I can't disagree with your logic. However, listen to Uncle Roger and 'Money' himself and I can't back them, they chat too much shit. Hatton DOES have him if he plays the right game. I hope he does him, and I can't bring myself to bet against him.

Mayweather and Hatton nose to nose in the final press conference...

It looks like maybe Mayweather's bum is twitching. His explanation of events was lame IMHO. Hatton, on the other hand, looks like he knows he's got a job on and he isn't hiding. I hope he stiffs the loudmouth.

Anyone thinking of making the trip over?

Would love to.  Might have to get playing some serious poker to fund the trip.

I envy you guys. I'm trying to organise some time to get to Moortown one night in the next month!

it's only half a stone

If thats the case why did Hatton go back to light-welter after the Collazo fight when all the "big" fights were at welter?  I think mentally it may be telling if not physically, there may be a nagging doubt in Hattons mind that he is not as effectrive at welter.  Although they have admitted they will approach this fight differently, suggesting they got it wrong v Collazo.


Aside from this fight I was just looking at some of the upcoming matches in the next few months and there are some "proper fights" coming up which I'm really looking forward to seeing

I've talked about this before. boxers / commentators / fans talk about half a stone in weight as if it's a contributary factor in power. It's just not. I've been doing martial arts 14 years now and when I started I was 5'8" and 9.5 st Im now 11.5 st (and still 5'8") and I've always trained with much taller and heavier people. obviously bigger guys TEND to be stronger but a stone either way doesn't make any difference to how hard you hit.

The only difference putting on extra weight might make to boxers is that they're having to move a greater weight around so might tire quicker. if a light welterweight were to bulk up to light middle, you'd expect them to tire out quicker. they wouldn't punch any harder though.

I've read a good few of your posts Adam, and I know you know what you're talking about in this respect. But isn't the weight factor more to do with how you absorb the punch from your opponent rather than the power of your dig at the heavier weight? Proportional transfer of momentum etc?

I turned DRM off in the first 10 minutres of having vista.

I thought Ionescu's hack was proved to be rubbish? No? Do you have a link?

I agree with Adam re: the p4p and that they're not machines. It's the best man on the night.
Mayweather is the more naturally talented fighter but Hatton has such a strong character and is a smart cookie. He can also box more than he is credited for by the yanks IMO. He and Billy Graham will be working out a plan to nullify Mayweather's natural advantage. I don't think it will be a pretty fight, I expect Hatton to be all over him like flies round the proverbial. But that's also what Mayweather will be expecting.... I wouldn't like to call it, but I can't wait!

Thanks! Just another day at the office...

Out of the blue last week I got the blue screen of death.  Restarted the computer and it took an absolute age to reload, but seemed ok ish after that.  Ever since then, every time I've started up my computer I've been prompted to register it (I did that when I bought it).

That sounds like corruption of the filesystem. Do you have the XP installation CD? If so, reboot from that (you may have to reset the BIOS to boot from DVD/CD) and try using the recovery console to fix any errors. A corrupt filesystem could explain system instability but I've never come across anything like that before myself.

You could also try reinstalling/updating the drivers for the device. A mate's laptop suffered a similar problem and I fixed it doing this:

Right-click on the Desktop icon "My Computer".
Select "Properties".
Select the "Hardware" tab.
Click the "Device Manager" button
Expand the tree item "DVD/CD ROM drives"
Select the target DVD/CD ROM drive
Right click and select "Update driver"

Alternatively you could uninstall and reinstall drivers from scratch from this console. In my friend's case, the DVD/CD ROM stopped being recognised so I uninstalled and reinstalled to get his drive working.

Hope that helps.

[I will show the maths behind these figures if anyone is desperate.]

Ok which idiot voted for fold in my poll.

I confess it was me and i actually did fold in the game after tanking for 30 secs while i was 6 tabling.. I will give my reasoning and see what others think.

I am great believer in ICM as a guide to play sng's virtually perfect and all top sng players would agree that as a basis for sng's it as a good a mathematical model as you will get. This is actually a very powerful example of how ICM show that sng's requries quite counterintutive thinking.

In this hand we have two shortstacks are likely to bubble very soon, with me being 2nd in chips. We will bubble if we lose this hand and if we win we have 4/5 chips in play.

So by calling we are get 0 or we have an expectation of $91. By folding our expectation is about $67. I will show the maths behind these figures if anyone is desperate.

So in calling we have to come out better than $67 on average to make it a good call, by some quick maths we have to be a 74% favourite to win this hand to justify this. That basically says if he show 1 overcard we are in the deep stuff as we will only be 70/30.

After plugging this sngpt (icm calculator),  pokerjerie has to be pushing more than top 45% to justify calling here which means he has to open push q4o or 108s. I personally don't think he is pushing these hands i might be wrong.

This is basically a read based question and given pokerjerie made an awful call with aqo in the previous hand is not smart enough to push this wide imo. This is open to debate obviously.

Interesting hand i thought and thanks for the comment.

As an aside i would be push any two cards if i was pokerjerie here.

As an educational exercise I would love to see the maths on this one Longy!

[see a flop and push if no A/k]

which got me thinking..smooth call, see a flop and push if no A/k...or was I destined to do my chips in that hand regardless?

Or I smooth call, limper re-raises and I'm racing QQ anyway

tough game!!

I have nowhere near the experience most of you guys have but this is what I would've done. That's probably as good a reason as any for you going AI pre-flop! 

Elford is out for another month or two with a shoulder injury. Robbie Paul wasn't playing too well before injury but has been decent in the couple of games since his return. I'm Huddersfield born but I've been living in Leeds since I was 18, so they're my two teams (Hudds first!).

Huddersfield haven't beaten Bradford in a first team game for 27 years, so they owe them one. They're now 1.73 decimal odds for the match at Betfair.

I'm hoping that Huddersfield will grind them down in the forwards and take the game by the scruff of the neck in the second half.

The smart  money will be on Huddersfield to win this tonight. Their current decimal odds on betfair are 1.75.

Huddersfield are in good form and Bradford have so many injuries that they've had to cancel their Academy game because half a dozen of the youngsters have been called into the first team.

This should help

There's a link from that article to make some XP boot floppies if you don't have your install CD, or try here if they're no good.