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I thought it would be fun to have a thread that focussed on football betting. I can't see another thread on this topic.

I'll try to post my views on bets I think are value.

I hope there will be some contributions and ideas shared.

In the midweek games I've had three singles as follows :

Ipswich 27/10 at Wednesday. I think 27/10 is value. Ipswich in form, from people who have seen them recently I understand they are a well organised and effective unit. Wednesday have had a great start to the season, but one or two cracks are showing in the squad depth. Lees missing at centre half is a big loss, and whilst Wednesday have ground out results they are scoring very few goals.

Notts County 13/8 at Crewe. Crewe are really struggling and I think Notts County are under estimated. They have played teams like Peterborough, Orient and Chesterfield recently and not lost. I would make them shorter than 13/8.

Fulham evens against Bolton. Fulham have had an awful start, but Kit Symons seems to be able to get more out of the players than the former manager, their confidence will be much improved after an away win at Birmingham, whilst Bolton are a team that I feel are in a downward spiral that is hard to break. Whilst you could argue Fulham are in a similar mess, I think they will have too much for Bolton - Bolton have scored one goal away from home in league games all season.

I hope others will contribute and give constructive criticism too.

Great idea Rick, thank you.

I think Notts Co are under rated by the bookies in nearly every game they play - the only problem is they pick up an awful lot of draws.

Don't think Fulham can be trusted yet at evens - even against Bolton!

Thought chelsea 1.84 looked good tonight

Nice to get 2 out of 3 winners.

Both Notts County and Fulham won comfortably. Went to the Wednesday v Ipswich game and I was surprised at how poor Ipswich were.

Hopefully the weekend football will give us some more bets.

Started to add a few bets for this Saturday.

Bury v Tranmere

Tranmere scored once in last 4 games and this is a quote from their manager Rob Edwards who is clearly under pressure - "Our confidence is pretty wafer thin at the moment, when we go one goal down you can see that players are getting anxious and anxiety is going throughout the side and all of us."

Not the type of mindset and confidence level to go into an away game at Bury, who are flying.

I'm on Bury -1 goal at 23/10.

Scunthorpe v Doncaster

Scunthorpe are plagued with their worst injury crisis in recent history, at least 7 first team players out and Wilcox said that they were having to blood young players who "ran out of steam" in their last game.

Doncaster are hardly setting the world on fire but should have enough to beat a Scunthorpe second team.

So I've backed Donny at 17/10.

Bolton v Bournemouth

We all know Bolton are poor and they feel like a gift that will keep giving right now.

Whilst Bournemouth lost 2-0 at Derby in their last game (no disgrace there, Derby are a very good side), they have beaten Wigan and Cardiff 3-0 and 2-0 before that.

I think Bournemouth -1 goal at 3/1 is value, so I'm on that.

Mansfield v Accrington

Coleman is back at Accrington and has them playing well, he's got 2 young players in on loan and they are clearly full of confidence.

I've had Accrington DNB at 7/4.

Might post others before Saturdays games.

like a lot of those

Bolton will be a team to follow after their manager change, which must be imminent, assuming a decent appointment

Plenty of good players currently not performing

I'm not sure Tighty.  Bolton were poor at the end of last season, and were dreadful when they played Watford.  I know they still have some old premier league players who should be good, but it just seems a team that needs dismantling which they can't with their debt.  I fear for them this season.

Of the above bets the one I like is the Accrington one.  Really playing with a spring in the step at the moment.

Bolton have a hell of a lot of players with a fairly good reputation built on a few seasons or more ago

All on massive wages, Freedman has to go but i doubt they will suddenly change into a good side

that's fair enough, i know the debt situation doesn't leave a lot of flexibility

I know from the stories i heard about Beckford, Danns and Matt Mills at my club (all of whom Pearson wanted rid of asap and paid significant portions of their wages while their existing contracts were in place to get them to play elsewhere) that team spirit might be a problem at Bolton

in terms of talent in the squad though, its there

Couple more for Saturday.

Cheltenham v AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon are 14/5. Cheltenham have scored one goal in five games, in the same period Wimbledon have scored nine times.

I think Wimbledon are inconsistent but with Tubbs up front they have a proved goal scorer.

I had them shorter than 14/5 so I've back them.

Oxford v Newport County

Newport have started to put a run of results together after a slow start to season. They have only lost once in last 5 games to Swindon.

I know Tighty tipped them to do well this season and they seem to be adjusting whereas Oxford have been continuing to struggle.

I'm on them at 9/4.

I think that's me done, six bets in total, need two winners for a profit at these prices.

