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Author Topic: wimbledon  (Read 61807 times)
bolt pp
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« Reply #75 on: June 27, 2008, 09:56:42 PM »

Done a 4 fold on Betfair. Pays around 11/4.

Friday and Saturday Janko Tipsarevic, Lleyton Hewitt, Stanislas Wawrinka, Marcos Baghdatis
Back 3476741 27-Jun-08
11:31  1 - £137.36 Matched

1time please Tipsaaaaaaaarevic

LOL fourtimerpaying11/4aments

lol, why? winners a winner, ive had acca's pay less

The case for the prosecution rests, your honour.

sort of walked into that Roll Eyes

It's all about how you assess value, if you had a free $10 bet would you prefer to have it on Andorra to bt France in a euro qualifier at 33/1 or an outsider in a 22 runner handicap at the same price?
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Karabiner
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« Reply #76 on: June 27, 2008, 10:01:13 PM »

Done a 4 fold on Betfair. Pays around 11/4.

Friday and Saturday Janko Tipsarevic, Lleyton Hewitt, Stanislas Wawrinka, Marcos Baghdatis
Back 3476741 27-Jun-08
11:31  1 - £137.36 Matched

1time please Tipsaaaaaaaarevic

LOL fourtimerpaying11/4aments

lol, why? winners a winner, ive had acca's pay less

The case for the prosecution rests, your honour.

sort of walked into that Roll Eyes

It's all about how you assess value, if you had a free $10 bet would you prefer to have it on Andorra to bt France in a euro qualifier at 33/1 or an outsider in a 22 runner handicap at the same price?

Have it on a NR FTW
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bolt pp
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« Reply #77 on: June 27, 2008, 10:04:26 PM »

Done a 4 fold on Betfair. Pays around 11/4.

Friday and Saturday Janko Tipsarevic, Lleyton Hewitt, Stanislas Wawrinka, Marcos Baghdatis
Back 3476741 27-Jun-08
11:31  1 - £137.36 Matched

1time please Tipsaaaaaaaarevic

LOL fourtimerpaying11/4aments

lol, why? winners a winner, ive had acca's pay less

The case for the prosecution rests, your honour.

sort of walked into that Roll Eyes

It's all about how you assess value, if you had a free $10 bet would you prefer to have it on Andorra to bt France in a euro qualifier at 33/1 or an outsider in a 22 runner handicap at the same price?

Have it on a NR FTW

'tis of course the right(old skool lateral thinking) answer

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AndrewT
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« Reply #78 on: June 27, 2008, 10:09:13 PM »

Done a 4 fold on Betfair. Pays around 11/4.

Friday and Saturday Janko Tipsarevic, Lleyton Hewitt, Stanislas Wawrinka, Marcos Baghdatis
Back 3476741 27-Jun-08
11:31  1 - £137.36 Matched

1time please Tipsaaaaaaaarevic

LOL fourtimerpaying11/4aments

lol, why? winners a winner, ive had acca's pay less

The case for the prosecution rests, your honour.

sort of walked into that Roll Eyes

It's all about how you assess value, if you had a free $10 bet would you prefer to have it on Andorra to bt France in a euro qualifier at 33/1 or an outsider in a 22 runner handicap at the same price?

Yeah, but they're both singles.

With a four timer, you have to be sure all four bets are of equal value. The likelihood is they're not - one will be better than the others. In which case, lump on the value bet as a single.
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bolt pp
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« Reply #79 on: June 27, 2008, 10:28:07 PM »

Done a 4 fold on Betfair. Pays around 11/4.

Friday and Saturday Janko Tipsarevic, Lleyton Hewitt, Stanislas Wawrinka, Marcos Baghdatis
Back 3476741 27-Jun-08
11:31  1 - £137.36 Matched

1time please Tipsaaaaaaaarevic

LOL fourtimerpaying11/4aments

lol, why? winners a winner, ive had acca's pay less

The case for the prosecution rests, your honour.

sort of walked into that Roll Eyes

It's all about how you assess value, if you had a free $10 bet would you prefer to have it on Andorra to bt France in a euro qualifier at 33/1 or an outsider in a 22 runner handicap at the same price?

Yeah, but they're both singles.

With a four timer, you have to be sure all four bets are of equal value. The likelihood is they're not - one will be better than the others. In which case, lump on the value bet as a single.

what do you mean by value? the one most likely to win? what if thats the 1/3 chance? you have to take into consideration that because theyre not all of equall value they will not be of equall price

I sort of understand where you're coming from with your post but it's also got me lol'ing, bankroll is a big factor in assessing value for some as people are constrained by their wallets and the acca compensates for lack of stake money, also how discerning is the average punter that they can acurrately quantify how strongly they fancy 4 indinidual bets?
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AndrewT
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« Reply #80 on: June 27, 2008, 10:31:43 PM »

Done a 4 fold on Betfair. Pays around 11/4.

Friday and Saturday Janko Tipsarevic, Lleyton Hewitt, Stanislas Wawrinka, Marcos Baghdatis
Back 3476741 27-Jun-08
11:31  1 - £137.36 Matched

1time please Tipsaaaaaaaarevic

LOL fourtimerpaying11/4aments

lol, why? winners a winner, ive had acca's pay less

The case for the prosecution rests, your honour.

sort of walked into that Roll Eyes

It's all about how you assess value, if you had a free $10 bet would you prefer to have it on Andorra to bt France in a euro qualifier at 33/1 or an outsider in a 22 runner handicap at the same price?

