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Poker Hand Analysis
Turn decision - loving my hand, or so I thought.
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Topic: Turn decision - loving my hand, or so I thought. (Read 2776 times)
Sheriff Fatman
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Hero Member
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Posts: 5903
Turn decision - loving my hand, or so I thought.
«
on:
March 31, 2007, 01:52:25 AM »
Interested to hear peoples thoughts on this hand and what they do on the turn, given the action.
No obvious reads on the other players to influence my thinking.
Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
8 players
Stack sizes:
UTG: $113.15
UTG+1: $199.70
MP1: $236.55
Hero: $361.40
CO: $137.80
Button: $199
SB: $133.45
BB: $300.55
Pre-flop: (8 players) Hero is MP2 with
2 folds,
MP1 calls, Hero calls, CO raises to $7
, Button folds,
SB calls
, BB folds,
MP1 calls, Hero calls.
Flop:
($30, 4 players)
SB checks, MP1 checks,
Hero checks, CO bets $20.80
, SB folds,
MP1 calls, Hero calls.
Turn:
($92.4, 3 players)
MP1 checks, Hero checks, CO is all-in $110, MP1 calls,
Hero............?
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"...And If You Flash Him A Smile He'll Take Your Teeth As Deposit..."
"Sheriff Fatman" - Carter the Unstoppable Sex Machine
2006 Blonde Caption Comp Ultimate Champion (to be replaced by actual poker achievements when I have any)
GUKPT Online Main Event Winner 2008 (yay, a poker achievement!)
Tragic
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Posts: 625
Re: Turn decision - loving my hand, or so I thought.
«
Reply #1 on:
March 31, 2007, 12:19:45 PM »
Well, you can imagine he's not going all in with QQ or 99
. Looks like a bit of a panic bet, either with a made straight but you'd assume he wouldnt make the raise with KT, curiosity would get the better of me here i'd go with AQ maybe KQ at a push, obviosuly AJ would work too and that would be bad, could be AcTc i'd call, but i'm a bit of a fish
«
Last Edit: March 31, 2007, 12:28:19 PM by Tragic
»
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Tragic
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Posts: 625
Re: Turn decision - loving my hand, or so I thought.
«
Reply #2 on:
March 31, 2007, 12:20:26 PM »
Hey look 100 posts
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Dewi_cool
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Posts: 9972
Dusk Till Dawn - It's like going home
Re: Turn decision - loving my hand, or so I thought.
«
Reply #3 on:
April 01, 2007, 01:56:06 AM »
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The very last hand of the night goes to Dewi James, who finds ACES and talks Raymond O’Mahoney into calling his all-in preflop bet of 15k. “If I had AQ, I’d call!” says Dewi. Raymond calls holding pocket 66’s.
Smart Money
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Posts: 384
Re: Turn decision - loving my hand, or so I thought.
«
Reply #4 on:
April 01, 2007, 07:03:56 AM »
Quote from: Tragic on March 31, 2007, 12:19:45 PM
Well, you can imagine he's not going all in with QQ or 99
. Looks like a bit of a panic bet, either with a made straight but you'd assume he wouldnt make the raise with KT, curiosity would get the better of me here i'd go with AQ maybe KQ at a push, obviosuly AJ would work too and that would be bad, could be AcTc i'd call, but i'm a bit of a fish
The CO isn't the player to be concerned about. It's the MP1 player who you need to put on a range.
MP1 could have 99 of course, but even then you still have 7 outs. There's a pretty good chance he's on a draw though.
I'm on tilt right now so I'd definitely move all-in.
«
Last Edit: April 01, 2007, 07:12:21 AM by Smart Money
»
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Sheriff Fatman
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Re: Turn decision - loving my hand, or so I thought.
«
Reply #5 on:
April 03, 2007, 12:40:00 PM »
I was hoping this would attract a bit more discussion than it did. The fact that it hasn't suggests that people who've read it seem to think this is a trivial decision.
Those who have posted seem to be in favour of calling/pushing here and I'm wondering if that's the majority view.
Assuming so, then it looks like I'm in the minority here, as I folded after letting my hand hover over every option at some point.
Anyone else fold here in this position? I'd love some more opinions.
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"...And If You Flash Him A Smile He'll Take Your Teeth As Deposit..."
"Sheriff Fatman" - Carter the Unstoppable Sex Machine
2006 Blonde Caption Comp Ultimate Champion (to be replaced by actual poker achievements when I have any)
GUKPT Online Main Event Winner 2008 (yay, a poker achievement!)
iceman
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Re: Turn decision - loving my hand, or so I thought.