Anybody think Fulham are a tad overpriced at Middlesboro?  Fulham playing for the caretaker boss and won 3 in a row in all competitions.  Boro well respected but have lost 2 at home already and held by Blackpool in midweek so not exactly bulletproof.  3/4 seems short on the hosts!

First post, go easy on me!! Rick BFA introduced me to the forum. Is anyone finding betting this weekend tough? I am struggling to find VALUE - The biggest lesson TFT has taught me. I find the Bolton fixture intriguing. According to Muamba, players were frozen out of by Freedman. I have had experience of managerial changes when players wanted to die for a manager or alternatively when we packed his wash bag!! i agree with tight end that there is talent in Boltons squad. Nevertheless players confidence is low and players who have been left out in the Freedman regime will not be match fit. I think 2/3 changes will be made to the starting 11 and possibly 3/4 to the matchday squad. A different atmosphere and voice in the changing rooms will make a difference. I'm recommending bolton DNB 31/20. I just think Boltons lack of confidence and match fitness may prove to much. I will certainly be backing them away to BIrmingham on the 18th October.

welcome to the forum Mr Fun.

Stick it up on tips for tikay thread as your first tip ;)

Bang on, it is VALUE we need. If we can't find value, we should keep the cash in our pockets, we don't HAVE to bet.

Welcome aboard Mr Fun, good to see some new blood here.

Decent day. 3 out of my 6 won, Donny at 17/10, Bury -1 at 23/10 and Accrington DNB 7/4.

Keeps us in profit.

Bournemouth had a man sent off and won 2-1, couldn't quite manage a 2 goal advantage, Wimbledon drew and Newport lost.

Thanks Rick & others, I used your recs for an idle saturday four fold that came in  :)up

Well done Rick, please do the same next week.

Starting looking at weekend football tonight.

I've had one bet so far.

Sheffield United play Orient on Saturday.

I know a few people who watch Sheffield United and 2 of them keep telling me they have little threat upfront and said they were lucky in their last home game against Gillingham. Those guys are decent judges and generally have a balanced perspective about their own teams ability or otherwise.

Higdon will be suspended on Saturday.

On paper Orient have signed some good players and have struggled at home but performed better away. They have signed another player this week from Wolves.

I'm on Orient at 5/2.

Hi Rick, I fancy Wrexham at home to Grimsby. Price is currently 6/4. Alan Alger, who I find extremely good from Betting Emporium tipped them during the week against Halifax. They were very unlucky registering 17 shots on goal away to an automatic promotion chasing team. Grimsby are struggling with a couple of injuries and it is no secret that they are desperately trying to sign a striker. I can't see past a home win.

I'm had 2 others bets for Saturday.

Tranmere v Plymouth

I'm happy to oppose Tranmere, who I think will continue to struggle with no confidence in the squad or management.

Whilst Plymouth have a great home record and lost their last 2 away games, their confidence will be high after beating Shrewsbury and Swindon in the last 2 games.

Momentum, confidence and self belief is a big factor in sport and here we have one team who are struggling in a downward spiral and another full of confidence.

I'm happy to back Plymouth at 2/1 as I thought they should be shorter.


Portsmouth v Mansfield

Mansfield's away record is poor.

Mansfield have played 7 away games, lost 6 and won 1. They have conceded 13 goals and scored only 4.

In contrast Portsmouth have won 4 out of 7 homes games.

I had Portsmouth slighty odds on for this game, so I'm on Portsmouth at 5/4.

Good thread Rick

Like one bet in the football league this weekend and a bigger one in Spain.

Ryan Brobbel is a young winger on loan at Hartlepool from M'boro. He scored 5 goals in 16 games for York last season and went on loan again last week.

The Pool caretaker boss played 4-3-3 last time out and looks set to do so again, Brobbel played in the front three and had four shots one of which i believe hit the bar.

At 16/1 first and 6/1 any worthy of a small bet

gd lk all

And the Spain one?

Sorry Ex, going to post that in TFT and same time in here just waiting/hoping more firms open up

Idiot post :)

.

Backed alex pearce in the Ireland game 40's 40's (first last) and a saver on 11/2 any with koral

that is definitely my lot

Fred's Goals Galore Coupon

Guy I follow on twitter had £150 @ 9/2 on

Brazil
Bristol City
Port Vale

Matches both teams to score

Without the coupon with Fred the odds are 2.54 which is ridiculous, best odds other than that are Laddies at 4.5 so a bit of value ontop of that as we are getting it at 5.5. I've had a play. Opinions?

Looks like a bit of value Omm.

Thanks Horsey, had a small bet on him at 18/1 e/w.

Bf markets make it 4.66 so a slight bit of value although that may be negated by it being a treble.

Rather frustrating afternoon.

Ending level.

