Tips by Tighty

[TightEnd]

British Grand Prix £10 ew Webber 10-1 Stan James

reasoning at http://www.betpal.com/british-grand-prix-2013-betting-preview       

Winner

2nd e/w having been fifteenth when Grosjean-ed at the start. Another lap or two he wins

-----

Profit £524.03 on £1947.75

ROI  26.9%

Outstanding

£50 Clarke top Aus batsman Ashes 5/2 PP
Swann top bowler in the top English market too £30 at 3-1 B365
£15 ew Middlesex e/w 7-1,
e/w Northants County Champ Div 2 20-1 (£5 ew),12-1 (£7.5 ew)
£25 Vettel 11/8 F1 WC.

[DungBeetle]

Those last 12 laps were fantastic entertainment!

[TightEnd]

http://www.betpal.com/the-ashes-preview-of-the-2013-series

The first of three Ashes articles (I won't be backing correct scores personally, but think those are the best at the odds)

The second two will be Swann top Eng bowler and Clarke top Aus batsman, next week

Then test by test coverage/recommendations

I am also doing some ball by ball coverage on @bythemincricket starting next week

[TightEnd]

Following on from my posts yesterday

Pirelli new tyres for this weekend, big advantage to Red Bull and especially Mercedes

Merc the fastest car in the field on short pace, can now translate that into race form

Pirelli will strengthen its tyres ahead of this weekend's German Grand Prix to try to avoid a repeat of the six blowouts seen at Silverstone.

The rear tyres' internal belt will be made of Kevlar at the Nurburgring this weekend rather than the usual steel.

"Furthermore, if the Kevlar-belted tyre that Pirelli wished to introduce from Canada but was prevented from doing, is now introduced, it will have the side effect of reducing rear temperatures by around 10-deg C. This will be of enormous help to Mercedes, giving it a much better chance of maintaining its dazzling qualifying form into the races - possibly to such an extent that we may see one or both of the Mercedes drivers coming back at Vettel in the championship."


http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/german-grand-prix/winning-car

ME: £40 Mercedes at 9/4 B365

We don't need to decide Hamilton or Rosberg, we get both in a virtual match bet against Vettel and Webber as a 9/4 plays Evens dog

See 9/4 disappearing if Mercedes get pole/two on front two rows as they should do at the Nurburgring


Alternative

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/german-grand-prix/highest-scoring-team

Merc at 11/5, Vettel can win and Mercedes can still scoop the bet

The top ten finishers in each Grand Prix score points towards both the drivers’ and the constructors’ world championships, according to the following scale:

1st : 25 points
2nd : 18 points
3rd : 15 points
4th : 12 points
5th : 10 points
6th : 8 points
7th : 6 points
8th : 4 points
9th : 2 points
10th : 1 point

[superwomble]

Merc highest scoring team now best 9/5 at PP. Do you still see that as value?

[TightEnd]

Merc highest scoring team now best 9/5 at PP. Do you still see that as value?

Hard to say

I think its a virtual match with Red Bull. Lets give Red Bull favouritism because of Vettel, his track record and Hamilton's propensity for errors

I would have thought 6/4 Red Bull 7/4 Merc was about right

(buyer beware, its F1...Crashes, weather, stewards penalties, the lot can happen and probably will)

[TightEnd]

My Preview of the third British Lions Test

http://www.betpal.com/british-lions-v-australia-third-test-betting-preview

£25 at Evens here

TfT has Aus to win the series at 2.48 pre-series

[TightEnd]

German Grand Prix Betting Preview. All tyred out? Not for one team....http://www.betpal.com/german-grand-prix-formula-one-betting-preview

[superwomble]

Merc highest scoring team now best 9/5 at PP. Do you still see that as value?

Hard to say

I think its a virtual match with Red Bull. Lets give Red Bull favouritism because of Vettel, his track record and Hamilton's propensity for errors

I would have thought 6/4 Red Bull 7/4 Merc was about right

(buyer beware, its F1...Crashes, weather, stewards penalties, the lot can happen and probably will)

Thanks, I'll have a little dabble on it.

[TightEnd]

they might not win tomorrow but the Hamilton quote about having an equal car to Vettel is interesting

http://www1.skysports.com/formula-1/news/12433/8811103/Lewis-Hamilton-says-he-has-a-car-the-equal-of-Sebastian-Vettel-for-the-first-time-

definitely on the right lines to have Mercedes while they are stillpriced as underdogs to Red Bull until prices adjust

[TightEnd]

The Ashes 2013, and a look at Top batsemn markets for both England and Australia http://www.betpal.com/the-ashes-2013-betting-market-preview-the-batsmen

I am on Clarke.