Trades from 28-6-2010

[sovietsong]

enjoying your posts so far, you are the real TK in my eyes.  I think you should maybe call the thread 'trades from 28-5-2010 and the aftermath'

just need to edit the OP. 

[Trade-King]

Cheers guys, not in it for personal profit from any one.
I really do put alot of time and effort into trying to catch an edge in the football markets, I do literaly live and breath the game.
I am involved(with several others) in a junior football club within the inner city were we have several teams at different ages, 9 - 15. And i like to think we do some good for the children, parents and schools , with dicipline and respect. Its hard work but get good feed back from the kids and the community, I'll keep doing it for a couple more years before my legs finaly give in, trying to get the website sorted at the moment, plus flyers, non stop,,lol. Oh and poker(friday), may have to miss it this week,brrrrrr

Working on the relegation of Prem at the moment, last season named four, got the three, so here's hoping i can crack it again. There will be a market on BF with regards to who is relegated as well as name the three.

[Trade-King]

OK,

Uraguay V Ghana,

A must lay 'GHANA' at 4.3, 10 point exposure to win 3 points.

Y, At some point the fairy tale will end, it may well be this match but if they are to continue it will be in extra time or pens. They will be negative from the off, and i think the coach will be going for extra time. If  as i imagine Uraguay will break through(too much movement, too much class), there will be a huge trade back. Also i see Ghana maybe losing a player to a red card.

The 4.3 may be as big as 4.6/4.7 come friday afternoon, if it is as i think it will be, you could trade pree k/off.

GL. TK

[jizzemm]

Brazil for me are really high at the moment, I know it will be a tight game, but 1.99 for them is a steal imo, and I cant see any reason that they drift before kick off..

Not sure about Ghana, they have come in a point since your post, but they should probably drift.

[Trade-King]

I cannot disagree with you with regards to Brazil, i was so taken back by the all round display last time, and if the same commitment turns up against the dutch there is only 1 result imo.
Ghana are drifting now, 2 tenths swing since your last post.

GL TK

[Dubai]

A major misuse of the word "Trading"

[Trade-King]

GHANA continue to drift like a barge in open water, 4.8/4.9, now, so a profit to be had before a ball is kicked.

Myself i still do not beleive they can do it in 90mins, so my bet will stand for a 3 point profit, you choose as you like, take the profit now or hang in there.

Todays game Brazil v Netherlands,

Brazil at 1.53 to qualify in this game is huge, it may go all the way and if it does,,my  homework on the dutch penalty takers does not inspire confidence.

So i have no hesitation on taking the 1.53 for my max 10 points.

I am away for the next few hours, my son has a Cricket match after school, so may be back some time during the Ghana game if not be in touch tommorow.

GL

TK

[Dubai]

Ok it was fun whilst it lasted but when u use the theory of  backing a 1-2 shot BECAUSE IT MIGHT GO ALL THE WAY ANDTHE OTHER SIDES PENALTY TAKERS are dodgy lol, its time for the ship to sail to another port.

If your "homework" haha brilliant, was good-then anyone who knew what they would be doing, with this "secret aquired information" would be doing the following

1) Backing Brazil pregame to qualify on penalties at 10-1, this has a 947% better return than your current recommendation
2) Waitin for penalties and taking the 1.9 Brazil when they happen. This has a 37% better return

For a TRADING KING, this would be straightforward to work out.

I have no opinion on thje match, the market is probably bang on given its a WorldCup Quarter final and there is NO information that is not known to the people making the markets.

Its obvious you are just totally guessing but luckily for you we live in a day and age where guessing will never be that wrong, markets are 100% books and as long as variance is kind to you then you will win anyway! Variance is the reason most people in the gambling and poker world are deluded.

Gl anyway. But you just cant post stuff like you have without someone being sensible and breaking it down.

[boldie]

my  homework on the dutch penalty takers does not inspire confidence.

Oh RLY?