Plymouth won at 2/1, Orient were 1-0 up until 90th minute with 10 men but game ended 2-2 and Portsmouth only managed a draw with Mansfield.

I gave up betting on Portsmouth early last season but was convinced they would be too strong for a weakened Mansfield side.

Brobbel had a chance at 0-0 but skewed it

Pearce was not even in squad which was strange and annoying

Had these bets for Saturdays football so far :

Sheff Wed v Watford

Wednesday play a counter attacking style, more effective away from home and score very few goals.

Watford are going to be in the promotion mix for me and I think they are definite value at 12/5. I think they should be shorter


Arsenal v Hull

Hull have only lost one game this season by 2 goals and that was against Man City, they are decent going forward and scored in every Premiership game this season.

I like Hull plus 2 goals on the handicap at 5/6.


Cheltenham v Northampton

I have commented on Cheltenham's lack of goals before on this thread, they have scored 4 goals in their last 6 games and are struggling.

Northampton are a different team this season but have just lost top scorer Marc Richards, who has scored 8 goals this season, to injury.

Northampton are 2/1 - if Richards was fit I would have backed them, I'm a little cautious now, so not backed them yet, perhaps Tighty or anyone else has an opinion.

Might add others later this week.

A couple of anytimes for Burnley v West Ham today:-

Downing 15/2
Tomkins 14/1 in a few spots, general 12/1

Tomkins stats are great in the opposition box. Close but no cigar last week so going again. Expect West Ham to have a good go.

Downing is an interesting one, never been a goalscorer but he is now moving into a slot behind the strikers which makes the price appealing. He moved back deeper last week against QPR but will be further forward this week with Noble coming back in. When he does play further forward his stats are good for involvement in the box so had a small interest.

Giving Ryan Brobbel another go at 16/1

Plus the Valencia to score lots of goals in the first half and preferably quickly as posted last week (whoops_

gd lk all

Happy with 2 from 2 winning.

Nice work Rick

Have added to the Valencia bet with another bet a chunky one on over 1.5 goals for Valencia in the first half at 9/2

Had some of your Valencia first half goals bet. Good luck.

awful game for me

Valencia could easily have had 2 or 3 in first twenty minutes but not to be

making a lot of excuses at present

Lots of games today.

So far I'm on these :

Crewe v Peterborough

I get the impression from Chompy's posts on TFT that Peterborough were hitting some form and starting to score more freely recently.

Crewe have won a couple of games but I think they will struggle to cope with Peterborough.

I like Peterborough -1 goal at 9/4.

Morcambe v York

Morcambe have had a tough run of games and York have a new manager which I think distorts the view of the odds compilers.

Morcambe beat Burton in their last game which wasn't an easy game and I think they should be shorter given the opposition.

Looks like Morcambe have no new injury worries so I'm on them at 15/8.

One more.

Colchester v Chesterfield

Under the radar I think Paul Cook has developed Chesterfield into a decent unit.

In their last 3 away games against Bristol City, Doncaster and Preston, they have scored 7 goals.

Impressed by their relative resilience even when falling behind in games.

I'm on Chesterfield at 7/4.


I was tempted by Accrington to beat Hartlepool at 13/10 but talked myself out of that one.

Brobbel
#
at 16;s again

Couldnt have gone much worse, your selections had the added weight of my cash Rick.  Should have warned you pre kick off. 

I also backed overs in the Bournemouth game and laid it back at half time for a loss.  I run so good.

Poor from me tonight, sorry :-(

Keep them coming.  I like to read about other leagues gives me some info I don't know of for my Saturday bus drivers as I mostly concentrate on the Scottish stuff. 

Bournemouth are 11/10 away at Birmingham on Saturday, what do you think Horsey, you've seen Bournemouth last 2 games, too short?

Looks about right to me

If they play like they did especially against Reading suspect that will be good enough but not much/any juice in that price imo

Looks like a cracking lay to me at 11/10.  Tough making it pay backing 11/10 shots away in the championship esp when the home team have just lost the gaffer.

Yep, thanks, I agree its too short to back them.

Posted this on TFT I have been doing well being against my own team Celtic after Midweek Euro games.  Plus we are pretty dreadful at the moment worse team I have seen in 21 years. 

Kilmarnock at 14/1 on Sunday I am on outright and have also backed them on Asian Handicap.  Will no doubt get further involved at the weekend. 