Yeah, but they're both singles.

With a four timer, you have to be sure all four bets are of equal value. The likelihood is they're not - one will be better than the others. In which case, lump on the value bet as a single.

what do you mean by value? the one most likely to win? what if thats the 1/3 chance? you have to take into consideration that because theyre not all of equall value they will not be of equall price

I sort of understand where you're coming from with your post but it's also got me lol'ing, bankroll is a big factor in assessing value for some as people are constrained by their wallets and the acca compensates for lack of stake money, also how discerning is the average punter that they can acurrately quantify how strongly they fancy 4 indinidual bets?

Value = bet where the difference of the probability equitable to the price offered compared to the probabilty of victory you ascribe to the competitor is greatest.

Also, average punter = mug.
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Horneris
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« Reply #81 on: June 27, 2008, 10:34:53 PM »

11/4 is value for those 4 players all to win.
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bolt pp
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« Reply #82 on: June 27, 2008, 10:39:31 PM »

Done a 4 fold on Betfair. Pays around 11/4.

Friday and Saturday Janko Tipsarevic, Lleyton Hewitt, Stanislas Wawrinka, Marcos Baghdatis
Back 3476741 27-Jun-08
11:31  1 - £137.36 Matched

1time please Tipsaaaaaaaarevic

LOL fourtimerpaying11/4aments

lol, why? winners a winner, ive had acca's pay less

The case for the prosecution rests, your honour.

sort of walked into that Roll Eyes

It's all about how you assess value, if you had a free $10 bet would you prefer to have it on Andorra to bt France in a euro qualifier at 33/1 or an outsider in a 22 runner handicap at the same price?

Yeah, but they're both singles.

With a four timer, you have to be sure all four bets are of equal value. The likelihood is they're not - one will be better than the others. In which case, lump on the value bet as a single.

what do you mean by value? the one most likely to win? what if thats the 1/3 chance? you have to take into consideration that because theyre not all of equall value they will not be of equall price

I sort of understand where you're coming from with your post but it's also got me lol'ing, bankroll is a big factor in assessing value for some as people are constrained by their wallets and the acca compensates for lack of stake money, also how discerning is the average punter that they can acurrately quantify how strongly they fancy 4 indinidual bets?

Value = bet where the difference of the probability equitable to the price offered compared to the probabilty of victory you ascribe to the competitor is greatest.

Also, average punter = mug.

lol, so every bet you have has is because the price is bigger than you think it should be? do you really work out what price you think something should be yourself before baccking it?(if you work as an odds compiller dont answer), have you never looked at a horse in the morning and thought this will absoloutly guide home, its 11/8 seems a bit skinny for the conditions but i really fancy it, you fire up your computer and best price 5/4, you're not gonna be on?
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bolt pp
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« Reply #83 on: June 27, 2008, 10:40:35 PM »

11/4 is value for those 4 players all to win.

sigh!, after 5 posts this is what i meant to say
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AndrewT
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« Reply #84 on: June 27, 2008, 10:43:02 PM »

lol, so every bet you have has is because the price is bigger than you think it should be? do you really work out what price you think something should be yourself before baccking it?(if you work as an odds compiller dont answer), have you never looked at a horse in the morning and thought this will absoloutly guide home, its 11/8 seems a bit skinny for the conditions but i really fancy it, you fire up your computer and best price 5/4, you're not gonna be on?

Er, yeah, that's what I do (or did when I bet on things, before poker).

You price up a market then compare the odds and look for the ricks.
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bolt pp
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« Reply #85 on: June 27, 2008, 10:50:46 PM »

lol, so every bet you have has is because the price is bigger than you think it should be? do you really work out what price you think something should be yourself before baccking it?(if you work as an odds compiller dont answer), have you never looked at a horse in the morning and thought this will absoloutly guide home, its 11/8 seems a bit skinny for the conditions but i really fancy it, you fire up your computer and best price 5/4, you're not gonna be on?

Er, yeah, that's what I do (or did when I bet on things, before poker).

You price up a market then compare the odds and look for the ricks.

thats a different level of punting from me then, the best i hope for is when i'm at my most perspicacious i will lose less!
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Horneris
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« Reply #86 on: June 27, 2008, 11:20:10 PM »

ffs im gona feel like even more of a dickhead when Tipsarevic loses tomorrow now.
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scotty2hatty
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« Reply #87 on: June 28, 2008, 03:41:27 PM »

gogogogo Andy Murray!!!
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bolt pp
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« Reply #88 on: June 28, 2008, 04:13:17 PM »

gogogogo Andy Murray!!!

sigh, i'll wait to gloat when he goes out in the quarter's rather calling for him to get turned over here
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scotty2hatty
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« Reply #89 on: June 28, 2008, 04:43:37 PM »

gogogogo Andy Murray!!!

sigh, i'll wait to gloat when he goes out in the quarter's rather calling for him to get turned over here

lol, gloat about what? not winning wimbledon?
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