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Author Topic: footy bet  (Read 9576 times)
ACE2M
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« Reply #15 on: September 27, 2011, 03:49:21 PM »

who have citeh betean this year? a load of poor teams, you all have no idea how good/bad they are.

if they do come out attacking i'd love to have a few quid on Robben to score.
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Josedinho
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« Reply #16 on: September 27, 2011, 04:00:10 PM »

They beat Spurs 5-1. Spurs were a Champions League knockout team last year. Man U only beat them 3-0.
I don't think they'll come out attacking. I don't think they are favourites but I do think the price is big for the talent they have.
You described the Everton game as "tough tough" but playing at home with 60% possession wouldn't worry me. It took a while to break them down but I don't think it will have taken a lot out of them.
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mondatoo
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« Reply #17 on: September 27, 2011, 04:00:56 PM »

I thought Man City where too big, then I seen the form Bayern where in, played 9 won 9 scored 26 conceded 0, added to the fact it sounded like Man City where poor against Napoli despite playing well in the league and I'd just fade this game, but glglgl.

No doubt Bayern are a good team but at 4/5 in Germany the price is pretty much ranking Bayern as the second best team in Europe which I don't think you can judge off a handful of games in the Bundesliga.  To put it in context on the basis of tonight price if the game was played at the Etihad Stadium the prices would be 6/4 each of two which is just ridiculous.....only Barca would be shorter.

You no a lot more than I do, I just think it's a tough one to call so would fade it as I personally don't think it's great value.
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Josedinho
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« Reply #18 on: September 27, 2011, 04:09:41 PM »

Does anyone know if Badstuber is fit? I read he had flu. Think he played in most of the games in the clean sheet run that they are on.
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ACE2M
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« Reply #19 on: September 27, 2011, 04:13:55 PM »

They beat Spurs 5-1. Spurs were a Champions League knockout team last year. Man U only beat them 3-0.
I don't think they'll come out attacking. I don't think they are favourites but I do think the price is big for the talent they have.
You described the Everton game as "tough tough" but playing at home with 60% possession wouldn't worry me. It took a while to break them down but I don't think it will have taken a lot out of them.

Are you rating that spurs team? they were awful at the start of the year with their star player effectively out.
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boldie
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« Reply #20 on: September 27, 2011, 04:14:20 PM »

Anyone else think Charlton are a big price to win at MK Dons tonight at 2/1?  Charlton on fire, and MK Dons have gone off the boil in the last few games.

That could prove to be a huge price if the rumours about mk's team selection are correct. Looks like they may be playing a few kids and a few others put of position

Have put a bit on Charlton just in case this is true.
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Horneris
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« Reply #21 on: September 27, 2011, 04:17:01 PM »

Don't love it, I think the market already reflects the injuries/suspensions/managerial changes for Inter,

1 Julio Cesar; 55 Nagatomo, 6 Lucio, 25 Samuel, 26 Chivu; 4 Zanetti, 19 Cambiasso, 20 Obi; 11 Alvarez; 7 Pazzini, 22 Milito
 
That side doesn't look too bad to me, 5-3-2 could help them.

Cska at home in champs league won 2 from last 9, they are hardly rocks.

No play for me, although if watching the game may be interested in Inter 15 mins in if they look lively enough.
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maldini32
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« Reply #22 on: September 27, 2011, 04:22:59 PM »

Alvarez comes in for Sneijder and Milito for Forlan, not bad replacements.

Id wish you luck if i wasnt on Inter.
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ACE2M
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« Reply #23 on: September 27, 2011, 04:30:50 PM »

Alvarez comes in for Sneijder and Milito for Forlan, not bad replacements.

Id wish you luck if i wasnt on Inter.

and vice versa
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Horneris
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« Reply #24 on: September 27, 2011, 04:32:44 PM »

I think the sides at the top of the championship are overrated. With the exception of Southampton, when seeing some of the sides play I haven't been overly impressed at all.

