Darts

[kinboshi]

Great match between Taylor and Tabern.  Taylor well below his best, but still managed to grind out the win.

Now Boldie is playing against Mardle!

[ifm]

Had a tenner on Boldie, cheers mate!

[Graham C]

Been some cracking matches in the second and third round.  I have been going well in punting on them too, but it's all gone tits up today and yesterday!

Exciting stuff though, I do like the arras

[ifm]

Been some cracking matches in the second and third round.  I have been going well in punting on them too, but it's all gone tits up today and yesterday!

Exciting stuff though, I do like the arras

Really?
The only shock was Boldie v Mardle IMO, the rest were nailed.

[kinboshi]

Boldie fell apart in the end.  He was playing some great stuff after the first set, but then it seemed to go wrong.

[Graham C]

I had Baxter to beat Dudbridge too today, he started out as favourite, but Dudbridge has been playing well.

[ifm]

I had Baxter to beat Dudbridge too today, he started out as favourite, but Dudbridge has been playing well.

I don't gamble, at least not in a bookies (the odd friendly few quid here and there amongst mates) so i suppose predicting scores is much easier for me, coupled with a little insider info (i play regularly against most of these chaps).
I would post tips but i would die of embarassment were i ever wrong!!

[mickyp]

John Part has been the most impressive player so far imoa.

[ifm]

John Part has been the most impressive player so far imoa.

Terribly inconsistant over the last 4-5 years, tough one to call v Alex Roy as he's been crap for the same period!!
Part hasn't played anyone worrysome yet, that could be the key.

[bobby1]

Ive been betting these matches in running today and feel like I have not been to sleep for about 3 days, how draining were they to watch? I thought both Barney and Taylor looked out of sorts again, maybe this is a good year someone else to win, I have liked the way Painter has played so I might be with him against Barney but he will prob have to beat Lewis if he does beat Barney so its tough to be confident.

The draw has opened up nicely for Taylor if he can beat Mardle tho he has been struggling to beat lesser ranked players but Mardle has got a shocking record against Taylor.

For a nice bet I am gonna back Part at around 23 on Betfair, he plays his game last 2morrow night so when he starts 5 more players will have been knocked out, these will include either Barney or Painter as they play each other and maybe one or two other fancied players, either way with 5 players out of the mnarket you will be able to lay the bet back before he plays to lock in a profit or get yourself a free bet.

Anyone got any fancies?

[totalise]

I had a bet on painter, I really like the way hes playing. Dont fancy taylor to win it this year, only reason he won tonight was coz his opponent bottled it worse then taylor

For a nice bet I am gonna back Part at around 23 on Betfair, he plays his game last 2morrow night so when he starts 5 more players will have been knocked out, these will include either Barney or Painter as they play each other and maybe one or two other fancied players, either way with 5 players out of the mnarket you will be able to lay the bet back before he plays to lock in a profit or get yourself a free bet.

betfairs markets are pretty efficient in terms of prices layed, what you say sounds very true in theory, I just for some reason dont think this will be the case becuase i always assume that the prices have taken this into consideration. I'm not much of a sports bettor though, so its almost certain im wrong.

[bobby1]

I had a bet on painter, I really like the way hes playing. Dont fancy taylor to win it this year, only reason he won tonight was coz his opponent bottled it worse then taylor

For a nice bet I am gonna back Part at around 23 on Betfair, he plays his game last 2morrow night so when he starts 5 more players will have been knocked out, these will include either Barney or Painter as they play each other and maybe one or two other fancied players, either way with 5 players out of the mnarket you will be able to lay the bet back before he plays to lock in a profit or get yourself a free bet.

betfairs markets are pretty efficient in terms of prices layed, what you say sounds very true in theory, I just for some reason dont think this will be the case becuase i always assume that the prices have taken this into consideration. I'm not much of a sports bettor though, so its almost certain im wrong.

This isnt the strongest market to be playing that way but at the moment it is bet to 102% so with 5 players out(and the potential to have say Barney out there will be enough shortening to lay back at no worse than the 23 if, and that is the IF there is enough liquidity in the market at that time which there should be.

I will pm you a great market to play this on if you want its coming up in a few weeks so you might want to take a look even if you dont want to bet on it.

