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#saveblonde Hypothetical discussions thread
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Topic: #saveblonde Hypothetical discussions thread (Read 11028 times)
cambridgealex
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#saveblonde Hypothetical discussions thread
«
on:
March 12, 2017, 03:42:00 PM »
I've been having some great conversations at the tables recently. I'm going to post some hypothetical situations that have come up. Here's one.
1. How much would you pay to have the knowledge of tomorrow's Man Utd vs Chelsea FA Cup result? You'd know it with 100% certainty.
Got to think in terms of how much you can get on between now and the game. E.g. if the answer is your net worth - well now you don't have any £ to bet on the game. How much could you borrow in 24 hours? How could you convince anyone that it was guaranteed return? Can write in %ages of net or ££ figures. Assume there wont be any problem getting paid, no investigation or whatever.
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Poker goals:
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ripple11
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Re: #saveblonde Hypothetical discussions thread
«
Reply #1 on:
March 12, 2017, 04:17:17 PM »
Great question/ 24 hr task!
First I would need to check with arb if there are any deposit limits on betfair in 24 hours
.........
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EvilPie
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Re: #saveblonde Hypothetical discussions thread
«
Reply #2 on:
March 12, 2017, 04:47:36 PM »
Do we just get to know who wins or the exact score and who scored?
I'd imagine the worst odds on a correct score have to be 5/1 or so? Just a guess I don't bet on football.
If we only get to know the W/L/D bit then the best odds are about evens? Again that's a guess.
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Killerkilsby
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Re: #saveblonde Hypothetical discussions thread
«
Reply #3 on:
March 12, 2017, 05:37:09 PM »
Quote from: cambridgealex on March 12, 2017, 03:42:00 PM
I've been having some great conversations at the tables recently. I'm going to post some hypothetical situations that have come up. Here's one.
1. How much would you pay to have the knowledge of tomorrow's Man Utd vs Chelsea FA Cup result? You'd know it with 100% certainty.
Got to think in terms of how much you can get on between now and the game. E.g. if the answer is your net worth - well now you don't have any £ to bet on the game. How much could you borrow in 24 hours? How could you convince anyone that it was guaranteed return? Can write in %ages of net or ££ figures. Assume there wont be any problem getting paid, no investigation or whatever.
I could probably lock up £250k through personal savings/shares and family and friends. within 24 hours if It was on a working day, Id sign guarentees with those who have assistsd that should anything go wrong Id repay in full, also id offer them 10% juice.
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SuuPRlim
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Re: #saveblonde Hypothetical discussions thread
«
Reply #4 on:
March 12, 2017, 05:43:41 PM »
Fun question.
Well if you know exact score and nothing else you can still bet hundreds of very liquid markets.
1x2, all handicap markets, all goals O/U markets (total & each team), BTTS yes/no, win to nil yes/no, correct score (obv), then all the specials markets (O2.5gl BTTS ets), once you've gotten through all that you can go to betfair and lay everything that doesn't come in. How much fun, just printing.
If you knew the match details, who scores, time of goals, # of card, # of corners etc then that's even more fun!
£500k. Then i'd be beg/borrowing/stealing from anywhere possible, offering people 25% freerolls to put bets on, offering 20% vig on 3day loans etc, try get some credit accounts somewhere, sell things, take everything to the pawnshop etc, actually sounds fun
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SuuPRlim
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Re: #saveblonde Hypothetical discussions thread
«
Reply #5 on:
March 12, 2017, 05:45:44 PM »
Obv i'd stick a few things up on TfT too!
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ripple11
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Re: #saveblonde Hypothetical discussions thread
«
Reply #6 on:
March 12, 2017, 05:46:13 PM »
Quote from: SuuPRlim on March 12, 2017, 05:43:41 PM
Fun question.
Well if you know exact score and nothing else you can still bet hundreds of very liquid markets.
1x2, all handicap markets, all goals O/U markets (total & each team), BTTS yes/no, win to nil yes/no, correct score (obv), then all the specials markets (O2.5gl BTTS ets), once you've gotten through all that you can go to betfair and lay everything that doesn't come in. How much fun, just printing.
If you knew the match details, who scores, time of goals, # of card, # of corners etc then that's even more fun!
£500k. T
hen i'd be beg/borrowing/stealing from anywhere possible, offering people 25% freerolls to put bets on, offering 20% vig on 3day loans etc, try get some credit accounts somewhere, sell things, take everything to the pawnshop etc, actually sounds fun
We need to suggest it to Lord Sugar.....great task for The Appentice
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Woodsey
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Re: #saveblonde Hypothetical discussions thread
«
Reply #7 on:
March 12, 2017, 05:48:35 PM »
If I could convince you lot it was true maybe about a milly and I could then pull off blondes greatest grim and bugger off to the arse end of the Philippines and live happily ever after
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SuuPRlim
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Re: #saveblonde Hypothetical discussions thread
«
Reply #8 on:
March 12, 2017, 05:49:42 PM »
Quote from: Woodsey on March 12, 2017, 05:48:35 PM
If I could convince you lot it was true maybe about a milly and I could then pull off blondes greatest grim and bugger off to the arse end of the Philippines and live happily ever after
you'd convince me i promise you that!
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Mohican
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Re: #saveblonde Hypothetical discussions thread
«
Reply #9 on:
March 12, 2017, 07:57:52 PM »
Quote from: Woodsey on March 12, 2017, 05:48:35 PM
If I could convince you lot it was true maybe about a milly and I could then pull off blondes greatest grim and bugger off to the arse end of the Philippines and live happily ever after
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Cymru am byth
rfgqqabc
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Re: #saveblonde Hypothetical discussions thread
«
Reply #10 on:
March 12, 2017, 09:50:52 PM »
Try and get a photo taken with the ref. Use this as the evidence? Maybe fake an email? Imagine borrowing everything you can and getting it on only having to grab an extra £5 for a pint whilst the games on.
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The Camel
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Re: #saveblonde Hypothetical discussions thread
«
Reply #11 on:
March 12, 2017, 11:18:38 PM »
Is this hypothetical game fixed, or have we somehow tyravelled in time to learn the result.
If it's the former, the info is worth a great deal less than the latter.
You might end up in hundreds of thousands of debt and not get paid by the bookmakers...
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SuuPRlim
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Re: #saveblonde Hypothetical discussions thread
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Reply #12 on:
March 13, 2017, 09:10:42 AM »
Quote from: cambridgealex on March 12, 2017, 03:42:00 PM
Assume there wont be any problem getting paid, no investigation or whatever.
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The Camel
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Under my tree, being a troll.
Re: #saveblonde Hypothetical discussions thread
«
Reply #13 on:
March 13, 2017, 09:45:43 AM »
Quote from: SuuPRlim on March 13, 2017, 09:10:42 AM
Quote from: cambridgealex on March 12, 2017, 03:42:00 PM
Assume there wont be any problem getting paid, no investigation or whatever.
Dang, I knew there was a reason to read the OP in its entirity.
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
cambridgealex
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#lovethegame
Re: #saveblonde Hypothetical discussions thread
«
Reply #14 on:
March 13, 2017, 02:27:11 PM »
2. How long would you make the person closest to you spend in prison in order to save your pinkie finger?
(You can chose the hand
)
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