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Author Topic: US golf this week  (Read 22749 times)
bobby1
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« on: February 25, 2010, 12:00:57 AM »

The horridly named Waste Management Phoenix Open.

I think this might be a bet event as there are plenty near the top of the market that are either in poor form or have great course form but are much shorter in the betting than they usually are. Add to this a pretty solid weather forecast that  might show one side of the draw has an advantage and an often ignored change of grass type, from Poa ana the last few weeks to Bermuda greens and I have found a few bets I like. The weather forecast looks set to favour players that are out early the first day and late the 2nd day as the wind looks to be stronger in the PM on day one but lighter in  the PM on day two.

Main fancy at the prices Ryan Moore, who started the year with 3 top tens, then the tour moved away from Bermuda greens to poa ana and his form nosedived, he could simply be playing poorly but this is his fav grass type and he ran 6th here last year so at 66/1 or slightly bigger on the exchanges I think he is worth a little interest each way.

One that is drawn poorly but I am still giving  a chance to is Martin Laird who is a whopping 230+ on the exchanges after some poor events, again his best form is on this grass type, he also had a couple of decent events at the start of the year  until the diff grass events came along and this is his local course so could be an advantage( in truth there are a lot of players who are attached to this course this week so those 10 or so might have a little advantage) win and place(at around 30.00) on BF or Betdaq.

At shorter prices Watney  40.0, Kuchar 44.0 and Richie Fowler 100.00 fall into the same category as good Bermuda grass players in ok form again this year, who along with Brian Gay( who i think is too short to bet at 34.0) have an early tee time on day 1 so had some small win only cover bets on those three.


Two to small stakes that havent fared so well with the tee times Charley Hoffman at 130.00 who ran 2nd last year and Jeff Quinney at over 200.00 whose best form almost every year is on this kind of grass have had a couple of fivers thrown at them too as they might go well if the draw doesnt beat them.

Obviously at these prices I might get a runner or two that goes well and might get to trade the possie a little near the business end

Any one else had/having a bet?





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Royal Flush
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« Reply #1 on: February 25, 2010, 03:09:41 AM »

Any one else had/having a bet?

We share a couple of selections, once i am matched i will post mine up.
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Micko
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« Reply #2 on: February 25, 2010, 10:52:40 AM »

Nice write up Bobby.

I am on Stadler Moore and Anders Romero he's just a fav of mine so i mostly always bet him for small stakes.

Good luck way your picks.
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bobby1
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« Reply #3 on: February 25, 2010, 01:39:06 PM »

You too Mickk, Romero is great to watch when he is on isnt he.
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« Reply #4 on: February 25, 2010, 02:37:41 PM »

fspgjrsaphjrhh

Betfair fcked up and cleared all my bets, so have tilt taken all the prices available now.

Plz don't laugh at these selections:

J.B. Holmes     20     £120.00     £2,280.00
Ian Poulter    30    £50.00    £1,450.00
Brian Gay       34    £50.00    £1,650.00
Zach Johnson    38    £50.00    £1,850.00
Kevin Na            38    £27.77    £1,027.49
                   40    £72.23    £2,816.97
Matt Kuchar    46    £25.00    £1,125.00
Brandt Snedeker 55    £75.00    £4,050.00
Paul Goydos    180    £15.00    £2,685.00
Briny Baird            240    £15.00    £3,585.00


Na/Sned last tee time on Sunday plz.
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bobby1
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« Reply #5 on: February 25, 2010, 02:47:58 PM »

fspgjrsaphjrhh

Betfair fcked up and cleared all my bets, so have tilt taken all the prices available now.

Plz don't laugh at these selections:

J.B. Holmes     20     £120.00     £2,280.00
Ian Poulter    30    £50.00    £1,450.00
Brian Gay       34    £50.00    £1,650.00
Zach Johnson    38    £50.00    £1,850.00
Kevin Na            38    £27.77    £1,027.49
                   40    £72.23    £2,816.97
Matt Kuchar    46    £25.00    £1,125.00
Brandt Snedeker 55    £75.00    £4,050.00
Paul Goydos    180    £15.00    £2,685.00
Briny Baird            240    £15.00    £3,585.00


Na/Sned last tee time on Sunday plz.

gl mate
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« Reply #6 on: February 25, 2010, 02:54:23 PM »

The horridly named Waste Management Phoenix Open.

