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Poker Hand Analysis
too thin?
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Topic: too thin? (Read 4123 times)
NigDawG
Hero Member
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Posts: 1374
too thin?
«
on:
June 30, 2010, 03:56:13 PM »
from the $3k wsop event
history is i've opened alot these last 2-3 levels but not everyhand or anything.
villain started the day by spewing about in every pot he could, doing some really stupid stuff like 5betting KTo with no fold equity @ 25/50, 3bet shoving 60bb @ 50/100 with Q2o. however the table was shorthanded for the entire first level and much of the second level.
he has since calmed down considerably but he has 3bet me twice in the last 2 hrs already and there is still a feeling he could just randomly spazz out at any point.
the first time he 3bet me i'd opened utg, i called and check called him down on
his KQo being good.
the second time he 3bet me he was on the button, i called and we checked down to river
before i check folded.
i have not been 3bet by any other opponent in the 4-5hrs of play so far, although i played the first 2 levels really tight because the table was 6 handed and going 3/4/5 bet crazy. the table has calmed the reraises down since becoming fullring but i have not witnessed one walk all day so it's still an aggressive table.
anyways the hand...
folds to me i open
from the hijack to 525 @ 100/200/25 from an 18,000 stack
villain 3bets the button very quickly to 1,200 from a 13,000 stack, blinds (two tight agg players playing 25k and 8k) fold and i call
flop comes
we both check, turn
i check again, villain bets 800 into a pot of 2,925. i raise to 2,000 villain calls. river is the
hero bets 3,375, villain shoves for 10,400 hero calls...
felt like i could
a) get the guy to look me up pretty light here with any showdown since i rep nothing and come river every single straight draw missed
b) could get villain to spazz shove since i never have Qx (only houses/quads of which there are very few combo's) and he could very feasibly rep a Q
so, too thin?
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Christopher Brammer
Cottonbud
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Re: too thin?
«
Reply #1 on:
June 30, 2010, 04:04:09 PM »
A fish supper wivva whaaaat?
Just call the turn ffs lol
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action man
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Posts: 10650
Re: too thin?
«
Reply #2 on:
June 30, 2010, 04:05:07 PM »
hero c/c riv
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outragous76
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Yeah Bitch! ......... MAGNETS! owwwh!
Re: too thin?
«
Reply #3 on:
June 30, 2010, 04:06:24 PM »
i think you are looking really well mate, i mean i wouldnt lose any more weight, but def not too thin
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EvilPie
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Re: too thin?
«
Reply #4 on:
June 30, 2010, 04:07:13 PM »
Quote from: action man on June 30, 2010, 04:05:07 PM
hero c/c riv
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Cf
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Re: too thin?
«
Reply #5 on:
June 30, 2010, 04:12:38 PM »
It just about seems ok to me, but I'm not entirely sure he'll be pushing with worse too often on the river. You've c/raised the turn and led the river. Suggests you want to get some money into this pot. If he thinks you're doing this with missed draws then he prob just calls (unless he has air and wants to buy the pot). And I don't reckon you're c/raising a gutshot oop on the turn anyway?
I think i'd be check/calling both turn and river here. Villain sounds like he's a bit spewy so we can get chips off him this way. Trapping him is good but I don't think this is the best spot to do it.
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Free_Rollin
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Re: too thin?
«
Reply #6 on:
June 30, 2010, 04:21:32 PM »
Why are we check raising turn?
Villain's turn bet is very small. Although unlikely, suppose he could have flopped a set or have AQ, which he checked flop for deception/whatever reason villain has.
Villain doesn't raise river with anything he feels he could win the pot with, since like you mentioned, you aren't exactly repping a huge deal yourself. So on river, he's either got a total airball, or Qx/house.
In previous hands, you've taken a passive line against him, which could encourage villain to pull a big bluff against you, such as this hand here. I think if you've bet river with intention of inducing random spaz's from villain then you've got that. Really don't like the turn check raise though. Given previous history and villain's tendancy to donate chips, suppose river is a call?
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GreekStein
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Re: too thin?
«
Reply #7 on:
June 30, 2010, 04:54:57 PM »
hate turn play.
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MC
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Re: too thin?
«
Reply #8 on:
June 30, 2010, 06:35:50 PM »
check/calling turn and river sounds good to me...
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T_Mar
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Re: too thin?
«
Reply #9 on:
June 30, 2010, 06:37:11 PM »
Dont think you're hand is strong enough to bet/call river even if he is spewy... seems like a good spot to check and let him bluff at you imo
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TightEnd
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Re: too thin?
«
Reply #10 on:
June 30, 2010, 06:38:32 PM »
C-c turn and river. Edit MC got there first
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byronkincaid
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Re: too thin?
«
Reply #11 on:
June 30, 2010, 07:04:56 PM »
i don't get b) and if i don't get it, i'm not sure villain gets it. are you saying you wouldn't call the 3 bet with KQ, JQ? from your history you have called both his previous 3 bets and checked down with nothing, so from his POV you can't have air here right, so he must have something
i don't get this, plz explain
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NigDawG
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Re: too thin?
«
Reply #12 on:
June 30, 2010, 07:44:58 PM »
Quote from: byronkincaid on June 30, 2010, 07:04:56 PM
i don't get b) and if i don't get it, i'm not sure villain gets it. are you saying you wouldn't call the 3 bet with KQ, JQ? from your history you have called both his previous 3 bets and checked down with nothing, so from his POV you can't have air here right, so he must have something
i don't get this, plz explain
much more to do with my c/r on the turn unlikely to be Qx (except AQ/Q8/Q4/QQ, altho in all likelihood only ever AQ/QQ because of preflop action). as others have shown, the turn c/r with AT is unconventional so to do it with a Q would be even more strange
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Christopher Brammer
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Go Ducks!
Re: too thin?
«
Reply #13 on:
June 30, 2010, 07:45:04 PM »
Quote from: byronkincaid on June 30, 2010, 07:04:56 PM
i don't get b) and if i don't get it, i'm not sure villain gets it. are you saying you wouldn't call the 3 bet with KQ, JQ? from your history you have called both his previous 3 bets and checked down with nothing, so from his POV you can't have air here right, so he must have something
i don't get this, plz explain
I am assuming OP would never raise the turn with Qx, as he wouldn't turn qx into a bluff in this spot. Instead would call down.
I agree with your point generally though that I think we are giving villian probably a bit too much credit for being good at hand reading. Therefore is probs not thinking on the same level we are.
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byronkincaid
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Re: too thin?
«
Reply #14 on:
June 30, 2010, 07:54:08 PM »
ah, i thought Q came on turn
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