past two weeks, so Anita has to play catchup on the votes. We know she has support, as she has finished bottom of the leaderboard the last two weeks (albeit the silly Quickstepathon moved her to second bottom) yet has avoided the danceoff both times. Katie has never been truly tested (never bottom, one second bottom and that was with two other couples). There is the suspicion of a big fanbase but we don't know for sure.

It's a toughie but I'm going to plump for Anita to go at 9/2 on the basis that Katie and Anton are getting the votes.

[TightEnd]

We know that Anita is getting the votes, they've kept her out of the dance-off despite leaderboard position.

We don't know that Katie is as popular, as she has rarely been in the bottom 2

Kellie on the other hand has had 5 (?) dance offs and a big bounce last week

[TightEnd]

this might work in Derham's favour

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-3353513/I-t-abide-Little-Miss-Perfect-Katie-Derham-s-class-act-Strictly-star-guilty-unforgivable-sin-not-woman-s-woman.html

[horseplayer]

this might work in Derham's favour

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-3353513/I-t-abide-Little-Miss-Perfect-Katie-Derham-s-class-act-Strictly-star-guilty-unforgivable-sin-not-woman-s-woman.html

Even by the mails standard that writer is beyond poor.

Seems to just troll any woman in the news that week not even click bait really

[Tal]

Too late to post on TfT, but I fancy:

1. Georgia to top the leaderboard with her Viennese Waltz (her frame is the best I have seen)

2. Kellie to score highly in her American Smooth (at least one ten)

3. Anita to struggle with two dances and does solidly but unspectacularly

4. Katie and Anita in the dance off.

5. Anita goes because Katie goes ballroom and does better.

[TightEnd]

georgia has had a day and a half to do the cha cha. might be a problem, but don't see her bottom two after last weeks scare

[Tal]

georgia has had a day and a half to do the cha cha. might be a problem, but don't see her bottom two after last weeks scare

Sorry, yes I mean highest scoring individual dance. Jay may well finish top

[Doobs]

Kellie goes.  Has no fans, so ends up in bottom 2 90% of the time.

Anita gets saved by fans if bottom 2.  

[TightEnd]

and i think Katie gets chucked out by the judges v kellie

(one of us will be right)

[TightEnd]

4!

cor blimey.

[AndrewT]

That's going to ensure Katie finishes bottom - even a 40 for the next dance gives them 65, which will still be bottom.

Though it won't affect the dance off, as they're doing the other one.

[AndrewT]

How orange is Tess's arm?

[TightEnd]

craig is right about jay. she places a lump of plastecene around the floor during the dance.


still going to win it though from mum votes

[TightEnd]

way overmarked

only another week of chuntering about the boy band member to go though