Help!

[tikay]

I need to answer an awkward question for a column I do elsewhere.

On a (full) 6 seater table,what are the odds of 4 players being dealt Pocket Pairs?

[efcfan]

I'll have a stab at about 50,000 to 1.

[MKKfish]

I may be being amazingly thick here but surely it's the same as any other distribution of any pre-flop four hands at a six seater...

[tikay]

I may be being amazingly thick here but surely it's the same as any other distribution of any pre-flop four hands at a six seater...

...which is.......?

[tikay]

I am sure I'm wrong here, but if the chance of being dealt a PP is, say, 16/1, then is the answer 16x16x16x16? Then again, how would that differ - if at all - from a full table of 9 or 10?

[MKKfish]

...which is.......?


Lots

Well I'm just back from the pub but.....progessive distribution of (oh feck lets just deal with 4 hands), would be

2/52 * 2/50 * 2/48 * 2/46...again I'm not sure but I think the pairs bit clouds the question.

[tikay]

...which is.......?


Lots

That's what I thought. What you reckon, a shed-load to 1?

[efcfan]

After the dealer has dealt the first 6 cards, there are 46 left in the pack and only 3 of them will pair you up, so about 15 to 1.

So four to pair up is roughly 15x15x15x14 ?

[tikay]

After the dealer has dealt the first 6 cards, there are 46 left in the pack and only 3 of them will pair you up, so about 15 to 1.

So four to pair up is roughly 15x15x15x14 ?

Thanks Mate.

[MKKfish]

Tikay,
I do think the pairs bit is irrelevant in establishing the odd. James, however, would argue that it is -EVament unless you had position as well.
Cheers,
FishMKK

[byronkincaid]

I'm really bad at maths so I don't even know why I'm posting this but if 16/1 is roughly 6% then is it not

.06*.06*.06*.06*100 = 0.001296%
 
but I can't work out the 6 people v 10 people thing. The odds must be better that it will happen at a 10 seat table right

[tikay]

My head hurts.

[MKKfish]

Yeah - I think the Eastbourne FC fan is right..

[booder]

even money on crypto

[RED-DOG]

It's about evens on the Sky Poker Open.