Whats your move here?

[UpTheMariners]

SAS527 - VP$IP 16.5% PFR 5% based on 115 hands


FullTiltPoker Game #2064131223: $10,000 Guarantee (Rebuy) (15074074), Table 14 - 400/800 Ante 100 - No Limit Hold'em -
Seat 1: Watchmeplz (18,707)
Seat 2: UpTheMariners (28,660)
Seat 3: RedRager (13,046)
Seat 4: drcrabbies (13,625)
Seat 5: A 2 X (21,029)
Seat 6: BoXOfDuMDuMs (8,725)
Seat 8: SAS527 (48,796)
Seat 9: jupiter 1929 (5,007)
Watchmeplz antes 100
UpTheMariners antes 100
RedRager antes 100
drcrabbies antes 100
A 2 X antes 100
BoXOfDuMDuMs antes 100
SAS527 antes 100
jupiter 1929 antes 100
SAS527 posts the small blind of 400
jupiter 1929 posts the big blind of 800
The button is in seat #7
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to UpTheMariners [ ]
Watchmeplz folds
UpTheMariners raises to 2,400
RedRager folds
drcrabbies folds
A 2 X folds
BoXOfDuMDuMs folds
SAS527 calls 2,000
jupiter 1929 folds
*** FLOP *** [ ]
SAS527 bets 46,296, and is all in

it's your turn?

[Ironside]

instantly call

[boldie]

a massive overbet like that in a situation like this ussually represents a lower overpair of some sort.

Without having any info on your table image or what your oppo has done on his SB and when calling a raise pre-flop (does he always lead out? Is he weak? etc.) I would call this.

[temp0r]

yes JJ/1010 is quite possible but i see this a fair bit with a flopped set at this stage of a tournament. if i'm comfortable on the table and have good reads on important players then i fold with no read. unless you're already in the money or he's been pushing everyone around to get those chips.

[maldini32]

call in a flash, wot he have 9 10 or  spades?

[M3boy]

call in a flash, wot he have 9 10 or  spades?

9 10 of spades would be an absolute monster hand here

[doubleup]

How many left? Where do the payouts start.

I really wouldn't use VPIP PFR stats in tournaments - they don't really mean anything except in the very early stages and obviously a player will play differently later depending on his stack size and how near the money we are.  The key info I'd be looking for is how this player got his stack and has he been very aggressive since he got it?  If you don't know this do you get the impression he is trying to bully?  i.e has he been calling and pushing ppl off on the flop before this?
  

[Sunday8pm]

he has no other hand then 96 or T9 of spades

[Muahahahaha]

call in a flash, wot he have 9 10 or  spades?

9 10 of spades would be an absolute monster hand here

That makes him 55 / 45 favourite, but if he's pushing with Axs, or an up & down straight, it's even closer.

Then again if he's pushing with KK or QQ, you're a massive fave.

Surely the call is the move ?

[UpTheMariners]

i made the call

[Muahahahaha]

i made the call

&........

?

[UpTheMariners]

pocket 7's 

[Muahahahaha]

He done me then.  I would've thought trips would have been a much slower play.

I fell for it hook line & sinker.

[AlexMartin]

He thought outside the box. Thats what ill be doing from now on. Cheers for posting.