Struggling to find anything today, I'm on Kmac's Kilmarnock bet

Shrewsbury vs Portsmouth. 1@1.85 Shrewsbury haven't lost at home all season and Portsmouth haven't even scored away from home in at least 5 games.
Scunthorpe vs Notts county 2@2.7 Notts county are in great form and are coming up against an out of form Scunthorpe side who are dead last in league 1. Very generous odds imo. Scunny also have 2 players suspended.

easy :D

Nicely done :-)

Hi guys, I've been lurking this forum for a little while having been introduced to it by a couple posters on this site (Adam Picken and Dan Morgan), haven't posted before mainly because I haven't felt like I've had anything worthy to contribute (at least betting wise)! However I was having a look at premier league relegation odds after reading Redarmis post on the emporium and Leicester at 4/1 to be relegated struck me as nice. Although Leicester have scored 11 goals this season (not a high amount tho more at the moment than most of the other relegation "candidates"), they have only managed 87 attempts at goal this season putting them 4th bottom for this statistic. The teams below them are AVL (last 77) and HUL and SWA (both 85). BRN have had 108 attempts - tho of these attempts LEI have had 13 "big chances" compared to BRN 7 (HUL6 AVL 5 SWA 16 QPR 14 SUN 8 CPL 13 WBA 11 STO 10). Defensively, Leicester have conceded the 3rd most shorts inside the box out of anyone ( HUL 91 QPR 82 LEI 80 BRN 78 SWA 73 TOT 73), and the most shots outside the box (LEI 79 HUL 74 SUN 69 SWA 61 CPL 59 STO 59), putting them second bottom (ahead of HUL) for total shots conceded. They are also joint 3rd worst for "big chances" conceded (NEW 20 TOT 19 LEI 18 QPR 18 EVE 17 MCI 17 LIV 17 SUN 14), level with QPR and a fair way behind the other relegation contenders. I know this doesn't tell the whole story, but compared with the available odds I think there has to be value in this as WBA to be relegated can be found at the highest price of 3/1 (How they are favoured to be relegated over LEI I don't know), and QPR (LEI are only 1 point ahead of them) are 10/11. I can only think that the 5-3 win away against Man United has still clouded the bookies judgement.

I hope you guys find this useful whether you decided to punt on it or not - some thoughts/arguments would of course also be welcome! Also hope this is in the right thread:) GL!

Thanks for the post. Tighty will have the most informed view on this.

He follows Leicester and is an excellent judge.

I think on the TFT thread they have backed Leicester for a top ten finish pre season.

great post nuros

Must admit Leicesters recent form seems to have gone somewhat unremarked in the media

Heh oops hope I didn't just pee in Tighty's pond! :)

Thanks for the replies guys!

Interesting post.  I started out the season really liking Leicester and I tipped them up a few times including, I think, when they beat MU but the more I look at them now the more I think you are right.  Even that game against MU wasn't all it was cracked up to be and it really felt like United's defence threw it away.   They certainly are going to need to improve if they are going to survive.

Teams have worked Leicester out (as someone who has watched them live six times so far this season)

early on, we played "top six" teams who came onto us

we sat back, usually with no more than 35% of possession in these games

played on the counter, lots of pace out wide and early service into Ulloa

this worked best in the infamous Man U game where Man U showed astonishing tactical naivety, with 3 at the back playing a very high line, no holding midfield cover and we got in behind and caught them repeatedly

Inevitably at that point teams see how we play. By the time we had 8 points from 6 games we then went to Palace away

Even at home they defended much deeper, there was no room in behind. When the wide players got the ball they were double marked. This is a characteristic of Warnock teams, he does his reaseach and tries to take away your strengths first..then think about playing themselves  

We created nothing, as the central midfielders are not box to box/get in front of the top two players, they tend to play in front of the defence. Looks nice, but the play is slow to develop and you can't break sides down when they are defending deeper

we were burgled out of of three points at home to Burnley

then went to Newcastle and Swansea. Same story. they defend deep, cut the service to the wide men, reduce any opportunities to play on the counter

we create nothing, ulloa's goals dry up and of course we are always going to concede one or two.


So, is it terminal? No, we need to adjust

Vardy is wasted out wide, play him up with Ulloa

Nugent isn't required playing in behind Ulloa, doesn't create anything

go back to 4-4-2

you can't play cambiasso in a midfield two (which is why we have been playing three) so you have, in January to look at adding a player of the style of Shelvey, Schneiderlin, Noble, Nolan...the sort of midfielder that can create at one end and sit in front of the back four at the other when required, probably from a continental league

our midfielders are too one dimensional  


ultimately, i think and hope there are three worse teams in the division than us. Burnley, Sunderland loomk to be two of them

4-1 is a fair price though, given our recent form and challenges to our style.

this happened again today

4 central midfielders picked, in what i assumed was a diamond

but no, flat middle 4 with two square pegs in round holes wide

created nothing, and what we tried to create developed so slowly in front to off the opposituion back four that it was easy to defend

mahrez, a class creative player, not even brought on from the bench

kncokaert, schlupp, albrighton, all of whom have their faults but all are either tricky and/or quick not even in the matchday 18

afterwards Pearson claimed we were unlucky, which we weren't

He has merely picked the wrong team and style four games on the trot. Appears too stubborn to want to change it

Southampton away next

One for me today Sevilla draw no bet at 2.2

BetVictor instabet is offering Aguero or Van Persie FGS at 3/1 which seems good value. £20 max.

