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Author Topic: The long overdue (no staking) tennis betting and discussion thread  (Read 214016 times)
Ironside
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« Reply #945 on: June 27, 2025, 01:32:19 PM »

week 2 we have the doubles, juniors, wheelchairs, pensioners and hopefully Draper

without getting seeded its hard to make it too round 3 or 4
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« Reply #946 on: June 27, 2025, 11:24:07 PM »

Quote
Harris has Hurkakz round 1, but he has dropped down the rankings.  Doesn't seem too bad after.

Hurkakz has pulled out so its Dušan Lajović (LL) now
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« Reply #947 on: July 01, 2025, 09:56:37 PM »

The Wimbledon draws are out.

https://www.wimbledon.com/en_GB/draws/gentlemens-singles

Raducanu plays Xu round 1.  Winner plays Vondrousova or Kessler (not Allan) then winner Sabalenka.  So out by round 3.

Boulter plays Badosa round 1; Badosa not as flakey as she was.  Draw ok if she gets through right up to Keys in possible quarter.

Klugman has Fernandez round 1.  She is one of the more bearable seeds?  Gets Keys before Boulter in round 3 (unlikely she gets there)

Dart winnable round 1, Haddad Mia round 2.

Kartal has Ostapenko round 1, which should be entertaining on one of the main courts?

Burrage has Swiatek round 2 if she gets there.

Fran Jones tough round 2 if she gets there.

Watson has Tauson, depends which Watson shows up.

Stojsavljevic out in 1?

On men

Fearnley plays current hype pot Fonseca

Draper easier draw.  Cilic is round 2, and Bublic 3.  Bublic obviously more difficult than Cilic (even if he did well at Nottingham)

Monday has Paul round 1, which is a shame

Pinnington Jones has a relatively easy draw.

Evans has Clarke then Djokovic.  So one Brit gets through just 1 round there.

Harris has Hurkakz round 1, but he has dropped down the rankings.  Doesn't seem too bad after.

Searle might win a game or two, but then faces Zverev (BOO!)

Assume Fery doesn't last long despite an easier draw.

Similarly don't think Crawford lasts long either.

Norrie has Bautista Agut then Tiafoe.  Tough.

Tarvet gets beat by Alcaraz in round 2 if he continues the dream run.

Sorry if I have missed any.

So week 2 is Draper only?


Boulter is odds on to be GB number 1 after Wimbledon again after that win.  Raducanu was 2.84 just now vs Vondrousova which is probably fair, though couldn't resist a bet.  Kartal and Boulter both 30/100 ish.  Didn't see much of the Kartal game but every point I saw seemed to be Penko not been arsed to chase it.  Think Boulter did more to deserve the win.  Dart had plenty of chances as did Watson, but both have them away.  Not sure how either comes back now.

Think Boulter can easily make wk 2 where she should meet Keys.  She likely has to beat Vekic though, but there isn't much between them.  Would take Boulter if not favourite.

Men are more promising.  Pinnington Jones and Harris had good wins.  Both odds against, and might back Pinnington Jones in round 2.  Tarvet has been incredible from nowhere, but obviously loses in round 2.  Fery is evens to get further than I was expecting, but has been blessed with a good draw as mentioned in the above post.  Norrie looks too short Vs Tiafoe? 

Draper looks solid still.

 Am looking to bet Cazaux Vs De Minaur for the rounds big shock.



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« Reply #948 on: July 03, 2025, 09:15:19 AM »

Cazaux was 10.5 this morning Vs De Minaur.  Think Cazaux is getting better again, and De Minaur isn't at his peak.  Feel 9.5/1 is pretty decent, but hard to win over 5 sets.

Think Raducanu too short Vs Sabalenka so won't be rushing back in. She is playing very well though... Pinnington Jones might be worth a look.  Do like him as a player.

Turns out Norrie wasn't too short, and maybe Boulter isn't a bet ever at Wimbledon?

No seeds left to face Kartal until the quarter final now.  Could face a centre court battle with Osaka before that?

« Last Edit: July 03, 2025, 09:17:31 AM by Doobs » Logged

Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #949 on: July 04, 2025, 10:12:01 PM »

Pretty enjoyable day of tennis. Kartal is 1 win away from being GB number 1.
Norrie is Scottish again :-)
Emma put up a good showing
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