Stocks and Shares Tips

[jack2off]

Rampy means the price is been driven more by talk on bulletin boards than any real news. 

If you look back, when Rockhopper announced their news on the falkland drill success, you could buy desire shares for 50p.  Now nothing has really changed and Desire shares were 160p on Friday.  I bought at 50p, I would want something a bit more in the way of news to pay 160p.

FWIW Lots of rokers recommending a share is rarely a good buy signal in my view. 

Clearly, from that statement, you don't understand the Falklands islands drilling campaign!!

"now nothing has really changed"? are you in the real world?

you brought at 50p? you would want something a bit more in way of news to pay £1.60?? I brought in at 117 on Wednesday/Thurs 12,500 shares. Because quite a bit has changed, I originally got in at 19p/25p/37p and 45p, I also brought in at 85p, 127p and now 117p! and this is because I have good information available to me, and also done my own research!

I'm assuming from that statement you just made, that you're not really well educated with oil drilling and risk/de risk. you couldn't have been further from the fact when you said nothing has changed. Everything has changed!!!!  You take a look at the COS (chance of success) of Desires next well (rachel) because of the North, North East basin has been significantly de-risked due to sea lion.

Then compare it to the COS of other oil drilling campaigns around the world and the potential of DESIRES share price compared to those others. Also take into consideration that desire  have 4 drills on the spin and will not have to go back to the city for funding, share dilution to pay for this, due to the farm in agreement with Arcadia (one of the best ever made in an oil drilling campaign on the back of no results).

Woodsey, pm me for any further info or questions. I'll prob leave it there on this post!  I dot ramp, you'll find those on sites like iii.com and ftse / lse forums. Not on Poker community forums!!!!!!!!!!! I don't think share rampers/de rampers have got that desperate yet where they have to turn to poker forums to effect the price of their shares!!!! LOL

by all means anyone message me for more information!

[craigbetts]

Good post Jack2off, though I would not have wasted my time by spelling out a few of the latest developments.

The information is readily available and folks should do their own research if they have invested their own money. GL to all those holding DES/RKH.

[outragous76]

Looks to me like you're emotionally attached to that share. Good luck.

Maybe we could about some other shares? Personally I still think the construction sector is ridic undervalued. I'm still not confident enough in my own analysis to really stick my neck out tho. Does anyone know the reasons why this sector is so cheap/dividend yields are so high?

because recession pt 2 is around the corner and these will be the first boys to go

[Woodsey]

M+S shares are at quite low historical price at the moment, they have been rising slowly recently. Could be a good longer investment imo, but wtf do I know........

I'm keeping an eye on the general price of oil at the moment, if it drops much more, say to $72 I'll be spreading it quite strongly, its only going up from there in the short to medium term.............

[outragous76]

M+S shares are at quite low historical price at the moment, they have been rising slowly recently. Could be a good longer investment imo, but wtf do I know........

I'm keeping an eye on the general price of oil at the moment, if it drops much more, say to $72 I'll be spreading it quite strongly, its only going up from there in the short to medium term.............

wouldnt be too hasty @ 72 bud - check historical fluctuations

[Woodsey]

M+S shares are at quite low historical price at the moment, they have been rising slowly recently. Could be a good longer investment imo, but wtf do I know........

I'm keeping an eye on the general price of oil at the moment, if it drops much more, say to $72 I'll be spreading it quite strongly, its only going up from there in the short to medium term.............

wouldnt be too hasty @ 72 bud - check historical fluctuations

Dunno mate, its spend most of its recent time above that. It does in fact just go up and down, so its sure to go up enough at some point to make a decent profit, you just need the roll to cope with the swings in price..........

[Woodsey]

Looks to me like you're emotionally attached to that share. Good luck.

Maybe we could about some other shares? Personally I still think the construction sector is ridic undervalued. I'm still not confident enough in my own analysis to really stick my neck out tho. Does anyone know the reasons why this sector is so cheap/dividend yields are so high?

Morrisons has been showing me a nice steady increase in the last month or so, I guess its probably too late to get in now though..........

[Doobs]

Oh yeah and I bought some Desire today at 47p ish

see http://www.fool.co.uk/news/investing/investing-strategy/2010/03/29/oil-investing-the-first-falklands-flop.aspx

Zero return is obviously more likely than a roaring success obviously, but the risk/reward has probably tipped a bit more in my favour.  So now I have two cr appy little oil explorers, but the combined value of them is less than my shell holding alone.

