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Author Topic: the bro runs goood!  (Read 2018 times)
bhoywonder
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« on: July 24, 2008, 12:56:14 PM »

Pub poker last nite.bro has JJ in the blinds.too cut a long story short,all the money goes in pre flop.his oppo tables AA and has him covered. Flop A rag rag....turn J....river J....amazing.wot are his odds here? I mean on the flop? Bout 1600 too 1 against?
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« Reply #1 on: July 24, 2008, 01:04:16 PM »

Pub poker last nite.bro has JJ in the blinds.too cut a long story short,all the money goes in pre flop.his oppo tables AA and has him covered. Flop A rag rag....turn J....river J....amazing.wot are his odds here? I mean on the flop? Bout 1600 too 1 against?

989-1
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GrannyDee
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« Reply #2 on: July 24, 2008, 01:06:10 PM »

Odds are just over 1000 - 1 I checked as I did the same thing in a tourament once before.  Wink  Same situation only difference was I had Tens instead of Jacks.
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GrannyDee
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« Reply #3 on: July 24, 2008, 01:13:06 PM »

Flushys right tad under 1000 - 1 close enough just checked cardplayer poker calc
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MereNovice
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« Reply #4 on: July 24, 2008, 01:47:41 PM »

Given that 7 cards are known, i.e. the two sets of hole cards and the 3 flop cards, the odds are:

2/45 * 1/44 = 0.001010101

This is 989/1 as RoyalFlush says.
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« Reply #5 on: July 24, 2008, 01:53:51 PM »

Given the math...

22/4 - 4/11 + 1/2 * 11 = 44

44e where e = mc2 x 52 = 989/1

So flushy is right.
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cia260895
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« Reply #6 on: July 24, 2008, 02:06:31 PM »

wow nice method like it  thumbs up
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TheChipPrince
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« Reply #7 on: July 24, 2008, 02:08:59 PM »

Oh christ, dont tell Ironside about this thread...
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« Reply #8 on: July 24, 2008, 02:15:34 PM »

Did he have a back door flush as well?

That would make it more like 984/1.
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« Reply #9 on: July 24, 2008, 02:26:14 PM »

I'm getting just the slightest sense that you guys aren't really keen on the maths aspect of the game - or perhaps, just like to take the rip out of pedants like myself. Shocked

However, the odds of hitting the backdoor flush would have been 21/1.


Reminds me of a time where three of us flopped a set - I had the middle set.
All the money went in on the flop and I hit the backdoor flush.
Hardly a bad beat at all really - I don't know why the other guy cried.  Wink

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« Reply #10 on: July 24, 2008, 02:29:12 PM »

Did he have a back door flush as well?

That would make it more like 984/1.

on a single suit flop it could be as short as 5/2
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AlexMartin
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« Reply #11 on: July 24, 2008, 04:40:07 PM »

Did he have a back door flush as well?

That would make it more like 984/1.

on a single suit flop it could be as short as 5/2

lol
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Grier78
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« Reply #12 on: July 24, 2008, 07:14:50 PM »

Surely the odds are 50:50?
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sovietsong
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« Reply #13 on: July 24, 2008, 10:09:14 PM »

50:50 is right...wins or loses. 
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LOJ
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« Reply #14 on: July 25, 2008, 10:30:55 AM »

50:50 is right...wins or loses. 


 
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