What are the odds???

[dan]

right can somebody confirm what the odds are on catching running suited cards on the turn and river please.

for example flop    if you have    what are the odds that you make your flush with running hearts.

i dont want it as a percentage but odds, xx/1.

i have a bet with cupcake over the outcome and this seems the easiest way to prove the outcome.


thanks in advance.

[matt674]

depends - is the example during a live game or online?

 

[Bongo]

0?

[matt674]

lol, yeah - i just saw you used  in your example too!!

[dan]

0?

lol, yeah - i just saw you used  in your example too!!

ok ok smart arses.

fixed it

[matt674]

21/1

[dan]

21/1

are you sure, does anybody else agree with that, there is money riding on it

[matt674]

45 cards left in deck 10 of which are hearts therefore chance of heart on turn is 45/10

then providing the turn is a heart there are 44 cards left in deck of which 9 are hearts therefore chance of heart on river is 44/9

chance of both being hearts is (45/10)x(44/9) = 22 or 21/1

thats in the jungle anyway

[Eck]

45 cards left in deck 10 of which are hearts therefore chance of heart on turn is 45/10

then providing the turn is a heart there are 44 cards left in deck of which 9 are hearts therefore chance of heart on river is 44/9

chance of both being hearts is (45/10)x(44/9) = 22 or 21/1

thats in the jungle anyway

They only have 50 cards in these jungle packs? Would have thought 47 (52-5) maybe i'm daft and missing something?

changing the 45/44 to 47/46 gives 24/1.

[totalise]

I dont think you can use 45 cards because then you are assuming that the villain if there is one doesn't have any hearts

I get 1 in 24, or 23/1

(47*46)/2 is 1081 possible turn/river combos, and off them 45 will bring a flush (10*9/2)  so 45/1084 is 1 in 24, so 23/1

[matt674]

They only have 50 cards in these jungle packs? Would have thought 47 (52-5) maybe i'm daft and missing something?

changing the 45/44 to 47/46 gives 24/1.

my jungle opponent normally has 2 as well

[NoflopsHomer]

45 cards left in deck 10 of which are hearts therefore chance of heart on turn is 45/10

then providing the turn is a heart there are 44 cards left in deck of which 9 are hearts therefore chance of heart on river is 44/9

chance of both being hearts is (45/10)x(44/9) = 22 or 21/1

thats in the jungle anyway

They only have 50 cards in these jungle packs? Would have thought 47 (52-5) maybe i'm daft and missing something?

changing the 45/44 to 47/46 gives 24/1.

52 - minus 3 cards for the flop, minus 4 cards for the players hole cards.

[matt674]

I dont think you can use 45 cards because then you are assuming that the villain if there is one doesn't have any hearts

I get 1 in 24, or 23/1

(47*46)/2 is 1081 possible turn/river combos, and off them 45 will bring a flush (10*9/2)  so 45/1084 is 1 in 24, so 23/1

Apologies, maybe i should have said "provided all 10 hearts are live" in my first post

[AndrewT]

I dont think you can use 45 cards because then you are assuming that the villain if there is one doesn't have any hearts

I get 1 in 24, or 23/1

(47*46)/2 is 1081 possible turn/river combos, and off them 45 will bring a flush (10*9/2)  so 45/1084 is 1 in 24, so 23/1

This is correct.

[Eck]

Not that daft.

Just if you are looking at the odds you can't dicount the other hole cards. where in the question did it state it was HU if it is a table of 10 do we base it on 29 cards?