No aftertiming as you will find I was pretty negative earlier in the thread too.

If HSBC and JP Morgan had put out these buy recs you claimed, I simply dont understand why I can't find them....and if they had why wouldn't you hit that open goal I left you?

Since Desire found a duff well, rockhopper have found a half decent one, and falkland oil and gas have found a duff one.  And some broker has turned up late to the party and put out a buy rec.  Maybe overall that increases Desire's chances a bit, but I think the price has lost touch with reality a bit.

I sold at 155 earlier, and think they will get cheaper before they start drilling again.  Just wished I'd got the 180 this morning, but was up too late.

I could be wrong, but am willing to take my chances and the 150% return.

[Doobs]

Looks to me like you're emotionally attached to that share. Good luck.

Maybe we could about some other shares? Personally I still think the construction sector is ridic undervalued. I'm still not confident enough in my own analysis to really stick my neck out tho. Does anyone know the reasons why this sector is so cheap/dividend yields are so high?

I now you were talking about Costain last time, but as I said last time they seem serial disappointers.  Have you looked at Kier?  I doubt they will ever double overnight, but they seem reasonably solid.  I have held them for a while.

[Josedinho]

Might seem a bit simple but is there somewhere that you can look at brokers "buy lists"?

[outragous76]

Looks to me like you're emotionally attached to that share. Good luck.

Maybe we could about some other shares? Personally I still think the construction sector is ridic undervalued. I'm still not confident enough in my own analysis to really stick my neck out tho. Does anyone know the reasons why this sector is so cheap/dividend yields are so high?

I now you were talking about Costain last time, but as I said last time they seem serial disappointers.  Have you looked at Kier?  I doubt they will ever double overnight, but they seem reasonably solid.  I have held them for a while.

I would swerve any major construction/civils company who were heavily involved with government contracts or PFI work due the obvious current uncertainties

[jack2off]

Looks to me like you're emotionally attached to that share. Good luck.

Maybe we could about some other shares? Personally I still think the construction sector is ridic undervalued. I'm still not confident enough in my own analysis to really stick my neck out tho. Does anyone know the reasons why this sector is so cheap/dividend yields are so high?

I can probably find out for you on this, i'll post back Thursday, I have a friend who works in the city, pretty clued up on this. Will see what he says!

Worth a read also

http://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/21191/broker-roundup-oil-gas-rockhopper-desire-petroleum-sterling-energy-europa-oil-gas-21191.html

[jack2off]

[/quote]

Since Desire found a duff well, rockhopper have found a half decent one, and falkland oil and gas have found a duff one.  And some broker has turned up late to the party and put out a buy rec.  Maybe overall that increases Desire's chances a bit, but I think the price has lost touch with reality a bit.

I sold at 155 earlier, and think they will get cheaper before they start drilling again.  Just wished I'd got the 180 this morning, but was up too late.

[/quote]

Des didnt find a duff well??  Liz/Beth was a Gas discovery! If you read the recent RNS. This could turn out to be a commercial find!  FOGL did find a duster, however, I've never told anyone to buy FOGL? Thats South Falklands / South of North Basin. Which is separate to what I posted on here. I don't quite get your negativity towards me though, when I originally posted this, price on both companies was much less than the £1.60 Des & £4.97 RKH they are today. Anyone who invested when I posted would have made a very very nice profit and at no gain to myself...whatsoever!! Apart from trying to help people make a cheeky few quid!

I Don't blame you for taking profit at £1.55, Nothing wrong wit h that! wouldn't be surprised to see a retrace but I really don't know. £1.60 could seem very cheap in a few weeks time, however could also be a great sale on your behalf! You have 3.x X your money and you wont see that return in many places!

GL anyone still in!! I think thats prob it for this share from me, I'll post some info on the construction industry when I have it.

[StuartHopkin]

Don't leave me jack!

Im not concerned if it all goes wrong but Im looking out for the possible high in a few weeks so might need to know when to bail.

My share trading knowledge is almost as competent as my poker. 

[jack2off]

Stuart, msg me or msn if you have any questions no probs!!