|
Lonohray2
|
 |
« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2016, 12:02:29 PM » |
|
I'd like to take Vojtech vs Benger in a HU bet, Benger seems to be everyones pick at the prices available.
Would take a big bet if someone offered 1.15:1
Having played with Qui Nguyen I was initially going to lay him for the max but I don't like it at ~6.5 on matchbook, he's by far the weakest of the 9 but with all the pros likely to be hyper aware of ICM he may well have a shot at winning with his stack if he finds a cooler vs Josephy or still has it 4/5 handed.
Others also liked Ruane, and I thought he played very good days 4 and 5, I shared a table for most of the day he played very aggressive preflop on my left but with the table we had I had to let him get away with it. Didn't see many showdowns though I got the impression he didn't have it. Perhaps he's very good against weak opponents but may struggle to do the same here. But if he does bring his fearless game back also has a chance.
My two picks are Vojtech at ~10-11 and Ruane at 13-14
I'm really looking forward to watching it this year, does anyone know if Matchbook are having in-play bets?
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
cambridgealex
|
 |
« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2016, 12:12:49 PM » |
|
I'm on Ruane at 10/1. Defo pick of the bunch imo.
I can beat bookies prices on all other opponents if anyone wants a decent bet pm me.
|
|
|
Logged
|
Poker goals: [ ] 7 figure score [X] 8 figure score
|
|
|
FUN4FRASER
|
 |
« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2016, 12:14:35 PM » |
|
Yo David
Will take a Benger sweat for an even £500 if interested
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
FUN4FRASER
|
 |
« Reply #4 on: October 29, 2016, 12:15:26 PM » |
|
I'm on Ruane at 10/1. Defo pick of the bunch imo.
I can beat bookies prices on all other opponents if anyone wants a decent bet pm me.
like Ruane too
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
bergeroo
|
 |
« Reply #5 on: October 29, 2016, 12:42:16 PM » |
|
Here is my bet Winning Hole Cards. Any pocket pair 7/1 http://www.oddschecker.com/poker/world-series-of-poker/winning-hole-cardsI've gone through the stats of winning hole cards from Wikipedia from no limit holdem tournaments where it shows the winning hand. I've excluded mixed games/Pot Limit/Limit and ante up. Here is my data: (pocket pairs/total tournaments) WSOP Mains 13/44 12/35 WSOP 2016 9/34 WSOP 2015 5/33 WSOP 2014 6/36 WSOP 2013 10/45 EPT first five seasons (doesn't show hole cards on wikipedia after that) 16/38 WSOPE and Australia all time Total 71/265 tournies where the winning hand was a pocket pair. Only available in two spots, see how much you can get on with them both!
|
|
« Last Edit: October 29, 2016, 01:09:18 PM by bergeroo »
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
FUN4FRASER
|
 |
« Reply #6 on: October 29, 2016, 12:55:47 PM » |
|
Here is my bet Winning Hole Cards. Any pocket pair 7/1 http://www.oddschecker.com/poker/world-series-of-poker/winning-hole-cardsI've gone through the stats of winning hole cards from Wikipedia from no limit holdem tournaments where it shows the winning hand. I've excluded mixed games/Pot Limit/Limit and ante up. Here is my data: (pocket pairs/total tournaments) WSOP Mains 13/44 12/35 WSOP 2016 9/34 WSOP 2015 5/33 WSOP 2014 6/36 WSOP 2015 10/45 EPT first five seasons (doesn't show hole cards on wikipedia after that) 16/38 WSOPE and Australia all time Total 71/265 tournies where the winning hand was a pocket pair. Only available in two spots, see how much you can get on with them both! Great Spot Phil Surely they have that wrong ? if you have a shove and a call AIPF .surely the bookies are pricing up as if they are playing all the streets ( possible of course) two players HU for the title a short stack shove with any pair or big ace....if theres a call normally its by a pair or big ace FLIP at 7-1 ? ( not exactly I know ) could be pair v pair AIPF too Calling Doobs
|
|
« Last Edit: October 29, 2016, 01:05:50 PM by FUN4FRASER »
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
Doobs
|
 |
« Reply #7 on: October 29, 2016, 01:07:34 PM » |
|
Here is my bet Winning Hole Cards. Any pocket pair 7/1 http://www.oddschecker.com/poker/world-series-of-poker/winning-hole-cardsI've gone through the stats of winning hole cards from Wikipedia from no limit holdem tournaments where it shows the winning hand. I've excluded mixed games/Pot Limit/Limit and ante up. Here is my data: (pocket pairs/total tournaments) WSOP Mains 13/44 12/35 WSOP 2016 9/34 WSOP 2015 5/33 WSOP 2014 6/36 WSOP 2015 10/45 EPT first five seasons (doesn't show hole cards on wikipedia after that) 16/38 WSOPE and Australia all time Total 71/265 tournies where the winning hand was a pocket pair. Only available in two spots, see how much you can get on with them both! Great Spot Phil Surely they have that wrong ? if you have a shove and a call AIPF .surely the bookies are pricing up as if they are playing all the streets ( possible of course) two players HU for the title a short stack shove with any pair or big ace....if theres a call normally its by a pair or big ace FLIP at 7-1 ? ( not exactly I know ) could be pair v pair AIPF too Calling Doobs Ha, just replied on the other thread. Hills maxed me at £2.86. Maybe you'll have more lick Fraser. Sure it is a bet, just can't get on.
