Football betting thread

[RickBFA]

Couldnt have gone much worse, your selections had the added weight of my cash Rick.  Should have warned you pre kick off. 

I also backed overs in the Bournemouth game and laid it back at half time for a loss.  I run so good.

Poor from me tonight, sorry :-(

[Kmac84]

Couldnt have gone much worse, your selections had the added weight of my cash Rick.  Should have warned you pre kick off. 

I also backed overs in the Bournemouth game and laid it back at half time for a loss.  I run so good.

Poor from me tonight, sorry :-(

Keep them coming.  I like to read about other leagues gives me some info I don't know of for my Saturday bus drivers as I mostly concentrate on the Scottish stuff. 

[RickBFA]

Bournemouth are 11/10 away at Birmingham on Saturday, what do you think Horsey, you've seen Bournemouth last 2 games, too short?

[horseplayer]

Bournemouth are 11/10 away at Birmingham on Saturday, what do you think Horsey, you've seen Bournemouth last 2 games, too short?

Looks about right to me

If they play like they did especially against Reading suspect that will be good enough but not much/any juice in that price imo

[arbboy]

Bournemouth are 11/10 away at Birmingham on Saturday, what do you think Horsey, you've seen Bournemouth last 2 games, too short?

Looks like a cracking lay to me at 11/10.  Tough making it pay backing 11/10 shots away in the championship esp when the home team have just lost the gaffer.

[RickBFA]

Bournemouth are 11/10 away at Birmingham on Saturday, what do you think Horsey, you've seen Bournemouth last 2 games, too short?

Looks like a cracking lay to me at 11/10.  Tough making it pay backing 11/10 shots away in the championship esp when the home team have just lost the gaffer.

Yep, thanks, I agree its too short to back them.

[Kmac84]

Posted this on TFT I have been doing well being against my own team Celtic after Midweek Euro games.  Plus we are pretty dreadful at the moment worse team I have seen in 21 years. 

Kilmarnock at 14/1 on Sunday I am on outright and have also backed them on Asian Handicap.  Will no doubt get further involved at the weekend. 

[RickBFA]

Struggling to find anything today, I'm on Kmac's Kilmarnock bet

[exstream]

Shrewsbury vs Portsmouth. 1@1.85 Shrewsbury haven't lost at home all season and Portsmouth haven't even scored away from home in at least 5 games.
Scunthorpe vs Notts county 2@2.7 Notts county are in great form and are coming up against an out of form Scunthorpe side who are dead last in league 1. Very generous odds imo. Scunny also have 2 players suspended.

[exstream]

easy

[RickBFA]

easy

Nicely done :-)

[nuros]

Hi guys, I've been lurking this forum for a little while having been introduced to it by a couple posters on this site (Adam Picken and Dan Morgan), haven't posted before mainly because I haven't felt like I've had anything worthy to contribute (at least betting wise)! However I was having a look at premier league relegation odds after reading Redarmis post on the emporium and Leicester at 4/1 to be relegated struck me as nice. Although Leicester have scored 11 goals this season (not a high amount tho more at the moment than most of the other relegation "candidates"), they have only managed 87 attempts at goal this season putting them 4th bottom for this statistic. The teams below them are AVL (last 77) and HUL and SWA (both 85). BRN have had 108 attempts - tho of these attempts LEI have had 13 "big chances" compared to BRN 7 (HUL6 AVL 5 SWA 16 QPR 14 SUN 8 CPL 13 WBA 11 STO 10). Defensively, Leicester have conceded the 3rd most shorts inside the box out of anyone ( HUL 91 QPR 82 LEI 80 BRN 78 SWA 73 TOT 73), and the most shots outside the box (LEI 79 HUL 74 SUN 69 SWA 61 CPL 59 STO 59), putting them second bottom (ahead of HUL) for total shots conceded. They are also joint 3rd worst for "big chances" conceded (NEW 20 TOT 19 LEI 18 QPR 18 EVE 17 MCI 17 LIV 17 SUN 14), level with QPR and a fair way behind the other relegation contenders. I know this doesn't tell the whole story, but compared with the available odds I think there has to be value in this as WBA to be relegated can be found at the highest price of 3/1 (How they are favoured to be relegated over LEI I don't know), and QPR (LEI are only 1 point ahead of them) are 10/11. I can only think that the 5-3 win away against Man United has still clouded the bookies judgement.

I hope you guys find this useful whether you decided to punt on it or not - some thoughts/arguments would of course also be welcome! Also hope this is in the right thread:) GL!

[RickBFA]

Hi guys, I've been lurking this forum for a little while having been introduced to it by a couple posters on this site (Adam Picken and Dan Morgan), haven't posted before mainly because I haven't felt like I've had anything worthy to contribute (at least betting wise)! However I was having a look at premier league relegation odds after reading Redarmis post on the emporium and Leicester at 4/1 to be relegated struck me as nice. Although Leicester have scored 11 goals this season (not a high amount tho more at the moment than most of the other relegation "candidates"), they have only managed 87 attempts at goal this season putting them 4th bottom for this statistic. The teams below them are AVL (last 77) and HUL and SWA (both 85). BRN have had 108 attempts - tho of these attempts LEI have had 13 "big chances" compared to BRN 7 (HUL6 AVL 5 SWA 16 QPR 14 SUN 8 CPL 13 WBA 11 STO 10). Defensively, Leicester have conceded the 3rd most shorts inside the box out of anyone ( HUL 91 QPR 82 LEI 80 BRN 78 SWA 73 TOT 73), and the most shots outside the box (LEI 79 HUL 74 SUN 69 SWA 61 CPL 59 STO 59), putting them second bottom (ahead of HUL) for total shots conceded. They are also joint 3rd worst for "big chances" conceded (NEW 20 TOT 19 LEI 18 QPR 18 EVE 17 MCI 17 LIV 17 SUN 14), level with QPR and a fair way behind the other relegation contenders. I know this doesn't tell the whole story, but compared with the available odds I think there has to be value in this as WBA to be relegated can be found at the highest price of 3/1 (How they are favoured to be relegated over LEI I don't know), and QPR (LEI are only 1 point ahead of them) are 10/11. I can only think that the 5-3 win away against Man United has still clouded the bookies judgement.

I hope you guys find this useful whether you decided to punt on it or not - some thoughts/arguments would of course also be welcome! Also hope this is in the right thread:) GL!

Thanks for the post. Tighty will have the most informed view on this.

He follows Leicester and is an excellent judge.

I think on the TFT thread they have backed Leicester for a top ten finish pre season.

[horseplayer]

great post nuros

Must admit Leicesters recent form seems to have gone somewhat unremarked in the media

[nuros]

Heh oops hope I didn't just pee in Tighty's pond!

Thanks for the replies guys!