Show us the homework please...there is no reason to doubt the Dutch penalty takers. Sneijder, Kuyt, V Bommel, V Bronckhorst, Robben are the first 5 names down..these guys are solid penalty takers..there is no reason to doubt them.

Obv, like Dubai said, the market is pretty much spot on and 1.53 on Brazil to qualify isn't a bad bet. But it's a bet and deffo not a trade and you can't base it on penalty takers.

[Nico29]

Ok it was fun whilst it lasted but when u use the theory of  backing a 1-2 shot BECAUSE IT MIGHT GO ALL THE WAY ANDTHE OTHER SIDES PENALTY TAKERS are dodgy lol, its time for the ship to sail to another port.

If your "homework" haha brilliant, was good-then anyone who knew what they would be doing, with this "secret aquired information" would be doing the following

1) Backing Brazil pregame to qualify on penalties at 10-1, this has a 947% better return than your current recommendation
2) Waitin for penalties and taking the 1.9 Brazil when they happen. This has a 37% better return

For a TRADING KING, this would be straightforward to work out.

I have no opinion on thje match, the market is probably bang on given its a WorldCup Quarter final and there is NO information that is not known to the people making the markets.

Its obvious you are just totally guessing but luckily for you we live in a day and age where guessing will never be that wrong, markets are 100% books and as long as variance is kind to you then you will win anyway! Variance is the reason most people in the gambling and poker world are deluded.

Gl anyway. But you just cant post stuff like you have without someone being sensible and breaking it down.

Brilliant post dave.

[Matt.NFFC.]

I wondered how long it would be before the doubters surfaced, but, in this instance, Dubai is spot on, and I cannot disagree with this.

When it comes to betting it strikes me there's quite a few people that know there stuff.  I'm still hoping I might learn a bit from Trade King on what he's doing though.

Dubai's homework is a bit of an eyeopener for me anyway.

Nice one.

[Trade-King]

Ok,
Having just watched the game, it was a real shoot yourself in the foot from Brazil, and no matter what the teams are capable of, mental pressure will do this to you.

First Dubai, I took the option on the game from a point of view over 120 mins plus pens if req, and IMO the 1-2 was very good value, I could not trade on the game(live) as i was elswere, so i paid for it, I'll live with it, and you..

CAN DOUBT ALL YOU LIKE, BUT I WILL GIVE A POINTS PROFIT EACH AND EVERY WEEK.

for no personal gain. I'm no guesser i can assure you, lets see if guessing produces profit week in week out, until i stop producing profit cut the accusations. Yes i could have took a punt that it would just go to penalties, but in reality i felt Brazil would sort it out before then. As for Penalty takers take a look at the head to heads of all members of the squads, not a select few, and unless you have a crystal ball to say what players are going to be on a pitch after extra time, please let me know.

See you make no mention of the GHANA game, is that because i rightly predicted a drift and it did,, a 6/10's swing pre game, or is it because i rightly called it at 90 mins, who cares.

Balance is 10 points profit since thread started, and a 10 points exposure(outlay), be back later for todays games, with or without Dubais, single minded attitude.

GL

TK

[Fraggles]

Enjoying the thread TK - please keep it going

Interesting insight from Dubai too - lets see how it all works out

[Trade-King]

Argentina v Germany,

The Draw is now a 3.45 shot to back , this has to be the call, with both sides looking like they will play 5 in midfield, and two class defences on show.

9 points at 3.45

Trade out at half time with around 2.2 or less for 14 points, you should see a 5 point profit after comm(dep on rate). I will be in play  on this myself.

Plus 1pt on 0-3 subs used in 90 mins, 11/1, if it goes beyond the 90, they will keep some back, and this is the value call.

GL

TK

[mondatoo]

I'm not looking to debate how much mad skillz you have a glglglgl with this,but...

You seriously think Argentina have a class defence ?? They're weak at the back imo,they've got a LM player who isn't very good in his own pos playing RB ?? They've have looked dodgy in defence throughout the WC and although they may go on to win the lot with there incred forwards I think Germany could get the win today.