West Ham are no 1.57 shots tonight. They were outplayed at home to Peterboro on Saturday and play a slightly rejuvenated Ipswich who had plenty of chances at The Riverside on Sat.

West Ham should be 8/11 not 4/7 and I'm on the Ipswich +1 Asian Handicap @ 2.07 with 188 bet pretty big. Also had a little bit on the Ipswich match odds @ 7.2.

I've also done Palace +1 Asian Handicap @ 1.81. Palace were awesome when they played at Leeds, have been doing ok since then and Brighton have played a lot of football in the last 6 days or so. I could not Brighton at sub 1.8 and they are 1.71.

The favourites being overrated in the championship atm, just hope I'm right and can make some money from it.
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nirvana
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« Reply #25 on: September 27, 2011, 04:49:02 PM »

Flush from my skills at picking Hopkin or Chompy to decide what I should have money on I have wagered £50 on a Rangers/West Ham double tonight, returns around 4/5

This gave me a free £50 spin up bet so tonight when these 3 matches are drawn

CSKA
Bayern
Napoli

I will win 2 grand - didn't want to aftertime so see you later for the gloat :-)
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« Reply #26 on: September 27, 2011, 04:55:22 PM »

I think the sides at the top of the championship are overrated. With the exception of Southampton, when seeing some of the sides play I haven't been overly impressed at all.

West Ham are no 1.57 shots tonight. They were outplayed at home to Peterboro on Saturday and play a slightly rejuvenated Ipswich who had plenty of chances at The Riverside on Sat.

West Ham should be 8/11 not 4/7 and I'm on the Ipswich +1 Asian Handicap @ 2.07 with 188 bet pretty big. Also had a little bit on the Ipswich match odds @ 7.2.

I've also done Palace +1 Asian Handicap @ 1.81. Palace were awesome when they played at Leeds, have been doing ok since then and Brighton have played a lot of football in the last 6 days or so. I could not Brighton at sub 1.8 and they are 1.71.

The favourites being overrated in the championship atm, just hope I'm right and can make some money from it.

Good post.  Agree totally except for Derby who I seem to make value every game (although same goes for barnsley so not sure tonight).  IOt tends to be the same every year in the Championship to be honest.  I am not sure I would ever bet any team at 4/7 in this league unless they had really shown something.
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Horneris
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« Reply #27 on: September 27, 2011, 05:09:20 PM »

I wasn't really counting Derby as a top of the table side, although I guess I should now.

I've got them for the handicap for the season, I love what Nigel Clough is doing there with his blend of quality additions and good youngsters, I wish Leeds were doing the same.

Seems like someone is out to get them though. 2.5 out to 3.3 at the weekend and 1.9 out to 2.2 today. Hope they prove the market drastically wrong again.
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Josedinho
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« Reply #28 on: September 27, 2011, 05:15:39 PM »

They beat Spurs 5-1. Spurs were a Champions League knockout team last year. Man U only beat them 3-0.
I don't think they'll come out attacking. I don't think they are favourites but I do think the price is big for the talent they have.
You described the Everton game as "tough tough" but playing at home with 60% possession wouldn't worry me. It took a while to break them down but I don't think it will have taken a lot out of them.

Are you rating that spurs team? they were awful at the start of the year with their star player effectively out.
I'm certainly not throwing the result out all together. Man U played Spurs and Arsenal at home within 6 days. They beat Spurs 3-0 and Arsenal 8-2. City spanked Spurs. Spurs spanked Liverpool. City were top 3 last season and have started in top 3 form this season. I don't think in previous seasons if one of the top 3 in England went to Bayern the price would be this big. I think Man U were favourites last season in their game in Munich.
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ACE2M
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« Reply #29 on: September 27, 2011, 05:23:09 PM »

inter 1-0 up, ha ha.

edit - make that 2-0. ha ha
« Last Edit: September 27, 2011, 05:24:43 PM by ACE2M » Logged
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