Was surprised to see Chelsea above evens everywhere away at Liverpool this saturday. They both have Champions League during the week - Liv away at R Madrid on Tues Che away at Maribor on Weds (Slovenia 2hr(ish) flight) - I suppose giving Liverpool a marginal advantage unless they are destroyed (again) by Madrid when the loss of confidence will surely offset the gain of an extra days preparation. Chelseas last two away games vs "big" sides (Man U + City) ended in 1-1 draws granted but with the form liverpool are in and still no sturridge I can't really see past a Chelsea win and was expecting them to be as low as 4/6 in places. Anyone have any thoughts on this? Am I just completely wrong?:) It's not like it's just a few bookies everyone has them above evens (up to 23/20).. Thanks, hope you all had a good weekend, mainly thanks to Adz and Tal I did tyty:)

Following on from last post I forgot to mention also that Chelsea don't really need to focus as much on their CL game as they are practically through and vs a side they should beat comfortably whilst resting some of their first XI, this is definitely not the case for Liverpool (Tho granted even if they lose to Madrid they still have a chance of qualification).

Well the midweek ucl games kinda went the nut low for chelsea vs liverpool so I suppose that bet doesn't have so much value afterall!

Had a look at Saturday's games. On these so far :

Barnsley v Burton

I've backed Burton at 15/4.

Barnsley are very inconsistent and have a number of loan players who may not play.

Burton have won 2 out of their last 3 away games. I think almost 4/1 is value.


Bury v Hemel Hempstead

I like Bury -2 goals at 19/10.

They are missing Tom Soares but are very strong at home and should win comfortably.


Sheff Wed v Rotherham

Unfortunately (as a Wednesday fan) we have lost our way recently, performances have been poor and their continues to be little threat up front. We signed Taylor Fletcher on loan from Leicester but he only played small parts in games so far. We set up with one upfront in midweek and were no match for Bournemouth.

This is Rotherham's cup final. Evans will have them up for it and they will relish the chance to get one over on their local neighbours.

I like Rotherham at 13/5.

Have Burton just lost their manager?

Have Burton just lost their manager?

Yes they have. Could be a negative. They haven't appointed anyone else yet either.

Newcastle win and both teams to score + Spurs-Stoke draw

Double @ 24/1

Coral have quite a good promotion on; bet £20 on any football match at 1.5 or better and get a free bet every your selected player scores in an international or premier league match.

Last week I picked Aguero and got two £5 free bets, this week it's internationals (http://promotions.coral.co.uk/goalvember/) and I've plumped for Shurrle to help destroy Gibraltar...so he better start!

Had 2 singles today.

On Notts County at Coventry. On them at 11/4, still think Notts County are underrated, expected them to be shorter than 11/4.

Pinched Chompy's suggested bet on Walsall to beat Peterborough at 9/5 as well.

Luke Guttridge anytime scorer 5/2 for Luton looks a decent bet after seeing the team sheet.

At least Notts County won after last weeks loss for me.

On a few in the lower leagues tomorrow which I think are value :

Accington v Cambridge

Accrington are a decent home side and they have 3 loanees back in the squad tomorrow. I'm on them at 17/10.

Portsmouth v Morcambe

Portsmouth are a side who have flattered to deceive for a couple of years now, although they have a couple of new players in their squad, I like Morcambe at 7/2. Morcambe are on the fringe of the play offs and won half their away games this season. 7/2 is value.

Crawley v Scunthorpe

Crawley struggling whereas Scunny in good form under new manager, I'm on Scunny at 7/4.

Notts County v Yeovil

Still think Notts County underrated - I'm on at 6/4, I'm sure they should be shorter.

Am on Scunthorpe, but was looking to take on Notts until the Yeovil price shortened so have left it.
Think the market knows that Notts are in an unrealistic position in the table, but at some point will start to believe they are better than they are.

Also on Colchester at home to Coventry - they are the better team and was expecting them to be shorter.
Small bet on Brentford at home to Fulham tonight also.

PP have offer on Arsenal v Man Utd game.

Bet up to £50 on either Arsenal or Man Utd to win and get free bet if game is a draw.

Got to be worth backing Arsenal at 6/5 if you can get on.

Any tips boys? Any love for Stoke to beat Liverpool away?

