if you bet a 3rd of the pot on the river you would get action of aq, aj. it's a cutoff raise so i still think aq & aj are possible defence from the blinds.
Hmmm the problem with making these weak river bets is that you are begging to be check-raised and that can lead you into some tough spots. If you are good enough to get the resulting decisions correct then ok, but I'm not, so I think that any extra value I would gain from the river bet would disappear in one or two bad mistakes.
I think given the read from tighty, the chances of this guy c/r the river on a bluff happens so rarely you dont need to worry about getting pushed off the best hand.. I mean, what hand does he get to the river like this, given his read, that will suddenly c/r the river on a bluff? The only hands that might do it are one pair hands like A/x that are turning their hand into a bluff to get better aces/aces up to fold, but that doesn't really correlate with the image tighty gives us.
Whether he would call 3 streets against tightys likely image with AQ AJ is another thing, so I think that betting/not betting here has to correlate with the overall play of the session, for a looser player, betting is correct, for a tightwad, checking is prolly best.
Meh maybe this is why i don't play full ring anymore if I can't vbet ak here, i have no interest in playing this type of game.
qft