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Author Topic: Lets talk about set over set  (Read 1974 times)
thetank
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« Reply #15 on: April 07, 2006, 03:35:38 PM »

You'll see it less than once every 400 hands though because not everyone will see a flop with every pocket pair they're dealt.


Poker math is a bitch.
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NoflopsHomer
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« Reply #16 on: April 07, 2006, 03:44:13 PM »

You'll see it less than once every 400 hands though because not everyone will see a flop with every pocket pair they're dealt.


Poker math is a bitch.

Poker mathS

You're not a yank!!!
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thetank
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« Reply #17 on: April 07, 2006, 04:21:49 PM »

Fair point. My s key is sticky, honest guv.

That reminds me, look at the options when you post to Change Colour

Damn Yankees.
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doubleup
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« Reply #18 on: April 07, 2006, 05:38:36 PM »

The problem of "If I have a pair what are the odds of someone else having a pair in a 10 handed game" is actually quite complex and I didn't see a satisfactory answer in a long thread on twoplustwo a few years ago.

So I will approximate and say that the probability of you having a pair is .059 and at least one other player having a pair is .42.  Your chance of a set on the flop is .117 his is .082.  That all adds up to approximately once every 4000 hands I think.  6 handed about every 7000.  hmmmmm Cryptos rng needs an ovehaul.

Just had another thought - these are the odds of any set over set flop - for you to be on the wrong end of the transaction is much lower than this.
« Last Edit: April 07, 2006, 07:49:22 PM by doubleup » Logged
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