I know they draw a lot of matches, but Charlton shouldn't be underdogs at home to Ipswich.  I'd be laying the tractor boys at 7/5 in the lunchtime game.

I also think Burton are worth a flyer at 7/2 away to Shrewsbury - Burton have really picked up under Hasselbaink and are bang in the mix to win the league along with Shrews.

I'm definitely looking at this, also at Stoke +0.5! Liv gotta win sometime tho let's just hope it's not this weekend:)

Like the Burton bet, I'm on at 19/5.

On a few this weekend

Luton v Mansfield

Took evens on Luton, I expected them to be odds on, not the most imaginative bet.


Sheff Wed v Wigan

Wednesday really struggling to score any goals, not scored in 330 minutes now, failed to bring in a centre forward this week. Mackay will have Wigan up for this game, expect a narrow away win.

I'm on Wigan at 19/10.

Brighton v Fulham

Fulham have improved under Symons, Brighton are still producing mixed results at best, I'm on Fulham at 11/4. I think its value.

I was thinking about backing Newport at Carlisle but it looks like Newport may have problems with their goalkeepers, I've dodged that bet at 9/5 but I have a feeling the honeymoon period is over for Keith Curle at Carlisle.

Thanks guys, loaded up some double & trebles. glgl

Like bolton home to huddersfield.

Bolton scored 3 in each last 3 home games, and while drawing at home to blackpool last time out, had 67% of possesion.

Good call on bolton.

I should have backed Newport :-)

Nice day.

Glancing through the anytimes and one I like - Bolasie for Palace at home to Villa tonight, 5/1 with Betfair Sportsbook. 17/4 with BV.

His numbers have been good when you make the direct comparison to Puncheon on the other flank. His average position when on the ball is higher up the pitch and his touches in the box are up.

The bookies generally make Puncheon a tad shorter and I think it should be the other way around. Some reports that Zaha may play and Puncheon rested tonight and he is even shorter which I don't get. Bolasie looks the value of the three of them.

I like a few at longer odds this weekend :

Ipswich v Leeds

Everyone know Ipswich have been on a great run but Leeds are also much improved under Redfearn, it sounds like they have 2 or 3 very good players coming through. It was interesting to hear reports that Leeds had bossed the midfield against Derby.

In the Championship, anyone can beat anyone, I like Leeds at their price. I'm on at 18/5.

Exeter v Burton

Whilst the Burton lost at Shrewsbury last weekend, I think the comments from Dungbeetle are still valid. Hasselbank having an effect. I'm on Burton at 7/4 (Boyles have 15/8 if you can get on).

Reading v Bolton

Reading are very inconsistent and it looks like the players and manager are under a bit of pressure. Bolton have been producing under Lennon and it was interesting to hear Lennon say after the Huddersfield game that they look stronger and better, the longer the game went on.

I know Reading won away at Norwich last weekend but they also lost at home to Charlton the week before.

I'm on Bolton at 11/4.

Accrington v Yeovil

I was surprised to see Accrington were 11/5 for this game.

Whilst Yeovil are in L1 and Accrngton in L2, Yeovil are in the relegation zone and Accrington have a very consistent home record.

I think 11/5 is too big so I'm on.

Only on all these as singles, betting at longer odds, with more contrary views on football can make you look foolish or smart, hopefully at least a couple of these will come in!!

Birmingham at Blackpool 11/8 anyone?

Birmingham definitely better under Rowett, I just thought price was about right personally.

Sky Bet are doing a good refund for the Soton match if BTS, surely very likely? Only on selected markets, and up to £25.

Quick question please

Backed the draw last night Benfica v Leverkusen.... 21/10 on the coupon. (of course price may change a bit)

Paid out this morning at 21/20 !??

Bet placed at 2.55pm at a William Hill shop.

They are saying this is right odds at the time?!

Any way of checking this?....was there a massive plunge on the draw yesterday ??

Ok after several phone calls/tweets ,they finally admit the computer print out was wrong!.....I have left the manager to manual work out the bet on his calculator!, and will pick up the difference later.

On these for today :

Exeter v Carlisle

I'm on Exeter at 5/4, I'm convinced Curle will struggle now at Carlisle, last week's loss at home to Newport reinforced my view. They have also been poor away from home and face a long trip.

Orient v Peterborough

Chompy telling us Peterborough are poor is good enough for me with Orient at 9/5 I'm on them.

Oxford v Bury

I got on Bury at 19/10 yesterday. Bury have had a few poor results but I think they will be a top 4 side come April/May. I think its value against an inconsistent Oxford.

BetTheVictor are offering free bets back on Correct Score, First/Last/Anytime Goalscorer, Half-Time/Full-Time, Scorecast if there is a red card in the United v Liverpool match, up to £10. Lots of attacking players out there and some dodgy defensive players mean that there could be some desperate defending/fouls going on...

