Eurovision song contest

[Chompy]

I'm in good shape going in to tonight, thanks to backing Azerbaijan at 11-2 and laying off at 6-4 on bettyfair.
Anyone else play this in-running? Best night's IR action of the year imo.

Unf Azerbaijain have landed the coffin box and will be first up. I'm no major believer in Eurovision trends (Norway would have won from the one slot last year) but recent history suggests it's very hard to win singing first.

I reckon there'll be a very easy trade here. At the moment Azerbaijan are around the 3.8 mark. It's an obv contender so I'm expecting the price to contract while she's on stage and will be looking to lay at around 3.2. An hour afterwards the price should be back to around 4 imo. It's a plan anyway.

UK to finish last at around 6-4 is money in the bank I feel.

[Woodsey]

I'm in good shape going in to tonight, thanks to backing Azerbaijan at 11-2 and laying off at 6-4 on bettyfair.
Anyone else play this in-running? Best night's IR action of the year imo.

Unf Azerbaijain have landed the coffin box and will be first up. I'm no major believer in Eurovision trends (Norway would have won from the one slot last year) but recent history suggests it's very hard to win singing first.

I reckon there'll be a very easy trade here. At the moment Azerbaijan are around the 3.8 mark. It's an obv contender so I'm expecting the price to contract while she's on stage and will be looking to lay at around 3.2. An hour afterwards the price should be back to around 4 imo. It's a plan anyway.

UK to finish last at around 6-4 is money in the bank I feel.

No, it would mean I actually have to watch it..........

[Nico29]

Totally agree it's like printing money in running.

Haven't set out my plan yet for trades but will do some research later on and most likely go from there.

Ive already snagged some early value on denmark@20s-now 16s and turkey@33s-now 12s. I also took some 12s on israel which hasn't moved much and russia@33s to place in the top 4 and outright at 190s...which is now 240 odd...ahem.

As these were all small punts i'll probably just leaves these as fun bets, whilst taking the trading more seriously.

Hopefully win a vegas roll from all this!

[Graham C]

If I had a clue, I'd have a few quid on it.  May follow the Azerbaijain tip and lay as she's singing.

[Sighmuns]

Nice one for starting things off Chompster. I'm due to go to a drinking-game-Eurovision night tonight, might bring the credit card and laptop with me if it's as easy as you say to trade.

So you're basically saying that there is a lot of short-sighted money on these markets IP, and that I should be laying while they sing and then backing back later? Or was that just with Azerbijan as they're first up?

Any outsiders worth a few quid? Has a 100+/1 shot ever won before? I've hardly watched EV before, isn't it just neighbouring countries voting for each other? 

[Chompy]

Best song always wins, despite what everyone believes about political voting.
The market is rarely wrong these days. It's been up for months and all rehearsals are available on youtube. Ergo, outsiders can be ignored imo.
Not like the old days. Denmark were backed from 100-1 into 5-2 on the night when they won it around the turn of the decade.
Azer is my only pre-planned trade. Just trust your opinions Greg, this is the most fun IR market EVER.

[Woodsey]

Best song always wins, despite what everyone believes about political voting.
The market is rarely wrong these days. It's been up for months and all rehearsals are available on youtube. Ergo, outsiders can be ignored imo.
Not like the old days. Denmark were backed from 100-1 into 5-2 on the night when they won it around the turn of the decade.
Azer is my only pre-planned trade. Just trust your opinions Greg, this is the most fun IR market EVER.

[Sighmuns]

Sweet. Will you be online throughout Chompy-foxtrot-tango-echo-golf-lima-octapus-up ?

I like making money, would appreciate your advice as I've never sat through a whole Eurovision before. And i'll be drunk.

[Chompy]

Will be on this thread throughout the whole shebang sir. Chances are 90% of what I do will be during the voting stage but will put my thoughts up for those what is interested.

[Nico29]

Was 2 lazy to do much research and have just plled in following u here chomps, backed azerbajjan on outrights hoping to lay off at 3.2. Will do most trading later in voting stage.

[stribling]

It annoys me when these countries sing in English!

[Chompy]

I'd bail at 3.5 odd Dom, pretty unimpressive stuff and only gonna drift

[Nico29]

Was 2 lazy to do much research and have just plled in following u here chomps, backed azerbajjan on outrights hoping to lay off at 3.2. Will do most trading later in voting stage.

Lol-now i know why i rarely trade anymore, i change my opinion too quickly.

Started off thinking wow she's a complete hottie, that opinion didn't really change.

However i did initially think the song started off ok, but then became rather boring and said hottie's voice weakened dramatically imo.

Betfair seemed to agree as altho it dropped to 3.4 it soon rose to 3.75. I got out around 3.6 and have now laid them with a view to greening out later at a much larger price. i don't see azer winning.

[thediceman]

Moldova 80's act rocked.

Norway would get 0 points if it was held held there this year. That guy was awful.

[Graham C]

Backing Denmark, just a punt in the hope the price will come down a bit.