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Poker Hand Analysis
Got 99 problems but a TT+ just ship pf?
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Topic: Got 99 problems but a TT+ just ship pf? (Read 1296 times)
muckthenuts
Hero Member
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Posts: 1693
Got 99 problems but a TT+ just ship pf?
«
on:
August 07, 2011, 11:46:10 PM »
$15 45man turbo on Stars. No info on either player, table just broke so they're proper randomers. I thought about this for a bit and decided i didn't really know how close a decision this was:
This is the final table. 9 left, 7 pay.
Poker Stars $13.78+$1.22 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t600/t1200 Blinds + t75 - 9 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos
Hand History Converter
SB: t4913 M = 1.99
BB: t11058 M = 4.47
UTG: t5997 M = 2.42
UTG+1: t2973 M = 1.20
UTG+2: t7601 M = 3.07
MP1: t3432 M = 1.39
MP2: t10321 M = 4.17
CO: t9108 M = 3.68
Hero (BTN): t12097 M = 4.89
Pre Flop:
(t2475) Hero is BTN with
1 fold
, UTG+1 raises to t2898 all in, UTG+2 calls t2898,
3 folds
, Hero...
«
Last Edit: August 07, 2011, 11:50:31 PM by muckthenuts
»
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Solaris
Hero Member
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Posts: 1056
Re: Got 99 problems but a TT+ just ship pf?
«
Reply #1 on:
August 08, 2011, 12:11:34 AM »
I'm shipping 100% of the time in that spot.
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toddswain
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Posts: 2260
Re: Got 99 problems but a TT+ just ship pf?
«
Reply #2 on:
August 08, 2011, 01:08:27 AM »
Quote from: Solaris on August 08, 2011, 12:11:34 AM
I'm shipping 100% of the time in that spot.
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Cf
Global Moderator
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Posts: 8089
Re: Got 99 problems but a TT+ just ship pf?
«
Reply #3 on:
August 08, 2011, 04:01:28 AM »
Get it in!
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Moskvich
Hero Member
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Posts: 1008
Re: Got 99 problems but a TT+ just ship pf?
«
Reply #4 on:
August 08, 2011, 07:13:46 AM »
I'd probably just get it in most of the time, but it's definitely close. Pretty hard to get Wiz to like a shove here with any realistic ranges, given how tight people (presumably) play these spots these days. Quite hard to analyse anyway, but especially without any ideas of gameflow etc - UTG +2 may well fold more often than you'd think, which if we win gives us the perfect spot with the big stack on the bubble. If he calls and we win then we've got double the second stack but have burst the bubble, so we have more chips but maybe not such a big edge. So yeah, think 99 is a fold and TT is a toss-up probably.
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outragous76
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Posts: 13363
Yeah Bitch! ......... MAGNETS! owwwh!
Re: Got 99 problems but a TT+ just ship pf?
«
Reply #5 on:
August 08, 2011, 10:37:38 AM »
Quote from: toddswain on August 08, 2011, 01:08:27 AM
Quote from: Solaris on August 08, 2011, 12:11:34 AM
I'm shipping 100% of the time in that spot.
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".....and then I spent 2 hours talking with Stu which blew my mind.........."
Nit Tendencies
Sr. Member
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Posts: 584
Is this some kind of hilarious practical joke?
Re: Got 99 problems but a TT+ just ship pf?
«
Reply #6 on:
August 08, 2011, 12:22:58 PM »
I'm not loving life but I'm always getting it in.
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Is this some kind of hilarious practical joke?
SuuPRlim
Hero Member
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Posts: 10536
Re: Got 99 problems but a TT+ just ship pf?
«
Reply #7 on:
August 08, 2011, 01:31:26 PM »
Quote from: Moskvich on August 08, 2011, 07:13:46 AM
I'd probably just get it in most of the time,
good enough for me!
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http://lildaveslife.blogspot.com/
www.thefirmpoker.com
GreekStein
Hero Member
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Posts: 20912
Re: Got 99 problems but a TT+ just ship pf?
«
Reply #8 on:
August 08, 2011, 01:41:30 PM »
V good title btw!
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Longy
Professional Hotel Locator.
Learning Centre Group
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Posts: 10064
Go Ducks!
Re: Got 99 problems but a TT+ just ship pf?
«
Reply #9 on:
August 08, 2011, 02:50:04 PM »
Deffo getting it in with 10's, we cover both so there is no ICM disasters to be had here. The only possible read that could change our thinking here is utg+2 would flat the top of his range and iso weaker parts of his range, but in all likeliness a random does the opposite.
I think around 88+,AQo+ is my range here, though would be deffo considering ajs as an interesting spot.
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Solaris
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Posts: 1056
Re: Got 99 problems but a TT+ just ship pf?
«
Reply #10 on:
August 08, 2011, 02:55:21 PM »
Quote from: Longy on August 08, 2011, 02:50:04 PM
Deffo getting it in with 10's, we cover both so there is no ICM disasters to be had here. The only possible read that could change our thinking here is utg+2 would flat the top of his range and iso weaker parts of his range,
but in all likeliness a random does the opposite
.
I think around 88+,AQo+ is my range here, though would be deffo considering ajs as an interesting spot.
That's what will always make me get it in, in this spot. Don't ever see a random flatting anything but their weaker hands in this spot as they want to give themselves the opportunity to fold.
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