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Poll
Question: 77 Decision Pre-Flop
I Call! - 6 (35.3%)
Fold. Calling 1/8.5 of your stack here is a SPEW - 9 (52.9%)
4 Bet FTMFW - 2 (11.8%)
Total Voters: 17

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Author Topic: Pocket 7s PreFlop Decision  (Read 3130 times)
EvilPie
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« Reply #15 on: April 04, 2008, 01:27:41 PM »

I'm a big fan of pocket pairs but I'm not sure if I could make the call here.

Ok you've got the implied odds but you've only just got them. In a cash game with the same implied odds then it's a definite call but I think in a tournament I'm letting this one go.

I would've preferred to flat call the big blind then call any raise which would've hopefully cost much less than the £3075. Say it had only cost £2000 to call then the implied odds are about 12 to 1 and much more favorable. I'm happy calling a raise with these cards but not too keen against the re raise. You know you're behind (or maybe AK/AQ) so it's a big risk with a small pair.

I don't mind being oop in this situation. If you don't hit your set then you're getting away no matter what and if you hit then you're looking for an all in no matter what. Position isn't that important in this situation. It might be important in a live game where you can get a read but online I can't see the problem.
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LeKnave
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« Reply #16 on: April 04, 2008, 01:32:21 PM »

I would've preferred to flat call the big blind then call any raise which would've hopefully cost much less than the £3075. Say it had only cost £2000 to call then the implied odds are about 12 to 1 and much more favorable.

but in this spot we dont know we have the implied odds of his whole stack as we cant defo have him on AA/KK/QQ from just a raise over a caller.  much different to a small 3bet over and ep open.
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EvilPie
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« Reply #17 on: April 04, 2008, 01:43:42 PM »

I would've preferred to flat call the big blind then call any raise which would've hopefully cost much less than the £3075. Say it had only cost £2000 to call then the implied odds are about 12 to 1 and much more favorable.

but in this spot we dont know we have the implied odds of his whole stack as we cant defo have him on AA/KK/QQ from just a raise over a caller.  much different to a small 3bet over and ep open.

We never know for sure though. That's why they're implied.

I guess I'm a bit of a stack protector and wouldn't want to put in quite so much on a pair of sevens. I prefer to put in 10% of my stack for a 50% chance of achieving my implied odds than 20% of my stack with a 75% chance.

(Made up figures, they came from nowhere so no need to tell me they're wrong)
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LeKnave
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« Reply #18 on: April 04, 2008, 02:08:20 PM »

I would've preferred to flat call the big blind then call any raise which would've hopefully cost much less than the £3075. Say it had only cost £2000 to call then the implied odds are about 12 to 1 and much more favorable.

but in this spot we dont know we have the implied odds of his whole stack as we cant defo have him on AA/KK/QQ from just a raise over a caller.  much different to a small 3bet over and ep open.

We never know for sure though. That's why they're implied.

I guess I'm a bit of a stack protector and wouldn't want to put in quite so much on a pair of sevens. I prefer to put in 10% of my stack for a 50% chance of achieving my implied odds than 20% of my stack with a 75% chance.

(Made up figures, they came from nowhere so no need to tell me they're wrong)

I wouldnt be too worried about losing that extra 3K when we'r only playing 300/600 though.

We fold to 3bet: 27,121
We call and lose: 24,046

still a tonne of play either way.

Call and get there: 52K.

Its not going to damage ur stack, try accumulate some decent chips and go deep.
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« Reply #19 on: April 04, 2008, 02:50:22 PM »

Im going to disagree massively with calling and lol at 8.5 to 1 implied odds being anywhere good enough to set mine.

We know villain is tight so his range is probably somewhere around ak,1010+, though it should be a lot lot wider. AK makes up alot of that range as its just more likely to be dealt. Villain is unlikely to stack over a 1/3 his range for a start unless the flop comes a 7 X or k7x. Also he is not getting kk-1010 on crappy boards with overcards. Also he might stack you in a cooler set over set.

All in all you are going to need way more than 7.5 to 1 of hitting the 7. I go by 15 to 1 as my mark for setting mining and it was worked out mathematically in MSNL on 2p2 that is more likely to be about 17 to 1 with deeper stacks.

If we are not set mining and villain is tight im not sure how the hell we are going to out play him postflop oop.

Push or fold, given he is tight this seems a rather trivial fold to me.
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UpTheMariners
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« Reply #20 on: April 04, 2008, 04:09:01 PM »

8.5 to 1 implied to hit a set but your about 10 to 1 for you to hit your set then it to hold up.
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« Reply #21 on: April 04, 2008, 04:25:56 PM »

Im not to keen on playing low pairs like this a lot(especially when i feel i need to make trips) as it is just a pair and with his tight image i would most likely fold. As already said the fact his 3bet was such a small amount it suggest he is playing a big pair so your basically hoping for a great/lucky board.Also although u just about getting the implied odds to call if the flop comes a 7 wiith an A or K then by the way he played it you would be worried he'd hit trips too.

Fold and pick better spot imho.

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