blonde poker forum
Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
June 20, 2025, 04:56:26 AM

Login with username, password and session length
Search:     Advanced search
2261795 Posts in 66596 Topics by 16984 Members
Latest Member: thomas_1
* Home Help Arcade Search Calendar Guidelines Login Register
+  blonde poker forum
|-+  Community Forums
| |-+  Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
| | |-+  Cheltenham Festival Day 4
0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic. « previous next »
Pages: 1 2 [3] 4 5 6 7 ... 10 Go Down Print
Author Topic: Cheltenham Festival Day 4  (Read 16192 times)
NigDawG
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 1374



View Profile
« Reply #30 on: March 19, 2010, 03:06:15 AM »

im bored and cant sleep so thought id give a run down of my bets today with a bit of reasoning for each. feel free to follow/lay/slate/laugh

1.30 - westlin winds 12/1  - the horse that beat it last time out would probs of been fav today but for injury, but he wasnt beaten far and alan king rated his one as his best. prior to that he hacked up in two small events but if he had a different trainer/jockey he would be half the price he is today.

2.05 - secret dancer 22/1 - this race is always ultra competitive and you could make a serious case for about 12 but this horse had a good run over course and distance this season (where he finished ahead of the paul nicholls fav today off level weights). that was back in november but the form has worked out very well with the horses around them that day all running with credit in much better races. my selection has been lightly raced and could be open to some improvement, last seen running a decent race for a long time before stamina might have emptied on him over 2 1/2 miles vs tuesdays champion hurdler 3rd zaynar again at cheltenham.

2.35 - shinrock paddy 9/1 -  shinrock paddy has only been beaten once in his career and that was in the bumper here last year to dunguib but this horse was always going to need a trip and the 3miles should be perfect. his impressive grade 1 win last time out suggests he has a touch of class about him too.

3.20 - purely a spectating race for me. i'd love to see denman win in good style but it doesn't look likely.

4.00 - i love racing and i understand the importance it has for the sport but i just hate these races lol (same as the cross country) so i didn't even look at it.

4.40 - clova island 14/1 -  again ridiculously competitive, well done if you can pick the winner here. i like 3 or 4 but going to go for the in form trainer hobbs with an improving sort down the bottom of the handicap. won eased down last time out and has run behind some good horses including a run behind wednesdays coral cup winner spirit river. with a good jockey on board (has more relevance in these type of races) taking a 3lb claim off i think he has as good a chance as any.

5.15 - pepsyrock 25/1 - to finish the festival off we have another handicap where you're hard pressed to find a winner. i've gone for what looks like the forgotten horse of nicky hendersons string. its not very often you will find tony mccoy on a 25/1 shot but this young horse was in good form this time last year on good ground. he hasn't had ground like that since and im hoping this could be the difference today. 25/1 could look big if he turns up on his A game for it.
Logged

Christopher Brammer
chrisbruce
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 1353



View Profile
« Reply #31 on: March 19, 2010, 09:33:48 AM »

Ladbrokes are best price for Kuato Star in the Gold Cup at 5/6 which I think is pretty generous.

Whats makes this even better though is if Kuato wins by 5 lenghts or more they will pay out at 6/5

Lump on

I am

note : Not available in the shops online or phone only
Logged
StuartHopkin
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 8145


Ocho cinco


View Profile
« Reply #32 on: March 19, 2010, 09:48:29 AM »

Right

Early morning bets are on, these will be topped up whilst in the pub this afternoon.

Lets knock my cock in sideways.

Cheltenham Friday opening balance = -800

13.30  Pittoni @ 16/1
14.05  Rock Noir @ 10/1
14.40  Tell Massini @ 9/2
16.00  Turthen @ 16/1
16.40  Ashkazar @ 11/2
17.15  Safari Journey @ 12/1

6 x £18 EW Singles
1 x £1 EW Accumulator

Possible return = Were into 7 figures so just ship ship ship

And a placepot

13.30 Wesltin Winds / Carlito Brigante
14.05 Secret Dancer / Unnamed Favourite
14.40 Shinrock Paddy / Najaf
15.20 Imperial Commander / Kauto Star
16.00 Gentle George (Bedi) / Baby Run
16.40 Fairyland / Clova Island

Lets go go go go go go go!

Like NigDawg I will list my reasons.

I havent got a frickin clue apart from I used some of NigDawgs in my placepot.
Logged

Only 23 days to go until the Berlin Marathon! Please sponsor me at www.virginmoneygiving.com/StuartHopkin
Blatch
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2622



View Profile
« Reply #33 on: March 19, 2010, 09:55:24 AM »

The same guy who gave me POwerstation has told me to back My will @ 33/1 EW in the gold cup market without Kauto and Denman.

Of out for the day playing golf then DTD so wont be arund to watch it today sadly
Logged
StuartHopkin
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 8145


Ocho cinco


View Profile
« Reply #34 on: March 19, 2010, 09:57:30 AM »

Ladbrokes are best price for Kuato Star in the Gold Cup at 5/6 which I think is pretty generous.