[totalise]

I had a bet on painter, I really like the way hes playing. Dont fancy taylor to win it this year, only reason he won tonight was coz his opponent bottled it worse then taylor

For a nice bet I am gonna back Part at around 23 on Betfair, he plays his game last 2morrow night so when he starts 5 more players will have been knocked out, these will include either Barney or Painter as they play each other and maybe one or two other fancied players, either way with 5 players out of the mnarket you will be able to lay the bet back before he plays to lock in a profit or get yourself a free bet.

betfairs markets are pretty efficient in terms of prices layed, what you say sounds very true in theory, I just for some reason dont think this will be the case becuase i always assume that the prices have taken this into consideration. I'm not much of a sports bettor though, so its almost certain im wrong.

This isnt the strongest market to be playing that way but at the moment it is bet to 102% so with 5 players out(and the potential to have say Barney out there will be enough shortening to lay back at no worse than the 23 if, and that is the IF there is enough liquidity in the market at that time which there should be.

I will pm you a great market to play this on if you want its coming up in a few weeks so you might want to take a look even if you dont want to bet on it.

yes but its still got a lot of volume, and in any efficient market any actions to one side will lead to adjustments on the other,  I just dont see how any good winning layer would expose himself to such a "free money" play, and going back to my origional point, these markets wont allow punters with losing "trading" strategies to make mistakes like this. I'll defo be watching with interest tomorrow because I've had many thoughts like this before, but never followed them through because I just assume that places such as betfair they would already take into account stuff like this.

and I'd defo love to get a PM about the market play.

I used to trade currencies and in my mind, (and I admit again im likely wrong) when the BoE or other institutions had interest rate "meetings" imminent, the price would alter based on what the expectation was on the interest rate change, so for example if the entire world knew that the BoE would reduce rates by 0.25%, and then the BoE did reduce the interest rates by 0.25%, the exchange rates wouldn't change much because that would already have been priced into the market, so based on that, I have always insta-assumed that stuff like what you said above would also be priced into the market. I dont know if that makes any sense, but thats how I have always seen it.

[bobby1]

I had a bet on painter, I really like the way hes playing. Dont fancy taylor to win it this year, only reason he won tonight was coz his opponent bottled it worse then taylor

For a nice bet I am gonna back Part at around 23 on Betfair, he plays his game last 2morrow night so when he starts 5 more players will have been knocked out, these will include either Barney or Painter as they play each other and maybe one or two other fancied players, either way with 5 players out of the mnarket you will be able to lay the bet back before he plays to lock in a profit or get yourself a free bet.

betfairs markets are pretty efficient in terms of prices layed, what you say sounds very true in theory, I just for some reason dont think this will be the case becuase i always assume that the prices have taken this into consideration. I'm not much of a sports bettor though, so its almost certain im wrong.

This isnt the strongest market to be playing that way but at the moment it is bet to 102% so with 5 players out(and the potential to have say Barney out there will be enough shortening to lay back at no worse than the 23 if, and that is the IF there is enough liquidity in the market at that time which there should be.

I will pm you a great market to play this on if you want its coming up in a few weeks so you might want to take a look even if you dont want to bet on it.

yes but its still got a lot of volume, and in any efficient market any actions to one side will lead to adjustments on the other,  I just dont see how any good winning layer would expose himself to such a "free money" play, and going back to my origional point, these markets wont allow punters with losing "trading" strategies to make mistakes like this. I'll defo be watching with interest tomorrow because I've had many thoughts like this before, but never followed them through because I just assume that places such as betfair they would already take into account stuff like this.

and I'd defo love to get a PM about the market play.

I used to trade currencies and in my mind, (and I admit again im likely wrong) when the BoE or other institutions had interest rate "meetings" imminent, the price would alter based on what the expectation was on the interest rate change, so for example if the entire world knew that the BoE would reduce rates by 0.25%, and then the BoE did reduce the interest rates by 0.25%, the exchange rates wouldn't change much because that would already have been priced into the market, so based on that, I have always insta-assumed that stuff like what you said above would also be priced into the market. I dont know if that makes any sense, but thats how I have always seen it.

The markets are deffo not as efficient as the stuff you describe above.

I have a couple of bets up there now asking for a price that is above the current fixed odds market, if these get matched then I am pretty confident that I can trade it out shorter on the off of the match, at the moment the back price is 20 which isn't a price I would want to take with the view of laying back as I dont see it being much shorter than say 17 when his match starts, at 23 ish tho I would be happy to take it and see how it goes. If Barney who is currently 4/1 and taking 20% of the market gets knocked out then it will be v interesting. I will send you that pm in a few weeks when the market comes around.

[boldie]

Boldie fell apart in the end.  He was playing some great stuff after the first set, but then it seemed to go wrong.

I blame myself for not shaving my head..and me having lost too much weight in the past few days.

sorry guys.