Swimming Against the Tide

[TheChipPrince]

They've suckered me in again:

200pts Newcastle @ 2.84

The total would be 1000+ with Newcy bets! 

[TheChipPrince]

They've suckered me in again:

200pts Newcastle @ 2.84

The total would be 1000+ with Newcy bets! 

Oh balls, how disheartening, i've wasted my 4000th post on fkin Geordie's!   

[action man]

I don't think anybody is disputing that Newcastle are unlikely to win. They are obviously a very good bet at nearly 4-1 though.

as i said to teacake today, i totally disagree with this, i think 4/1 is underpricing newcastle TBH

id have them around 6/1 or 7/1 today!

ROFL dave your clueless mate.

so you would have to price the game as about   1/4 blackburn    3/1 draw   newcastle 7/1

[The Camel]

They've suckered me in again:

200pts Newcastle @ 2.84

What a surprise.

Newcastle LOSE -200

Running Total: +389.

Three fancies tonight, but nothing to go mad about:

200pts West Brom @ 3.6
LAY 200pts Wolves @ 1.6
100pts Southampton @ 3.45

[action man]

wow had the burnley game   6/4     11/5    13/8             off to get involved

[The Camel]

Wolves are shortening like there's no tomorrow.

I've put in another lay of 200pts @ 1.57, if it gets matched, it's another bet.

[TheChipPrince]

Rochdale were 6/5 to win at Chester earlier this morning when I looked,  4/5 now, I wonder how much they have to take before they consider altering the price, would be interesting to find out...

[The Camel]

Rochdale were 6/5 to win at Chester earlier this morning when I looked,  4/5 now, I wonder how much they have to take before they consider altering the price, would be interesting to find out...

If you're talking about traditional bookies.. the figure is £0.

They have software which alerts them to Betfair movements and if they are offering arbs they change their price immediately.

[Scottish Dave]

I don't think anybody is disputing that Newcastle are unlikely to win. They are obviously a very good bet at nearly 4-1 though.

as i said to teacake today, i totally disagree with this, i think 4/1 is underpricing newcastle TBH

id have them around 6/1 or 7/1 today!

ROFL dave your clueless mate.

so you would have to price the game as about   1/4 blackburn    3/1 draw   newcastle 7/1

ROFL, thanks for your comments mate, and yes you are correct, i would price them that price....

considering they were pumped 3-0, im just wonder how your words are Tasting right now.

[Colchester Kev]

Come on Burnley .... soz Keith.

[Scottish Dave]

Come on Burnley .... soz Keith.

FML....again, and again, and again!

[Robert HM]

West Brom/Burnley? who cares. Backed West Brom early, cashed in before kick off to secure small profit.

[action man]

I don't think anybody is disputing that Newcastle are unlikely to win. They are obviously a very good bet at nearly 4-1 though.

as i said to teacake today, i totally disagree with this, i think 4/1 is underpricing newcastle TBH

id have them around 6/1 or 7/1 today!

ROFL dave your clueless mate.

so you would have to price the game as about   1/4 blackburn    3/1 draw   newcastle 7/1

ROFL, thanks for your comments mate, and yes you are correct, i would price them that price....

considering they were pumped 3-0, im just wonder how your words are Tasting right now.

1) i posted after the match while i was aware of the score

2)you, like 99% of the other mug punters in the uk don't bet for value. You bet for a punt. Big diference here. I'll explain.

Betting for value is a lot like being a proffessional poker player, insomuch as its a long term +EV kinda thing. If i price a match up at 6/5  12/5  9/4 and the home team is quoted 6/4 i will back them. Regardless of the score, in my opinion i got the value. If The bookies priced Man utd up evs to beat stoke at home we would all lump on for value. Now it is still a good value bet even if they lose. I'd imagine you would be in the camp of, "it was a bad bet. Hindsight is 20/20 mate.

People who bet for value are not results orientated. The result doesnt matter as long as your betting with value, as if you are you will be a long term winner. Maybe you should try it, then you could afford your own $10 mtt's on a cold snowy monday.

[Scottish Dave]

I don't think anybody is disputing that Newcastle are unlikely to win. They are obviously a very good bet at nearly 4-1 though.

as i said to teacake today, i totally disagree with this, i think 4/1 is underpricing newcastle TBH

id have them around 6/1 or 7/1 today!

ROFL dave your clueless mate.

so you would have to price the game as about   1/4 blackburn    3/1 draw   newcastle 7/1

ROFL, thanks for your comments mate, and yes you are correct, i would price them that price....

considering they were pumped 3-0, im just wonder how your words are Tasting right now.

1) i posted after the match while i was aware of the score

2)you, like 99% of the other mug punters in the uk don't bet for value. You bet for a punt. Big diference here. I'll explain.

Betting for value is a lot like being a proffessional poker player, insomuch as its a long term +EV kinda thing. If i price a match up at 6/5  12/5  9/4 and the home team is quoted 6/4 i will back them. Regardless of the score, in my opinion i got the value. If The bookies priced Man utd up evs to beat stoke at home we would all lump on for value. Now it is still a good value bet even if they lose. I'd imagine you would be in the camp of, "it was a bad bet. Hindsight is 20/20 mate.

People who bet for value are not results orientated. The result doesnt matter as long as your betting with value, as if you are you will be a long term winner. Maybe you should try it, then you could afford your own $10 mtt's on a cold snowy monday.

lol you really are clueless!

[Colchester Kev]

weeeeeeeeeeeeee 3-1