Whats makes this even better though is if Kuato wins by 5 lenghts or more they will pay out at 6/5

Lump on

I am

note : Not available in the shops online or phone only

Thank you Christopher

I just lumped on.

 scared
Logged

Only 23 days to go until the Berlin Marathon! Please sponsor me at www.virginmoneygiving.com/StuartHopkin
Graham C
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 20663


Moo


View Profile
« Reply #35 on: March 19, 2010, 10:03:51 AM »

1.30 - Advisor
2.05 - Rock Noir
2.40 - Quel Esprit
3.20 - Kauto Star
4.00 - Trust Fund
Logged

chrisbruce
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 1353



View Profile
« Reply #36 on: March 19, 2010, 10:07:40 AM »

Ladbrokes are best price for Kuato Star in the Gold Cup at 5/6 which I think is pretty generous.

Whats makes this even better though is if Kuato wins by 5 lenghts or more they will pay out at 6/5

Lump on

I am

note : Not available in the shops online or phone only

Thank you Christopher

I just lumped on.

 scared
scared Yeah me to with our track record
Logged
Laxie
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 16000



View Profile
« Reply #37 on: March 19, 2010, 10:20:01 AM »

No fecking clue.  Will get back to you.
Logged

I bet when Hugh Hefner dies, you won't hear anyone say, "He's in a better place."
GreekStein
Hero Member
Hero Member
**
Offline Offline

Posts: 20728



View Profile
« Reply #38 on: March 19, 2010, 10:33:30 AM »

Not had a single bet this year. Smiley

Oh well I make £9 on roulette while waiting to see what would happen, cashed all out now. They have these fit east european birds spinning the roulette wheel live, never seen than before. then again I never play casino games..........

DEGEN!
Logged

@GreekStein on twitter.

Retired Policeman, Part time troll.
StuartHopkin
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 8145


Ocho cinco


View Profile
« Reply #39 on: March 19, 2010, 10:35:58 AM »

Not had a single bet this year. Smiley

Nothing to be proud of sir.
Logged

Only 23 days to go until the Berlin Marathon! Please sponsor me at www.virginmoneygiving.com/StuartHopkin
Laxie
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 16000



View Profile
« Reply #40 on: March 19, 2010, 10:38:57 AM »

Not had a single bet this year. Smiley

Nothing to be proud of sir.

Was thinking the same.  Go sit in the corner Cos and hold yer head down in shame.
Logged

I bet when Hugh Hefner dies, you won't hear anyone say, "He's in a better place."
gatso
Ninja Mod
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 16192


Let's go round again


View Profile
« Reply #41 on: March 19, 2010, 11:30:44 AM »

Oh well I make £9 on roulette while waiting to see what would happen, cashed all out now. They have these fit east european birds spinning the roulette wheel live, never seen than before. then again I never play casino games..........
The guy who inputs Victors prices must be able to see them from his desk.

LOL I bet its actually based in the Ukraine or somewhere shit so they can pay them 3 beans an hour.........

Actually funnily enough I saw this in a casino on the Thai/cambodian border, a whole room full of tables baccarat running with no players in front only cameras above the table so people could play online, there were about 10 of them running.

huge fail. all those countries to choose from and you go for afaik the only one where roulette is illegal
Logged

If you get to the yeasty clunge you've gone too far
Woodsey
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 15837



View Profile
« Reply #42 on: March 19, 2010, 11:38:55 AM »

Oh well I make £9 on roulette while waiting to see what would happen, cashed all out now. They have these fit east european birds spinning the roulette wheel live, never seen than before. then again I never play casino games..........
The guy who inputs Victors prices must be able to see them from his desk.

LOL I bet its actually based in the Ukraine or somewhere shit so they can pay them 3 beans an hour.........

Actually funnily enough I saw this in a casino on the Thai/cambodian border, a whole room full of tables baccarat running with no players in front only cameras above the table so people could play online, there were about 10 of them running.

huge fail. all those countries to choose from and you go for afaik the only one where roulette is illegal

I think the key phrase in the sentence is somewhere shit.........
Logged
Horneris
#5 BH
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 9073



View Profile
« Reply #43 on: March 19, 2010, 11:45:14 AM »

I like Olofi in the first race EW @ 12s (top 4 with some bookies). Soldatino main danger but unsure as to how he will act on the ground.

Tell Massini @ 9/2 in the 2.40 although again a worry that he has only raced on soft. Still, that price is too big..

In the foxhunters i like Trust Fund @ 8/1 and have also backed Burntoakboy @ 120.0
« Last Edit: March 19, 2010, 12:00:12 PM by Horneris » Logged

outragous76
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 13315


Yeah Bitch! ......... MAGNETS! owwwh!


View Profile
« Reply #44 on: March 19, 2010, 11:49:23 AM »

my bets

Gone for a Kauto Denman one two

also gone for my will e/w (without kauto)

if it comes

1. Kauto
2. Denman
3. My will

ill be out in leeds tonight
Logged

".....and then I spent 2 hours talking with Stu which blew my mind.........."
Pages: 1 2 [3] 4 5 6 7 ... 10 Go Up Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!
Page created in 0.087 seconds with 20 queries.