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Author Topic: Football Betting Systems  (Read 10044 times)
henrik777
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« Reply #15 on: November 26, 2007, 06:35:45 PM »

Nice result.

How many correct scores did you get ? Must have been a few.

 Still think you'd be better long term just betting the total stake on the teams rather than adding in the correct scores.

Sandy

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GlasgowBandit
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« Reply #16 on: November 27, 2007, 07:29:08 PM »

I got 7 correct scores up.  Some games went against me in the last few minutes.
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bolt pp
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« Reply #17 on: July 09, 2009, 09:34:49 PM »

i really like back football winners innit good for pocket economy
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boldie
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« Reply #18 on: July 09, 2009, 09:53:43 PM »

i really like back football winners innit good for pocket economy

...I miss Bandit's posts on the Betting forum.
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mckelinho
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« Reply #19 on: July 09, 2009, 10:49:11 PM »

I know this is an old forum but i wasnt a member at the time and have just read it since bolt pp posted.

I heard this sytem years ago and done it a few times, it does seem good. But if you put your total stake on just the 2,3, 4 or 5 team accumulator you get roughly the same amount. U only make more if there is more than 15 1-1 draws or something, cant remember exactly but i worked it out at the time.
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Longy
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« Reply #20 on: July 09, 2009, 11:24:55 PM »

Accumalators are fun.

Accumalators can win you a lot of money if you bink.

Accumalators are very rarely +ev and if you can't see why, don't expect to make any money from gambling.
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boldie
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« Reply #21 on: July 10, 2009, 07:36:55 AM »

Accumalators are fun.

Accumalators can win you a lot of money if you bink.

Accumalators are very rarely +ev and if you can't see why, don't expect to make any money from gambling.

This is spot on.
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Matt50
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« Reply #22 on: July 10, 2009, 09:16:46 AM »

I was going to post this nearer the start of the season, but as this thread is up i suppose now is as good a time as any.

I had a theory a while ago about a football system (wasnt the first one i'd had), but due to losing money on the others decided to try this out hypothetically, recording every match for the last 2 seasons without actually betting on it.

Without wanting to give anything away at this stage, the system has shown a profit of £700 in season 07/08 and £920 in season 08/09.

I am now going to actually put this system to the test with my money this season (it is bound to go tits up now  Grin) and see what happens.

I am a firm believer that the bookies can be beaten - it is just working out how to do it and hopefully this will work.
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mckelinho
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« Reply #23 on: July 10, 2009, 09:45:40 AM »

Why not tell us then?
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Matt.NFFC.
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« Reply #24 on: July 10, 2009, 10:04:42 AM »

 

Tell me more
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Matt50
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« Reply #25 on: July 10, 2009, 10:36:42 AM »

Because i've spent 2 years working on it for me to profit from  Wink

If it continues to be a success then i will share with certain people..............for the right fee 
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bolt pp
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« Reply #26 on: July 10, 2009, 10:41:23 AM »

ive got a system on the first and second legs of the first playoff matches in the three divisions.

strange though like matt havent collected yet, something i notice 2 years ago mentioned it to someone then forgot about it, then this year he phones me up and reminds me of it and it smashed it sigh, i'll be on next season.
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steeveg
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« Reply #27 on: July 10, 2009, 11:38:03 AM »

having a system for picking football selections is one thing , having a system for placing mulitple bets is another, the bookies edge is the profit margin from underpricing every match, the more selections you add the more  this edge  is mulitiplied, bad price x bad price.
i agree nothing wrong with a footie accumulator for a bit of fun, but there is no mathmatical magic formula to beat the bookies except getting better odds than the bet should be, value.

« Last Edit: July 10, 2009, 11:42:25 AM by steeveg » Logged
Longy
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« Reply #28 on: July 10, 2009, 12:58:34 PM »

having a system for picking football selections is one thing , having a system for placing mulitple bets is another, the bookies edge is the profit margin from underpricing every match, the more selections you add the more  this edge  is mulitiplied, bad price x bad price.
i agree nothing wrong with a footie accumulator for a bit of fun, but there is no mathmatical magic formula to beat the bookies except getting better odds than the bet should be, value.



This is exactly why accumalators are a mugs game and how the vast majority British bookies make a shed load of profit year on year. Those £10 and £20 bets every Saturday on the coupons add up.

British bookies actually tend to be pretty bad odd setters and get lazy because they have a license to print money on the footie coupons.
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Graham C
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« Reply #29 on: July 10, 2009, 01:44:12 PM »

How about a Man U/Chelsea double each week.  Leave out the times one is playing Liverpool or Arsenal (and obvioulsly each other). 

Nice profit over the season do you think?
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