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Author Topic: footy bet  (Read 9566 times)
sweet potata!
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« Reply #60 on: September 28, 2011, 01:41:00 AM »

BH

 
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TheDazzler
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« Reply #61 on: September 28, 2011, 02:55:49 AM »

You can get 25/1 on Shamrock Rovers winning at Spurs in the Europa League on Thursday with Will Hill.
A full strength Spurs team would surely beat Rovers fairly convincingly but as we all know, Redknapp has referred to this comp as 'a nuisance' and he is completely uninterested in it. Spurs will put out kids and reserves. This is the team they put out in the last match;

23 Cudicini
19 Bassong
22 Corluka
28 Walker
29 Livermore
31 Townsend
46 Carroll
09 Pavlyuchenko
17 Giovani (Parrett 90+2)
27 Falque (Fredericks 81)
37 Kane
Substitutes
01 Gomes,
59 Stewart,
60 Barthram,
43 Fredericks,
47 Nicholson,
54 Pritchard,
58 Parrett

Shamrock Rovers qualified for the league stage by beating Partizan Belgrade 2-1 in Belgrade after drawing the first leg at home 1-1.
They lost their opening Europa League tie 3-0 at home to Rubin Kazan and were comprehensively outplayed.
Another possible downside for Rovers is that their season is drawing to a close (they play March-November) and they are 2nd on goal difference with a game in hand. They will be very keen to retain their title and may not try and go all out for a result in the Europa League to keep players fresh.
I think they will though as its the biggest game in their history (until the home tie!) and it could be compared to a Carling Cup tie between a disinterested Premier club and a lower division team that is in good form in their respective league. And we've regularly seen 'big shocks' in some of those ties.
All in all, it's unlikely they'll win but I think a fairer price might be ~10/1.
Ladbrokes actually price them at 12/1 for the game.
I'll be having a small punt anyway.
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action man
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« Reply #62 on: September 29, 2011, 09:16:35 PM »

You can get 25/1 on Shamrock Rovers winning at Spurs in the Europa League on Thursday with Will Hill.
A full strength Spurs team would surely beat Rovers fairly convincingly but as we all know, Redknapp has referred to this comp as 'a nuisance' and he is completely uninterested in it. Spurs will put out kids and reserves. This is the team they put out in the last match;

23 Cudicini
19 Bassong
22 Corluka
28 Walker
29 Livermore
31 Townsend
46 Carroll
09 Pavlyuchenko
17 Giovani (Parrett 90+2)
27 Falque (Fredericks 81)
37 Kane
Substitutes
01 Gomes,
59 Stewart,
60 Barthram,
43 Fredericks,
47 Nicholson,
54 Pritchard,
58 Parrett

Shamrock Rovers qualified for the league stage by beating Partizan Belgrade 2-1 in Belgrade after drawing the first leg at home 1-1.
They lost their opening Europa League tie 3-0 at home to Rubin Kazan and were comprehensively outplayed.
Another possible downside for Rovers is that their season is drawing to a close (they play March-November) and they are 2nd on goal difference with a game in hand. They will be very keen to retain their title and may not try and go all out for a result in the Europa League to keep players fresh.
I think they will though as its the biggest game in their history (until the home tie!) and it could be compared to a Carling Cup tie between a disinterested Premier club and a lower division team that is in good form in their respective league. And we've regularly seen 'big shocks' in some of those ties.
All in all, it's unlikely they'll win but I think a fairer price might be ~10/1.
Ladbrokes actually price them at 12/1 for the game.
I'll be having a small punt anyway.


OMG
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TheDazzler
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« Reply #63 on: September 29, 2011, 10:18:01 PM »

Bah, Harry put out a ridiculously strong side.
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redarmi
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« Reply #64 on: September 30, 2011, 01:51:04 PM »

Well thought out bet irrespective.  Nice analysis.  Think you cop that bet more than 4% of the time for sure.
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