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ACE2M
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« on: September 27, 2011, 01:01:02 PM » |
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i've lumped on cska to beat inter tonight. Inter missing most of their best players, started terrible in serie A, cska going well in rusky land. 6/4 looks value, i'd rate them 10/11 at worst.
gl me.
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boldie
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« Reply #1 on: September 27, 2011, 01:03:56 PM » |
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Inter have a new coach in Ranieri and CSKA are going TERRIBAD in Russia (2nd in the league looks OK but they were top only 8 matches ago and have only won 2 in their last 8 in the league) CSKA also have injuries to 3 of their big name players. They might well win but are definitely not odds on shots IMO.
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Give a man a gun and he can rob a bank, give a man a bank and he can rob the world.
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redarmi
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« Reply #2 on: September 27, 2011, 01:15:18 PM » |
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Yeah odds on seems a bit much. They also opened at 7/4 so it is already in the price a fair bit. Looks about right to me. If it was November in Moscow I would tend to agree though. Couple of interesting ones for me. I priced Bayern @ 6/5 so was surprised to see them trading at 4/5 this morning....can't really understand the move and if City are going to be a genuine top two team in England then 5/1 about them or +3/4 evens is a steal. Similarly in the Championship I can't understand how West Ham are 4/7 shots against anyone and Ipswich are not bad at all. Ipswich have conceded 16 goals in 8 games but that is misleading as they conceded 12 of them in two games. I priced the asians at +3/4 Evens each of two so Evens Ipswich +1 seems very fair.
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boldie
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« Reply #3 on: September 27, 2011, 01:19:08 PM » |
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Where do you see the 5-1 on City mate? Max price I see is  (though even that looks big TBH) |
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Give a man a gun and he can rob a bank, give a man a bank and he can rob the world.
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Snowball
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« Reply #4 on: September 27, 2011, 01:42:20 PM » |
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I would maybe agreed this time last week before Raniere came in, their defense actually looks worse this season than it did towards the end of last if that was even possible.
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redarmi
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« Reply #5 on: September 27, 2011, 02:12:57 PM » |
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Sorry meant 5.0 on City.
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boldie
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« Reply #6 on: September 27, 2011, 02:15:31 PM » |
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Sorry meant 5.0 on City.
Cool, agree that that's too big. Bayern are obv a very good team but 4-1 on a team with the potential of City looks too big. I'll probs just sit the CL out for a while yet as it's a lot tougher this year than it has seemed to be in previous years. |
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Give a man a gun and he can rob a bank, give a man a bank and he can rob the world.
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maldini32
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« Reply #7 on: September 27, 2011, 02:21:57 PM » |
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Inter were wank under Gasperini cos he was too stubborn and wanted to play 3-4-3. He didn't have the personnel to play that formation and the defence suffered massively. With Ranieri coming in they've reverted to 4 at the back again and it gives them a lot more of a solid foundation. They played very well against Bologna on Saturday and he played his two sharpest front men in Forlan and Pazzini.
For me Inter and Man City are the best value bets of the day.
Probably lay Bayern and back Inter.
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mondatoo
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« Reply #8 on: September 27, 2011, 02:24:45 PM » |
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I thought Man City where too big, then I seen the form Bayern where in, played 9 won 9 scored 26 conceded 0, added to the fact it sounded like Man City where poor against Napoli despite playing well in the league and I'd just fade this game, but glglgl.
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T_Mar
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« Reply #9 on: September 27, 2011, 02:30:05 PM » |
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Big bet for me, City (draw no bet) @ 5/2
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redarmi
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« Reply #10 on: September 27, 2011, 02:48:23 PM » |
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I thought Man City where too big, then I seen the form Bayern where in, played 9 won 9 scored 26 conceded 0, added to the fact it sounded like Man City where poor against Napoli despite playing well in the league and I'd just fade this game, but glglgl.
No doubt Bayern are a good team but at 4/5 in Germany the price is pretty much ranking Bayern as the second best team in Europe which I don't think you can judge off a handful of games in the Bundesliga. To put it in context on the basis of tonight price if the game was played at the Etihad Stadium the prices would be 6/4 each of two which is just ridiculous.....only Barca would be shorter. |
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DungBeetle
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« Reply #11 on: September 27, 2011, 03:08:07 PM » |
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Anyone else think Charlton are a big price to win at MK Dons tonight at 2/1? Charlton on fire, and MK Dons have gone off the boil in the last few games.
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gatso
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« Reply #12 on: September 27, 2011, 03:31:41 PM » |
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Anyone else think Charlton are a big price to win at MK Dons tonight at 2/1? Charlton on fire, and MK Dons have gone off the boil in the last few games.
That could prove to be a huge price if the rumours about mk's team selection are correct. Looks like they may be playing a few kids and a few others put of position |
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If you get to the yeasty clunge you've gone too far
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ACE2M
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« Reply #13 on: September 27, 2011, 03:36:56 PM » |
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forlan is cup tied.
Sneijder, Motta, Stankovic, Maicon – out injured
longish trip to moscow.
CSKA form dipped a bit but that means they've lost twice in 8.
Bologna are shit so not taking much from that.
I'm happy with my bet.
People who think man city are value are off their heads imo - bayern are a quality side, city had a tough tough game against everton. Mancini may revert to type in europe and not really look to win the game from the off.
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T_Mar
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« Reply #14 on: September 27, 2011, 03:40:47 PM » |
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Drawing at home to Napoli means City cant really afford to close ranks, think they will be playing for the win.. Not doubting Bayern are a good side, but price too big imo
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