«
Reply #6 on:
April 03, 2007, 01:49:01 PM »
if id played the hand as you did - check call on flop along with 1of the other limpers,check turn, then id fold. you really cant know where you are.
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Sheriff Fatman
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Re: Turn decision - loving my hand, or so I thought.
«
Reply #7 on:
April 03, 2007, 02:24:23 PM »
Quote from: iceman on April 03, 2007, 01:49:01 PM
if id played the hand as you did - check call on flop along with 1of the other limpers,check turn, then id fold. you really cant know where you are.
Cheers iceman.
Naturally there's all sorts of ways that people would play this one. I focused on the turn decision because its the one that I was faced with but there's probably a good alternative to every decision I made in this hand.
I'm happy to hear opinions on the whole hand if anyone wants to discuss alternatives, as my earlier play is by no means 'standard'.
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"...And If You Flash Him A Smile He'll Take Your Teeth As Deposit..."
"Sheriff Fatman" - Carter the Unstoppable Sex Machine
2006 Blonde Caption Comp Ultimate Champion (to be replaced by actual poker achievements when I have any)
GUKPT Online Main Event Winner 2008 (yay, a poker achievement!)
kinboshi
ROMANES EUNT DOMUS
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We go again.
Re: Turn decision - loving my hand, or so I thought.
«
Reply #8 on:
April 03, 2007, 02:28:33 PM »
I'd fold - but I'm a big wuss.
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TightEnd
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Re: Turn decision - loving my hand, or so I thought.
«
Reply #9 on:
April 03, 2007, 02:41:53 PM »
why is your previous play noit standard
limp in mp with a connector? by the time it comes back to you after CO raise you are priced in
flop middle pair and an up and down, were you planning to check raise one player here?
once CO bets and and MP1 calls what do you have him on? I think I raise 99 there for value versus a pre-flop raiser (AQ?) if I am him not flat call. I think at this stage MP1 is drawing too
On the turn I am calling CO push if its just him. MP1 flat calls?? that probalby changes my thinking...to check call twice with you behind him suggests a biggie to me...a house maybe QQ, 99
given that action I can defend the fold I think.
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By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Sheriff Fatman
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Re: Turn decision - loving my hand, or so I thought.
«
Reply #10 on:
April 03, 2007, 02:53:49 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on April 03, 2007, 02:41:53 PM
why is your previous play noit standard
Its a fairly passive line I'm taking through the hand. Not everyone would play it this way, I'm sure.
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"...And If You Flash Him A Smile He'll Take Your Teeth As Deposit..."
"Sheriff Fatman" - Carter the Unstoppable Sex Machine
2006 Blonde Caption Comp Ultimate Champion (to be replaced by actual poker achievements when I have any)
GUKPT Online Main Event Winner 2008 (yay, a poker achievement!)
TightEnd
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Re: Turn decision - loving my hand, or so I thought.
«
Reply #11 on:
April 03, 2007, 02:55:56 PM »
fairly passive?
hence I see nothing unstandard about it.....
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Sheriff Fatman
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Posts: 5903
Re: Turn decision - loving my hand, or so I thought.
«
Reply #12 on:
April 03, 2007, 02:58:18 PM »
The weak-tight brigade marches on....
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"...And If You Flash Him A Smile He'll Take Your Teeth As Deposit..."
"Sheriff Fatman" - Carter the Unstoppable Sex Machine
2006 Blonde Caption Comp Ultimate Champion (to be replaced by actual poker achievements when I have any)
GUKPT Online Main Event Winner 2008 (yay, a poker achievement!)
temp0r
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Posts: 683
Re: Turn decision - loving my hand, or so I thought.
«
Reply #13 on:
April 03, 2007, 05:17:16 PM »
you have to call. because of the way you've played it imo. all-in on the turn looks like kings. but you really cant be sure what MP1 is calling with. at worst AQ. at best a slow played straight or house. neither of which you have much hope with.
i'd be more concerned about the way you've played this hand in general. call-call-check-call. wtf? does being that passive at this limit REALLY pay off in the long run? is calling that kinda raise with J10 out of position really pay off in the long run? i doubt it.
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Smart Money
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Re: Turn decision - loving my hand, or so I thought.
«
Reply #14 on:
April 03, 2007, 06:04:51 PM »
Quote from: temp0r on April 03, 2007, 05:17:16 PM
i'd be more concerned about the way you've played this hand in general. call-call-check-call. wtf? does being that passive at this limit REALLY pay off in the long run?
Yes, absolutely.
Quote from: temp0r on April 03, 2007, 05:17:16 PM
is calling that kinda raise with J10 out of position really pay off in the long run? i doubt it.
No. There is no need to see a flop here.
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