yes as I said earlier in the week George washington can not beat bernadini on dirt...11-10 is a very decent price for him.
Here are the things I am thinking of...and some bets.
The Juvenile Fillies;
I reckon Dreaming of Anna can not be fancied. all her good form is on turf and this will be completely different. Admittedly Cash included is a worhty favourite but my money will probably go on Sutra who i really fancy at 14's (tote). A bit of an EW saver on Adhrhythm at 14's, even though she has a poor draw she did win lesser races very nicely.
Juvenile
circular Quay had scvat daddy 4 lenghts behind 2 races bacvk but I think Scta daddy has improved a lot and the best jockey is on him (velasquez)..so, in a race where I think I won't have a bet, I would go with scat daddy (5-1 bet direct) if I had to stick my fiver on anything...but a very tricky race.
fillies and mares...
Wait a while (3-1 with paddy power) should not be denied...awesome winning the last races by 4 lenghts +. Ouija board is a fantastic horse but not in the same form as she was 2 years ago.
Sprint..
a Very poor race...yes loads of group1 winners but all of them in small fields and hefty odds on. aTypical example of how poor american racing is. (too fragmented and good horses only meet eachoethr once a year)...no bet
The Mile,
Sleeping indian at 14-1 (VC bet) is a must bet for me. I think this horse is vastly underrated. The Americans should get slaughtered in this race as I expect a european 1-2-3 with Arafaa, sleeping indian and
valorem. (maybe even librettist 4th)
The Distaff, as per usual one of the weakest races on the card...the same problem as the sprint..poor american racing gives no real indication of the form. Fleeting indian is the favourite after beating Balletto 2x but Baletto gets closer every time and I'd much rather have him at 7-1 (EW)
The BC Turf,
NOW WE'RE TALKING! Hurricane run (still a godo horse but not in the same form as last year) English channel (highly rated american horse..but simply not as tried and tested as the Europeans) and SCORPION (who hacked up in a poor St Leger last year but has only had one run this season) all in one race...An easy win for Scorpion for me and the only winner for AP on the card. 8-1 with betfred? yes please!
The big one.
Bernadini is the one to beat..and I don't think it will be beaten. George washington probably won't handle the surface (very fast at the moment and also on dirt) there is a European performer in here thatcould scare the Yanks though...DAVID JUNIOR..11-1 with bet365 to sink bernadini and I reckon as an EW saver it's worth it.
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