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Author Topic: Pre-season spreads EPL 2016/17  (Read 5077 times)
cambridgealex
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« on: July 21, 2016, 05:40:06 PM »

Where do we think the value is in this lot? Obv arrboy will be lumping the house on top-eight Stoke at 45.5...

   Sell   Buy
Man City   75.5   77
Man Utd   74.5   76
Arsenal   70.5   72
Chelsea   70.5   72
Liverpool   67.5   69
Spurs   66.5   68
Leicester   55   56.5
West Ham   53.5   55
Everton   53   54.5
Southampton    51   52.5
Stoke   44   45.5
Bournemouth   43.5   45
Crystal Palace   43   44.5
Swansea   41.5   43
West Brom   40   41.5
Watford   39.5   41
Sunderland   39   40.5
Middlesborough   37.5   39
Hull   35   36.5
Burnley   34.5   36
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Ironside
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« Reply #1 on: July 21, 2016, 05:51:52 PM »

i would think saints are going to get nearer 60 points that 50
maybe my rose tinted specs but the players have had a chance to gel over last 2 seasons
and are all maturing together despite the loss of wanyama and mane we will be a better team than last year
on the negative we will have 2 games a week for the first half a season and the rest of the league cant be as weak as it was last year
but i think we will get close to 60 points for 3rd season in a row
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Doobs
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« Reply #2 on: July 21, 2016, 05:53:02 PM »

There is only one spread betting company?

Spurs and Liverpool seem the wrong way round.  Would rather back Leicester than sell them, but you get better elsewhere?

Apparently Middlesborough are a buy (c) tft.  I'd be tempted.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #3 on: July 21, 2016, 06:32:48 PM »

I like Middlesborough. Think they are investing well and have already steamed into the 8/13 for them to stay up. Think they will finish mid-table comfortably.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #4 on: July 21, 2016, 06:38:52 PM »

I like Everton

Koeman will transform that defence, which conceded so readily under Martinez. Turning a few defeats into draws adds some points right off the bat

the prospect of better recruitment in the next two transfer windows too, lots of kids just breaking through too

53-54 could easily be 61-62+ just from the "easy" changes a proper manager will make to tactics, style of play etc


Would have Middlesborough in the high 40s rather than 39-40 too
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DungBeetle
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« Reply #5 on: July 21, 2016, 06:41:23 PM »

Not sure where these spreads are from but Boro are now at 40 with Spin.

Only thing I really fancy at the moment is buying Chelsea at 72.
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« Reply #6 on: July 21, 2016, 08:12:40 PM »

Can't see any possible downside in Stoke at all at 45.5 like i have said elsewhere on forum in the last week.  They are 14/1 to go down.  The two don't really equate imo.  I don't think 14/1 to go down is any value either.  Would probably happily lay that.  Wouldn't mind an even £5k Stoke to finish above Bournemouth either!
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« Reply #7 on: July 21, 2016, 09:46:51 PM »

Palace vs Bournemouth?

I fkn hate Pardew but they are spending big.
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aaron1867
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« Reply #8 on: July 21, 2016, 09:57:16 PM »


I fkn hate Pardew but they are spending big.

I didn't know this, have you mentioned it elsewhere on the forum?
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« Reply #9 on: July 21, 2016, 10:59:04 PM »

Got to agree with most of the noise on here Stoke and Everton look a steal at them prices to me,also expect boro to do well they won't excite people but they will be well organised and should be able to pinch enough to stay up
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The Camel
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« Reply #10 on: July 21, 2016, 11:10:19 PM »

Buy West Ham, sell Leicester.
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cambridgealex
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« Reply #11 on: July 22, 2016, 06:21:20 PM »

I was thinking Buying Chelsea stood out, would sell City, Leicester and maybe Arsenal, and buy Middlesborough, West Ham and maybe Spurs. Was indifferent about most of the others though might take the recommendation of arrboy and pleno and go stoke and palace too.

How do spreadbetting sites work with bets like these? Must I have a huge amount deposited in case of a freak result? Ie to cover for a 20 point swing?
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DungBeetle
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« Reply #12 on: July 22, 2016, 06:40:51 PM »

I was thinking Buying Chelsea stood out, would sell City, Leicester and maybe Arsenal, and buy Middlesborough, West Ham and maybe Spurs. Was indifferent about most of the others though might take the recommendation of arrboy and pleno and go stoke and palace too.

How do spreadbetting sites work with bets like these? Must I have a huge amount deposited in case of a freak result? Ie to cover for a 20 point swing?

You can apply for a credit account.  If you give them a bank statement showing 12k (for example) they'll give you a credit limit of 4k and you only have to settle at end of season or if you trades exceed 4k negative mark to market.  I know them quite well so I'll introduce you to the credit guys on email if you want and we will probably both get free bets (not sure what the current freebies are though). PM me with your email if you want me to make an introduction.
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Horneris
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« Reply #13 on: July 22, 2016, 07:36:35 PM »

Sell Spurs all day long
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« Reply #14 on: December 18, 2016, 01:20:32 AM »

I was looking at current spread prices on SI and compared the movement with those at the start of the season in the OP based on the mid-price.  Thought someone might find it interesting so posting it here:



Any thoughts?
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