|
|
|
Logged
|
Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
|
|
|
FUN4FRASER
|
 |
« Reply #8 on: October 29, 2016, 01:08:47 PM » |
|
Here is my bet Winning Hole Cards. Any pocket pair 7/1 http://www.oddschecker.com/poker/world-series-of-poker/winning-hole-cardsI've gone through the stats of winning hole cards from Wikipedia from no limit holdem tournaments where it shows the winning hand. I've excluded mixed games/Pot Limit/Limit and ante up. Here is my data: (pocket pairs/total tournaments) WSOP Mains 13/44 12/35 WSOP 2016 9/34 WSOP 2015 5/33 WSOP 2014 6/36 WSOP 2015 10/45 EPT first five seasons (doesn't show hole cards on wikipedia after that) 16/38 WSOPE and Australia all time Total 71/265 tournies where the winning hand was a pocket pair. Only available in two spots, see how much you can get on with them both! Great Spot Phil Surely they have that wrong ? if you have a shove and a call AIPF .surely the bookies are pricing up as if they are playing all the streets ( possible of course) two players HU for the title a short stack shove with any pair or big ace....if theres a call normally its by a pair or big ace FLIP at 7-1 ? ( not exactly I know ) could be pair v pair AIPF too Calling Doobs Ha, just replied on the other thread. Hills maxed me at £2.86. Maybe you'll have more lick Fraser. Sure it is a bet, just can't get on. £12.11....wankers 
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
Lonohray2
|
 |
« Reply #9 on: October 29, 2016, 01:20:26 PM » |
|
Dubai posted that bet a few years ago, it must have been the main event and it won that year I'll take evens for £50 Fraser, can't be tempted my 450 to your 500? 
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
FUN4FRASER
|
 |
« Reply #10 on: October 29, 2016, 01:24:19 PM » |
|
Dubai posted that bet a few years ago, it must have been the main event and it won that year I'll take evens for £50 Fraser, can't be tempted my 450 to your 500?  nah evens is fair...not trying to screw you  both 15/2 shots best price on odds checker Settle in Punta Cana either way post on here however much at ev is fine with me
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
SuuPRlim
|
 |
« Reply #11 on: October 29, 2016, 01:37:15 PM » |
|
I'm happy to lay take action against benger.
I'd love to bet Ruane vs Benger at evens
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
SuuPRlim
|
 |
« Reply #12 on: October 29, 2016, 01:39:54 PM » |
|
I'd also like to bet Halleart vs Vayo at even money if anyone fancies it??
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
SuuPRlim
|
 |
« Reply #13 on: October 29, 2016, 01:40:46 PM » |
|
thgouhts on jonnybax? just too short on quite a tough table?
|
|
|
Logged
|
|
|
|
pleno1
|
 |
« Reply #14 on: October 29, 2016, 02:21:05 PM » |
|
Based on who they have all chosen as coaches should be going big on Hallaert and Griffin. Would strongly suggest NOT betting against Griffin.
Contrastingly think Vojtech has by far the weakest of all coachig team, but going into the whole thing he was probably one of the better guys.
Massively unimpressed with Ruane, wouldn't bet him.
Jonnybax practically a fish, wouldn't bet.
|
|
|
Logged
|
Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
|
|
|
|