final three of a 160+ runner low level buy-in MTT.
I'm watching my friend play and the chipstacks are as follows(roughly):
Button(hero)145,000
sb:45,000
bb:51,000
hero is outplaying opponents post flop and has built up his stack +70%-80% since 6 handed
blinds 1500-3000
hero raises from the button with
to 9k
SB folds, BB calls.
BB seems very inexperienced, big preflop range and has been giving up a lot of pots to hero continuation bet.
pot 20k and flop
BB moves all in for 40k and my pal insta calls.
my pal draws out and wins pot.
We had a heated debate about this hand, my pal is a very good MTT player usually and plays at higher stakes but was playing a serious end game here even for a low level MTT so i was confused by his call. addmittidly he plays a lot on instinct and felt that BB had connected with the flop, would've check raised with a "proper" flush draw so he felt his 4 high spade draw was good and that combined with his gutshot straight was sure enough that he was 48% to improve, remarkable read if true but even if true with BB erratic preflop range and post flop play can you take this little call equity given that 48% dog is the BEST you can hope for, especially when your outplaying your opponents so convincingly post flop?
The BB had
Even if you could see the opponents cards given your getting 6/4 about a 48% shot would you call here knowing you hugely +EV playing flops against these guys.
So my pals argument is that he has a chance to knock someone out risking 1/3 of his stack, getting to heads up a 4:1 CL and getting pot odds 6/4 about a 48% shot when he feels the blinds have just gone up enough so that his edge playing flop will be negated by his opponents starting to shove.
would you call given these circumstances, register your vote please guys.
also i'd like to hear if you'd call if you could see opponents cards.