What are the odds???

[dan]

0?

wrong

lol, for a start the only reason bongo wrote this was because the original question stated "what are the odds of hitting a flush on a   when holding   ?"

oi monkey, no need to make me look stupid let everybody think bongo is stupid

[matt674]

sorry

[ifm]

Anyway it depends who you are playing against, against me it's around 70%.
Though 4.2% v most others

[dan]

I'm betting the guy who finished 18th in the WSOP main event will win this bet, especially v a total fish........

how much would you like to bet that cupcake got this right mug??

Erm, you seem to confident that he is wrong, the question is then, were you right fish?

no, i was sadly wrong by a small margin

[RichEO]

ok, so you are playing heads up and you bluff all in on the flop, your opponent calls and so the cards are turned over and you can see your opponent is holding  .

now my answer is correct

Yes knowing your opponent has 2 cards that aren't hearts means hitting a flush. But there are full house draws to consider now, so no point in hitting a flush if it's 10h or .

flush draw beating a set:
47/7 x 46/6 = 50/1 = 1.9%

And running straight cards would be just as good as a backdoor flush (unless your agasint 67... not too likely). Chances of hitting a 3 and a 5 are:

47/8 * 46/4 = 67/1 = 1.5%

Dan, what was the bet exactly, just the odds of a backdoor flush or of A2 beating a set? How much was it for, and who won?

[dan]

ok, so you are playing heads up and you bluff all in on the flop, your opponent calls and so the cards are turned over and you can see your opponent is holding  .

now my answer is correct

Yes knowing your opponent has 2 cards that aren't hearts means hitting a flush. But there are full house draws to consider now, so no point in hitting a flush if it's 10h or .

flush draw beating a set:
47/7 x 46/6 = 50/1 = 1.9%

And running straight cards would be just as good as a backdoor flush (unless your agasint 67... not too likely). Chances of hitting a 3 and a 5 are:

47/8 * 46/4 = 67/1 = 1.5%

Dan, what was the bet exactly, just the odds of a backdoor flush or of A2 beating a set? How much was it for, and who won?

Rich,it was just a hypothetical question, i just had a bet on the actually odds of hitting runner runner. i said 27/1 and a mate who was right so it seems said about 23/1 so i lost the bet

[MrsLime]

ok, so you are playing heads up and you bluff all in on the flop, your opponent calls and so the cards are turned over and you can see your opponent is holding  .

now my answer is correct

Yes knowing your opponent has 2 cards that aren't hearts means hitting a flush. But there are full house draws to consider now, so no point in hitting a flush if it's 10h or .

flush draw beating a set:
47/7 x 46/6 = 50/1 = 1.9%

And running straight cards would be just as good as a backdoor flush (unless your agasint 67... not too likely). Chances of hitting a 3 and a 5 are:

47/8 * 46/4 = 67/1 = 1.5%

wrong

 please stop defiling maths

[tantrum]

Ah vs

board


cards  win   %win  lose  %lose  tie  %tie     EV
  947  95.66    43   4.34    0  0.00  0.957
Ah    43   4.34   947  95.66    0  0.00  0.043

4.34 roughly 23/1?

[ifm]

wrong

 please stop defiling maths

If you have no contribution apart from being condascending or abusive then f**k off.

[RED-DOG]

ok, so you are playing heads up and you bluff all in on the flop, your opponent calls and so the cards are turned over and you can see your opponent is holding  .

now my answer is correct

Yes knowing your opponent has 2 cards that aren't hearts means hitting a flush. But there are full house draws to consider now, so no point in hitting a flush if it's 10h or .

flush draw beating a set:
47/7 x 46/6 = 50/1 = 1.9%

And running straight cards would be just as good as a backdoor flush (unless your agasint 67... not too likely). Chances of hitting a 3 and a 5 are:

47/8 * 46/4 = 67/1 = 1.5%

wrong

 please stop defiling maths

Please stop defiling the rules of common courtesy and civility.

[tantrum]

flush draw vs set on the flop 30 vs 70 roughly...

[tantrum]

oops just saw this....

a song for MrsLime:

Chorus:
Don’t be bossy
Don’t be mean
I’m here to tell you just what I mean
Be nice. Be nice.
Now I have told you twice …be nice

When we hurt one another
We all end up feeling sad
I don’t know about you
But I don’t want to feel bad….Oh no.

-Chorus-

There are many people out there
Who are brave and strong
‘Cause they don’t need to hurt someone
To prove they belong…oh no

-Chorus-

You got to be a friend to another
If you want to make one too
If you want to live in peace
It’s all up to you…oh yea.

-Chorus-

 

 use it as your daily mantra....gl

[Cupcake]

I thank you all.......I think we all agree it's 23-1 and as the great white GAY one would say " Ship it ".



 Cupcake.

[Snatiramas]

Rather than looking at the odds I prefer to categorise like this
Two overcards against the pair..........oh well part of the game
Two undercards against the overcards.............bit lucky
AK against Kings.....................It's just not my night
undercards against the pair..............You are blessed
Trips against the made straight..............obviously you don't mind being behind
Hitting the one outer...............Why me you B****ard

Of course there are loads more and I would like to sample other peoples categories