I think this might be a bet event as there are plenty near the top of the market that are either in poor form or have great course form but are much shorter in the betting than they usually are. Add to this a pretty solid weather forecast that  might show one side of the draw has an advantage and an often ignored change of grass type, from Poa ana the last few weeks to Bermuda greens and I have found a few bets I like. The weather forecast looks set to favour players that are out early the first day and late the 2nd day as the wind looks to be stronger in the PM on day one but lighter in  the PM on day two.

Main fancy at the prices Ryan Moore, who started the year with 3 top tens, then the tour moved away from Bermuda greens to poa ana and his form nosedived, he could simply be playing poorly but this is his fav grass type and he ran 6th here last year so at 66/1 or slightly bigger on the exchanges I think he is worth a little interest each way.

One that is drawn poorly but I am still giving  a chance to is Martin Laird who is a whopping 230+ on the exchanges after some poor events, again his best form is on this grass type, he also had a couple of decent events at the start of the year  until the diff grass events came along and this is his local course so could be an advantage( in truth there are a lot of players who are attached to this course this week so those 10 or so might have a little advantage) win and place(at around 30.00) on BF or Betdaq.

At shorter prices Watney  40.0, Kuchar 44.0 and Richie Fowler 100.00 fall into the same category as good Bermuda grass players in ok form again this year, who along with Brian Gay( who i think is too short to bet at 34.0) have an early tee time on day 1 so had some small win only cover bets on those three.


Two to small stakes that havent fared so well with the tee times Charley Hoffman at 130.00 who ran 2nd last year and Jeff Quinney at over 200.00 whose best form almost every year is on this kind of grass have had a couple of fivers thrown at them too as they might go well if the draw doesnt beat them.

Obviously at these prices I might get a runner or two that goes well and might get to trade the possie a little near the business end

Any one else had/having a bet?







Just had a couple and I'm pleased to see that you listed them: Watney @40 and Hoffman @140.

I've also just taken the 16/1 kindly offered by B365 Smiley on Ji-Yai Shin after one round of the Ladies' event.
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« Reply #7 on: February 25, 2010, 02:57:40 PM »

fspgjrsaphjrhh

Betfair fcked up and cleared all my bets, so have tilt taken all the prices available now.


All unmatched bets are cancelled when a golfing event starts, nobody fked up.
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Royal Flush
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« Reply #8 on: February 25, 2010, 02:59:43 PM »

fspgjrsaphjrhh

Betfair fcked up and cleared all my bets, so have tilt taken all the prices available now.


All unmatched bets are cancelled when a golfing event starts, nobody fked up.

Ah didn't realise it had started already, infact had no idea it was late afternoon, my bad.
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bobby1
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« Reply #9 on: February 25, 2010, 03:00:46 PM »

The horridly named Waste Management Phoenix Open.

I think this might be a bet event as there are plenty near the top of the market that are either in poor form or have great course form but are much shorter in the betting than they usually are. Add to this a pretty solid weather forecast that  might show one side of the draw has an advantage and an often ignored change of grass type, from Poa ana the last few weeks to Bermuda greens and I have found a few bets I like. The weather forecast looks set to favour players that are out early the first day and late the 2nd day as the wind looks to be stronger in the PM on day one but lighter in  the PM on day two.

Main fancy at the prices Ryan Moore, who started the year with 3 top tens, then the tour moved away from Bermuda greens to poa ana and his form nosedived, he could simply be playing poorly but this is his fav grass type and he ran 6th here last year so at 66/1 or slightly bigger on the exchanges I think he is worth a little interest each way.

One that is drawn poorly but I am still giving  a chance to is Martin Laird who is a whopping 230+ on the exchanges after some poor events, again his best form is on this grass type, he also had a couple of decent events at the start of the year  until the diff grass events came along and this is his local course so could be an advantage( in truth there are a lot of players who are attached to this course this week so those 10 or so might have a little advantage) win and place(at around 30.00) on BF or Betdaq.

At shorter prices Watney  40.0, Kuchar 44.0 and Richie Fowler 100.00 fall into the same category as good Bermuda grass players in ok form again this year, who along with Brian Gay( who i think is too short to bet at 34.0) have an early tee time on day 1 so had some small win only cover bets on those three.


