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Johnny Kelly
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« on: October 05, 2009, 08:20:06 PM » |
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can someone work out the odds for me please?
a friend of mine is playing in a big cash game.
he is dealt aces 3 hands in a row and each time he flops a set. lol
anyone know how to work that out ?
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Eck
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« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2009, 08:21:39 PM » |
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50:50 Either happens or it doesn't.
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Ironside
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« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2009, 08:26:39 PM » |
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220x7x220x7x220x7 approx
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lend me a beer and I'll lend you my ear
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Ironside
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« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2009, 08:27:19 PM » |
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220x7x220x7x220x7 approx
but it depends who is dealing and his/her releationship to the player |
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lend me a beer and I'll lend you my ear
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gatso
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« Reply #4 on: October 05, 2009, 08:30:33 PM » |
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220x7x220x7x220x7 approx
norrrrrrr you're out by a factor of approx 1,500 but good effort you're doing the chances of it happening on 3 specific hands which is very different which is very different from the odds of it happening 3 times in a row as we don't start counting until after it's happened the first time |
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If you get to the yeasty clunge you've gone too far
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Ironside
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« Reply #5 on: October 05, 2009, 08:32:33 PM » |
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220x7x220x7x220x7 approx
norrrrrrr you're out by a factor of approx 1,500 but good effort you're doing the chances of it happening on 3 specific hands which is very different which is very different from the odds of it happening 3 times in a row as we don't start counting until after it's happened the first time good point but this still overules 220x7x220x7x220x7 approx
but it depends who is dealing and his/her releationship to the player |
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lend me a beer and I'll lend you my ear
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gatso
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« Reply #6 on: October 05, 2009, 08:38:04 PM » |
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good point, gotta be a dodgy dealer
with a kosher dealer though the odds are somewhere between 2.5 and 3 million to oneish I guess. cba to work it out properly
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If you get to the yeasty clunge you've gone too far
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Ironside
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« Reply #7 on: October 05, 2009, 08:50:23 PM » |
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good point, gotta be a dodgy dealer
with a kosher dealer though the odds are somewhere between 2.5 and 3 million to oneish I guess. cba to work it out properly
depends how many times you flop an ace when you have an ace if you happen to do it every other day then you should see this ever 13000 years or so |
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lend me a beer and I'll lend you my ear
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Johnny Kelly
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« Reply #8 on: October 05, 2009, 09:01:12 PM » |
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this is a live cash game at equal chance and it happened about 2 hours ago.
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Ironside
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« Reply #9 on: October 05, 2009, 09:04:43 PM » |
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this is a live cash game at equal chance and it happened about 2 hours ago.
and the releaionship between delear and player is? |
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lend me a beer and I'll lend you my ear
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Free_Rollin
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« Reply #10 on: October 06, 2009, 12:47:29 AM » |
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50:50 Either happens or it doesn't.
This. |
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GreekStein
Hero Member
Hero Member
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Posts: 20912
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« Reply #11 on: October 06, 2009, 12:48:30 AM » |
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this is a live cash game at equal chance and it happened about 2 hours ago.
You should have mentioned it was 2 years ago, there was more chance of it happening then. This is credit crunch, not many aces going around. |
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@GreekStein on twitter.
Retired Policeman, Part time troll.
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ChipRich
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« Reply #12 on: October 06, 2009, 12:49:38 AM » |
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50:50 Either happens or it doesn't.
yup this. |
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Horneris
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« Reply #13 on: October 06, 2009, 01:54:56 AM » |
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a friend of mine is playing in a big cash game.
must be nice to have a friend like this. Most of mine just play tournaments rly badly and don't even pay their own way into them, lol. |
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Longy
Professional Hotel Locator.
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Go Ducks!
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« Reply #14 on: October 06, 2009, 05:34:58 AM » |
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This whole thread is a blatant I have friends brag.
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