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Author Topic: The long overdue (no staking) tennis betting and discussion thread  (Read 95638 times)
Ironside
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« Reply #780 on: April 09, 2024, 06:48:33 PM »

My bold predictions for the year

Andy will retire after the US open he will announce it before Wimbledon
Draper will be GB number 1
Norrie won't be seeded at Wimbledon
Watson will focus on doubles now she has a ranking good enough to get her into choice of WTA and her singles ranking is ITF
We will have 2 women seeded for the US open


Think Andy retires
Draper will be number 1, but Norrie will be seeded for Wimbledon.  Think we may have 3 men's seeds as Evans is playing well again.
Agree on Watson.
Think 2 women's seeds at US Open is a big ask.  Think Boulter is 50/50.  Burrage is too flakey late in games right now, need to improve her mental game.  Dart can get closer to top 50.  Am pretty sure Raducanu gets to top 32 again, but think the earliest is after US Open.  Think she'll need to get last 8 in a grand slam and/or win a WTA 250 and do pretty well elsewhere. She'll also be unseeded for some time in WTAs and Grand Slams, so could get some dreadful draws. 

4 months on from my BOLD predictions

1) Andy had basically announced his retirement
2) Jack is closing in on Norrie but injury and fitness are not right yet
3) Norrie needs a deep run soon or he will be lucky to be top 50 come Wimbledon
4) singles keep falling but she hasn't got a settled doubles partner yet
5) Burrage's injury has hampered this one can't see anyone joining Boulter (hoping her form remains strong enough) as a seed now
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« Reply #781 on: April 09, 2024, 06:49:41 PM »

Drapers match today was good but got a toughest possible 1st round draw
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« Reply #782 on: April 13, 2024, 05:59:06 PM »

Emma looked good past this weekend, and Harriet looked much better today than yesterday.

If Emma can play like that' stay clear of injury and keep getting the wildcards she should be able to get inside the top 100 sooner rather
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« Reply #783 on: April 14, 2024, 12:19:40 AM »

Emma looked good past this weekend, and Harriet looked much better today than yesterday.

If Emma can play like that' stay clear of injury and keep getting the wildcards she should be able to get inside the top 100 sooner rather

Harriet as been playing well recently, but was no better on day 2 than day 1.  Katie on the other hand...

Winning away on clay when neither has much experience was a top top result. 

Raducanu is looking a lot better this year than last year.  Top 100 should be feasible by the end of summer.  Hopefullly she can get to the quarter finals at wimbledon or somewhere.
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« Reply #784 on: April 14, 2024, 05:10:30 PM »

FFS school boy error my excuse of lack of sleep wont cut it i suppose :-)

yeah, IF she can stay fit a week or 2 of good tennis and luck of the draws can get her back in the mix she is only 506 points outside the top 100
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« Reply #785 on: April 18, 2024, 03:42:24 PM »

Raducanu on just after 6 tonight after 3 easier matches.  Noskova is a bright young thing who has just beaten Ostapenko.  Playing her and Swiatek will give a better picture of where Raducanu is now(don't think the scoreline Vs Kerber reflects the match, and the BJK matches were both 3 setters, so can't get carried away yet).  Don't think Raducanu was completely fit at the end of the Kerber match, which goes someway to explaining the 2.62 odds on Raducanu.  Also Raducanu is having to wait for dropouts to see if she avoids qualifying for the French Open. Not convinced she gets a wild card there.  Though maybe if she beats Swiatek, they can't ignore her?  Big odds on winning the next two matches for Raducanu, so unlikely to be relevant.

One thing I didn't expect at the start of the year was Dan Evans retiring, but it at least looks a possibility judging by some recent comments.  Norrie is still clinging on to his top 32 spot. 
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« Reply #786 on: April 18, 2024, 08:06:06 PM »

Raducanu on just after 6 tonight after 3 easier matches.  Noskova is a bright young thing who has just beaten Ostapenko.  Playing her and Swiatek will give a better picture of where Raducanu is now(don't think the scoreline Vs Kerber reflects the match, and the BJK matches were both 3 setters, so can't get carried away yet).  Don't think Raducanu was completely fit at the end of the Kerber match, which goes someway to explaining the 2.62 odds on Raducanu.  Also Raducanu is having to wait for dropouts to see if she avoids qualifying for the French Open. Not convinced she gets a wild card there.  Though maybe if she beats Swiatek, they can't ignore her?  Big odds on winning the next two matches for Raducanu, so unlikely to be relevant.

One thing I didn't expect at the start of the year was Dan Evans retiring, but it at least looks a possibility judging by some recent comments.  Norrie is still clinging on to his top 32 spot. 

Easy game it turns out.  Looking like a potential top 10 player again.
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« Reply #787 on: April 18, 2024, 08:13:03 PM »

great win from Emma tonight against a player just outside the top 30, tomorrows game will be interesting. She could put herself in the wildcard picture with a win tomorrow how ever unlikely that is
Yeah can't see the appeal for Evans playing in challenger events and/or qualifying matches unless he finds some form he is GB number 4 now so not even assured a spot on the bench for Davis cup.


In doubles news i see Bains and Lumsden are back together this week neither did anything major during there split
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« Reply #788 on: April 19, 2024, 01:14:08 PM »

Raducanu 10/1 for this afternoon.  Probably going to struggle to watch any of it as at work.  Couldn't resist a muggy few quid on her though.  Doesn't feel like a 10/1 chance, even if Swiatek is so dominant on clay. 
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« Reply #789 on: April 19, 2024, 03:18:56 PM »

Raducanu 10/1 for this afternoon.  Probably going to struggle to watch any of it as at work.  Couldn't resist a muggy few quid on her though.  Doesn't feel like a 10/1 chance, even if Swiatek is so dominant on clay. 

she didn't have it all her own way vrs Mertens yesterday but yeah she didn't look like losing either

going to be a tea time match by the look of it
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« Reply #790 on: April 20, 2024, 12:41:22 AM »



Played so well.  Loved this point from about 3:30
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« Reply #791 on: April 21, 2024, 07:03:13 PM »

Emma has wildcard into Madrid, Katie is seeded 28 and Dart is in qualifying.
Watson's ranking doesn't get her into qualifying not sure about the doubles.
Norrie is seeded 30 with Draper and Evans in the main draw.

Bains and Lumsden narrowly lost in the final of the doubles no idea if they are back together long term.
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« Reply #792 on: April 24, 2024, 10:32:31 AM »

Evans has pulled out of Madrid, i am assuming injured
Watson has partnered with Xu in the doubles
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« Reply #793 on: April 25, 2024, 10:43:39 AM »

Evans has pulled out of Madrid, i am assuming injured
Watson has partnered with Xu in the doubles

That is interesting.  Assuming Watson is just playing with her as Klugman is more limited than Xu in how much she can play.

I see Boulter is playing with Vandrousova today.  Playing alongside someone so good should help her get even better?

Notice Raducanu got a whole load of abuse again yesterday.  She has played several really strong games this year, throws in one bad one and immediately she is a fraud again.  Won't do her any harm to have a rest and look forward to defending her zero points for the rest of the year. 
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« Reply #794 on: April 25, 2024, 03:51:40 PM »



That is interesting.  Assuming Watson is just playing with her as Klugman is more limited than Xu in how much she can play.



Klugman and Watson? 
Xu and Watson teamed up as ranked 41 and 48 Xu just plays doubles and is 35 Watson nearly 32 and can't even get into the qualifying events with her singles ranking anymore.
Both looking for long term partners i think with a ranking that gets them into the main draw.

Missed the Boulter match 6-0 in 2nd set is impressive in doubles
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