I guess that the unusual nature and history of this game messes with the odds, but 10/11 (BMU) United to beat Liverpool looks tempting to my untrained and unbiased eyes.

Looks like beteveryday have 2 in play offers up to £50 risk free bets this weekend.

On Liverpool v Arsenal and Stoke v Chelsea.

Nice value if you can get on

As per post on TFT I'm on Bolton tonight at 27/10.

Zwolle to beat Cambuur in dutch league.

Nice start to the weekend with Bolton winning, I got on these yesterday :

Huddersfield v Birmingham

I've backed Birmingham at 5/2. Rowett having a positive effect and they will be full of confidence after a big win last weekend.

Stevenage v Exeter

Exeter are a form side and had some impressive away results recently and Stevenage have been hit by illness in their squad. Paul Tisdale sounds quietly confident taking about the rhythm and improvement in their play.

On Exeter at 17/10.

Yeovil v Colchester

Not the most imaginative bet but I like Yeovil at 21/20.

Seems like after a very poor start Gary Johnson has started to turn them around in last few games, big win in FA Cup this week and a cracking 4-0 away win at Oldham previously. Colchester seem to be in a downward spiral whereas the momentum and confidence is with Yeovil.

Tempted to back Wigan at home to Rotherham too at 20/21. Surprised they haven't picked up with Mackay in charge, with their squad it feels like they are in a false position, Rotherham at home seems an ideal chance to get a run started.

Got on a few yesterday.

Oldham v Donny

I know its clear that Oldham are on a bad run and I'm sure this week hasn't helped them, but Donny are on a roll currently beating Swindon and Coventry, drawing away with Peterborough and Bristol City.

I backed Donny at 23/10.

Forest v Wednesday

Couldn't resist the 11/4 on Wednesday here. We are tight defensively and whilst we don't score many, Forest have no confidence, 11/4 is too big.

Birmingham v Wigan

Rowett seems to be working wonders at Birmingham, Wigan still stuttering, I'm on Brum at 8/5.

Huddersfield v Watford

I like Watford at 13/8, Huddersfield lost 2 out of last 3 at home and for me Watford are a very good team.

What's happens to this? Clearly bookies don't anytime correct score wincast but he's put first score price I guess.

Not mine. Mate is asking. I said money back most likely. Anyone think he could push for more?

On a few today :

Leeds V Birmingham

On Birmingham at 2/1, Rowett doing a tremendous job and Leeds struggling.

AFC Wimbledon V Carlisle

Still think Curle is a poor manager, Carlisle lost their last 3, cant see them getting anything at AFC Wimbledon, I'm on Wimbledon at 6/5.

Port Vale v Peterborough

Port Vale have been decent at home recent beating the likes of Sheff Utd, I'm on them at 17/10 against Peterborough who seem to be in free fall.

Colchester v Walsall

I like Walsall at 9/5 here. They have got an impressive recent away record, beating MK Dons and Preston with a draw at Sheff Utd. Colchester are at best inconsistent and their recent home form is poor, losing to the likes of Gillingham. Colchester have lost top scorer Freddie Sears to Ipswich too.

Nice write up Rick. Cheers and GL

I like West Ham to keep a clean sheet at home to Hull at odds against. Hull have 2 of their 1st choice strikers out and they are terrible in any case.
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/west-ham-v-hull/clean-sheet

Ouch. that late Leeds equaliser hurt real bad.

Some great stuff Rick.

Profits rolling onto West Ham.

Thanks Lads.

Had a few yesterday :

Bradford v Colchester

On Bradford at 10/11. Bradford should have too much for Colchester.

Coventry v Rochdale

On Rochdale at 19/10, been doing well even though Stoke beat them in Cup, Coventry have struggled and not got Madine up front who's loan spell has ended.

Peterborough v Yeovil

Still opposing inconsistent Peterborough, on Yeovil at 23/10.

Sheff Utd v Swindon

Swindon have been excellent and United have had a tremendous cup run by very inconsistent in league. I like Swindon at 19/10, might be a case of after the Lord Mayors show for United.

Go Dinamo Minsk tonight!
2.74 dnb

2-0
easy

Oioi didn't get in but hope some did!

Go kassimpasa dnb vs basaksehir 1.85!

Whats this in!?

Turkish super league

On, sorry if it loses im a jinx :)

Will be easy ;)

Is this betting on Kasimpasa win?

Yes with Draw No Bet or Asian Handicap +0

On

I for one will not be following this random bet

1-0 atm

How do you know it's random and ex stream has not put hours into researching the Turkish leagues?

