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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Would you stick or twist here ?
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Topic: Would you stick or twist here ? (Read 1885 times)
Karabiner
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Would you stick or twist here ?
«
on:
July 15, 2006, 07:54:34 PM »
I've backed Thomas Bjorn in the Sccottish Open @ 38 on Betfair.
He is currently tied for the lead with Darren Clarke two shots clear going into the last round.
I saved my stake (and made a marginal[£5]profit @ 8.
So at present if Bjorn wins I would win about £350, but I could lay him @ just below 3.
I fancy Bjorn to win but he's playing the final round tomorrow with one of his best mates who's wife is very poorly.
I feel that this could possibly make him take it easy.
What would you guys do ?
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"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
brad.strider
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Re: Would you stick or twist here ?
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Reply #1 on:
July 15, 2006, 09:50:18 PM »
bjorn and clarke have had a few last round nightmares in the last couple of years, bit of a coinflip, but id stick
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johnlarsson
Big Jzer
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Re: Would you stick or twist here ?
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Reply #2 on:
July 15, 2006, 11:54:36 PM »
lay lay lay
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TightEnd
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Re: Would you stick or twist here ?
«
Reply #3 on:
July 16, 2006, 12:15:38 AM »
I would lay
I would also doubt Clarke in the heat of the battle for understandable and sad reasons
I like the look of Tim Clark 3 shots back, last years winner, at around 15 on betfair. That's the value I think for you in case Bjorn falters
In effect you can get a partial hedge there
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Karabiner
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Re: Would you stick or twist here ?
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Reply #4 on:
July 16, 2006, 12:48:17 PM »
I've ended up compromising by laying £150/£75 Bjorn.
If Bjorn wins I win just under £200, if anyone else wins I get £80.
Winning score ? I reckon -14 should do it.
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"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
TightEnd
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Re: Would you stick or twist here ?
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Reply #5 on:
July 16, 2006, 07:04:02 PM »
A 125-1 chance shot a 63 to win it at 13 under
I knew it was a lay, but wouldn't have picked Edfors if you'd given me ten picks!
Nice compromise/lay sir!
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scottm
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Re: Would you stick or twist here ?
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Reply #6 on:
July 16, 2006, 10:48:47 PM »
Edfors deserved his win - lucky enough to follow him for a couple of holes towards the end of his round and he was playing beautifully.
Great weather too, and would've loved a tenner on his 125/1 at the beginning of the day !!!
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bobby1
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Re: Would you stick or twist here ?
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Reply #7 on:
July 17, 2006, 02:59:39 AM »
In the states if you are young and can hit the ball 350 yards and wear colourful shirts you are a seen as a star even if you can barely play the game. What kind of coverage would a guy that has played 11 tour events in his career and won 3 of them get?
That has to be one of the best rounds of golf for a long time.
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