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TightEnd
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« Reply #3195 on: June 24, 2016, 02:50:17 AM » |
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One pollster now calls it 68% leave likelihood
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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arbboy
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« Reply #3196 on: June 24, 2016, 02:52:33 AM » |
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Hard to understand how leave is still 7/4. Should be shorter surely than it was an hour ago?
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AndrewT
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« Reply #3197 on: June 24, 2016, 02:53:43 AM » |
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Is there a recount threshold?
What happens if the last result comes in and one side is one vote ahead - do they count them all again?
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TightEnd
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« Reply #3198 on: June 24, 2016, 02:53:53 AM » |
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Hard to understand how leave is still 7/4. Should be shorter surely than it was an hour ago?
most certainly, I think they look favourites because London turnout is lower than leave areas. |
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Logged
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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AndrewT
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« Reply #3199 on: June 24, 2016, 02:54:32 AM » |
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Swansea result seems to have pushed Leave from 2.7 to 2.4
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TightEnd
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« Reply #3200 on: June 24, 2016, 02:55:07 AM » |
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Is there a recount threshold?
What happens if the last result comes in and one side is one vote ahead - do they count them all again?
no recounts. One vote ahead wins |
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Logged
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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AndrewT
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« Reply #3201 on: June 24, 2016, 02:56:59 AM » |
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Leave is about to go favourite
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arbboy
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« Reply #3202 on: June 24, 2016, 02:57:21 AM » |
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Mrs Bandit followed Arb in at 7/4. Leave now favs. How much you had on Mrs Bandit? Cool £10m?
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McGlashan
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« Reply #3203 on: June 24, 2016, 02:57:40 AM » |
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This is betting market is looking like the general election all over again. I wish it wasn't so I could get to bed and sleep easy.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #3204 on: June 24, 2016, 02:59:13 AM » |
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Remain is going to get gubbed having been 1/12 earlier. Twice in two years. Polling industry death knell coming out of the cupboard....
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Logged
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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TightEnd
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« Reply #3205 on: June 24, 2016, 03:01:25 AM » |
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Leave odds on....what a remarkable night, again
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Logged
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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teddybloat
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« Reply #3206 on: June 24, 2016, 03:05:56 AM » |
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Any chance the big cities can sway things back the other way?
Huge catchment areas, much more likely to declare later and maybe likely to be remain leaning.
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bobby1
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« Reply #3207 on: June 24, 2016, 03:06:32 AM » |
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Leave odds on....what a remarkable night, again
Incredible scenes. |
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“The two most important days in your life are the day you are born and the day you find out why.”
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vegaslover
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« Reply #3208 on: June 24, 2016, 03:07:00 AM » |
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Arb - You must be out of it for the month now?  |
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AndrewT
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« Reply #3209 on: June 24, 2016, 03:07:02 AM » |
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Any chance the big cities can sway things back the other way?
Huge catchment areas, much more likely to declare later and maybe likely to be remain leaning.
They can, but turnout seems to be a few clicks lower in London than anticipated - Leave may be too far in front |
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