It appears from this and previous posts, McSnort is a troll, probably best the admin ban him.

Seems to be a very bitter individual.

before i get stuck in here

is this for real, miles and mr exstream aren't mates?

i suspect some leg pulling here

I don't like Miles, as he likes to call himself, he's a very bitter person.

Moving on.

Come on Real Madrid win both halves on Sunday vs Gijon, 33/20

Nice one mate, cheers.

Followed on your Kasimpasa bet after missing out on the Europa League the night before, thanks :).

Thoughts on West Ham at home to Bournemouth at 2.55?

Can get 2.7 some places. I'm already on, seems like mad value unless I'm missing out on something?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/other/iceland/urvalsdeild/stjarnan-v-breidablik/draw-no-bet

4/6 with Coral are Breidablik!

Go Breidablik!

Same as last time please Mr Exstream. Good luck us.

Currently 1-0 Breidablik.

ez pz

N1, 2/2 mate.

What's next?

3/3*

great work.

Tips by Exstream, a thread to rival next door!

Well done exstream. Thank you.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/other/denmark/cup/brabrand-v-fredericia/double-chance

23/20 with 365
brabrand

What's the angle with these exstream? Not doubting that they're going to go well after your last 3 picks but wouldn't mind knowing why?

No angle lol, just what I'm betting.
84th minute goal ruined last bet :(
Never mind, Orlando Pirates to win tonight at 13/10 ez pz :D https://m.oddschecker.com/m/football/world/south-africa/psl#football-world-south-africa-psl-bloem-celtic-v-orlando-pirates-winner

SUPLEX CITY BITCH

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/other/finland/veikkausliiga/vps-v-fc-lahti/winner

FC Lahti 7/5!

what is the thinking behind these please?

what for example do you know about finnish football?

small sample results look good, but is there a process?

No thinking, just the bets I put on, trying to revive this thread :D.

FC Lahti winning 1-0. Hold and make up for the last one!

bok 1-1

10 men now... sigh

and lost

Trying to find some value in lower leagues.

I'm on one bet so far for this weekend.

Hartlepool v Carlisle over 3.5 goals at 14/5.

I've been backing Hartlepool since first game of season as I think Ronnie Moore has done a great job up there and is the sort of manager who plays an aggressive style, it worked for a few years at Rotherham years ago.

I know someone at Carlisle who has been saying there will be goals in their games.

This game looks a candidate for goals, think over 3.5 is value.

Just backed Cambridge United at Barnet on Saturday.

Cambridge scored 6 goals in their 2 league away games and I think will surprise a few teams this season.

I'm on them at 15/8.

Forgot that I've already backing Gillingham at 12/5 against Peterborough after Chompy's tip a few days ago. After Gillingham stuffed Sheff Utd 4-0, I backed them at 16/5 at Bradford. Think the price has dropped now but looks a lovely bet at above 2/1.

Gone for Marseille Wolfsburgh double at just over 3/1

BBC Sport wrote:
Aston Villa manager Tim Sherwood says a sickness bug has swept through the camp ahead of their game with Sunderland.

"There are a few players who have not been able to make training. I don't want to tell you who who they are but they're not here today because they are ill," he said.

"The doc is having to do some overtime. We could miss a couple and there's a couple who are not well now. I'd rather they weren't well now rather than tomorrow."

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/aston-villa-v-sunderland/winner

Price may already have moved a lot?

Following the theme above, prices on goals in Carlisle games starting to tighten.

On Saturday Carlisle are at home to Barnet.

Over 3.5 goals is now 9/4.

I think there is another bet though.

Carlisle have hit some form whilst still having a leaky defence.

Barnet have scored in every away game this season.

Long trip for Barnet and I expect Carlisle will win. 6/5 on a Carlisle win doesn't feel very attractive.

A Carlisle win and BTTS at 17/5 is the bet I like. Just got on.

Getting on these at decent odds as singles tomorrow night :

Charlton 9/5
Brum 2/1
Burnley 7/4
Blackpool 31/10
Bury 3/1
Peterboro 7/4
Oldham 9/5
Hartlepool 2/1
Plymouth 16/5

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/west-brom-v-arsenal/corner-handicap

arsenal -1
10/11
lets gooo

Sparta Prague
2/1 at home today vs a team they beat a month ago

They can't win the league, should go all out for this cup game although in 3 days they play 3rd place so meh
Are still the second best team
They lost the first leg of this cup game
Opponents mid table team

Two champs league places in Czech Rep, so that makes the weekend game even more important.

Let's go olimpic saravejo in Bosnian league

As you've resurrected this thread I'm on these today :

Swansea 9/4
Wednesday 9/4
Bury 2/1
Carlisle 8/5
Shrewsbury 6/4