Two to small stakes that havent fared so well with the tee times Charley Hoffman at 130.00 who ran 2nd last year and Jeff Quinney at over 200.00 whose best form almost every year is on this kind of grass have had a couple of fivers thrown at them too as they might go well if the draw doesnt beat them.

Obviously at these prices I might get a runner or two that goes well and might get to trade the possie a little near the business end

Any one else had/having a bet?







Just had a couple and I'm pleased to see that you listed them: Watney @40 and Hoffman @140.

I've also just taken the 16/1 kindly offered by B365 Smiley on Ji-Yai Shin after one round of the Ladies' event.


hi Ralph, i meant to ask if you liked anything on the ladies golf this week, I almost bet Maria Hjorth pre tourney but I am on paternity leave this week and with so many things to do I didnt get around to looking properly. Will take a little on Shin now.
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Karabiner
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« Reply #10 on: February 25, 2010, 03:18:48 PM »

The horridly named Waste Management Phoenix Open.

I think this might be a bet event as there are plenty near the top of the market that are either in poor form or have great course form but are much shorter in the betting than they usually are. Add to this a pretty solid weather forecast that  might show one side of the draw has an advantage and an often ignored change of grass type, from Poa ana the last few weeks to Bermuda greens and I have found a few bets I like. The weather forecast looks set to favour players that are out early the first day and late the 2nd day as the wind looks to be stronger in the PM on day one but lighter in  the PM on day two.

Main fancy at the prices Ryan Moore, who started the year with 3 top tens, then the tour moved away from Bermuda greens to poa ana and his form nosedived, he could simply be playing poorly but this is his fav grass type and he ran 6th here last year so at 66/1 or slightly bigger on the exchanges I think he is worth a little interest each way.

One that is drawn poorly but I am still giving  a chance to is Martin Laird who is a whopping 230+ on the exchanges after some poor events, again his best form is on this grass type, he also had a couple of decent events at the start of the year  until the diff grass events came along and this is his local course so could be an advantage( in truth there are a lot of players who are attached to this course this week so those 10 or so might have a little advantage) win and place(at around 30.00) on BF or Betdaq.

At shorter prices Watney  40.0, Kuchar 44.0 and Richie Fowler 100.00 fall into the same category as good Bermuda grass players in ok form again this year, who along with Brian Gay( who i think is too short to bet at 34.0) have an early tee time on day 1 so had some small win only cover bets on those three.


Two to small stakes that havent fared so well with the tee times Charley Hoffman at 130.00 who ran 2nd last year and Jeff Quinney at over 200.00 whose best form almost every year is on this kind of grass have had a couple of fivers thrown at them too as they might go well if the draw doesnt beat them.

Obviously at these prices I might get a runner or two that goes well and might get to trade the possie a little near the business end

Any one else had/having a bet?







Just had a couple and I'm pleased to see that you listed them: Watney @40 and Hoffman @140.

I've also just taken the 16/1 kindly offered by B365 Smiley on Ji-Yai Shin after one round of the Ladies' event.


hi Ralph, i meant to ask if you liked anything on the ladies golf this week, I almost bet Maria Hjorth pre tourney but I am on paternity leave this week and with so many things to do I didnt get around to looking properly. Will take a little on Shin now.

Chapman tipped up JYS this week and consequently she looked poor value to me at a best-priced 8/1. This morning's 16/1 seemed fair enough, I think Laddies were offering it too.

I did take the £7 that someone had put up on BF for Inbee Park @ 160 though as it looked like value.
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ChipRich
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« Reply #11 on: February 25, 2010, 04:03:02 PM »

Ok, had a few small punts on:

Nick Watney     
Kevin Na    
Brandt Snedeker    
Ryan Moore    
David Toms    
Charley Hoffman

Just give us a sweat, its what we paiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii our monies for!
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« Reply #12 on: February 25, 2010, 05:42:52 PM »

I want Villegas in the ground, didnt back him because of that putt last week and now just smashes out to 5 under.
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« Reply #13 on: February 25, 2010, 06:19:52 PM »

I want Villegas in the ground, didnt back him because of that putt last week and now just smashes out to 5 under.

LOL Be sick if he wins.
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« Reply #14 on: February 25, 2010, 06:26:49 PM »

Sned making an eagle like its easy, gogogo
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