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Acidmouse
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« Reply #15 on: February 18, 2011, 07:14:55 PM » |
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Its fa cup days that usually give the best value in the short ones. All the hype and nonsense about it being a leveller. Stats prove over 15 years (Pullien as usual - i think in his book) that there are no more or fewer shocks than there should be statistically yet teams like ManUtd get pushed out to prices they would be to beat teams 2 or 3 leagues higher than the ones they are actually playing.
unless they are playing York City at home and 20/1 ON and I only have them in my 13 timer to win a huge amount.. |
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Horneris
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« Reply #16 on: February 18, 2011, 07:19:57 PM » |
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lol disagree Acidmouse. Think both managers will want to keep it super tight tomorrow. Think we could be in for a 0-0 at Elland Road for the first time in years.
No bets for me tomorrow, can't be bothered, going to the footy and there is no big value imo.
If i was bothering Hull @ 14/5, Boro @ 14/5 and Huddersfield @ 2/1 are all ok but not good enough.
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Acidmouse
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« Reply #17 on: February 18, 2011, 07:22:17 PM » |
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As long as Bristol win tonight  |
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Longy
Professional Hotel Locator.
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Go Ducks!
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« Reply #18 on: February 18, 2011, 07:54:28 PM » |
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lol disagree Acidmouse. Think both managers will want to keep it super tight tomorrow. Think we could be in for a 0-0 at Elland Road for the first time in years.
Lambert sure knows what keeping tight means! I will be very surprised if we come for the point, just not the way the squad is set up. |
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Matt50
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« Reply #19 on: February 18, 2011, 08:57:56 PM » |
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I will be at Old Trafford supporting my home town team of Crawley!
Just for interest have laid Utd at 1.1 and also backed 1-1 as a correct score.
Looking forward to a great day out, fingers crossed the game is not over by half time.
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Longy
Professional Hotel Locator.
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Posts: 10040
Go Ducks!
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« Reply #20 on: February 18, 2011, 09:41:27 PM » |
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I will be at Old Trafford supporting my home town team of Crawley!
Just for interest have laid Utd at 1.1 and also backed 1-1 as a correct score.
Looking forward to a great day out, fingers crossed the game is not over by half time.
Have a good one. I was at Old Trafford the day Exeter (non league at time) drew there, amazing scenes. |
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Pelham Boy
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« Reply #21 on: February 18, 2011, 09:43:11 PM » |
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As long as Bristol win tonight wiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii Waaaaaaaaaaggggggggggggggggyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy. |
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"The boy Gedge has written some of the best love songs of the Rock 'n' Roll Era. You may dispute this, but I'm right and you're wrong!" John Peel.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #22 on: February 18, 2011, 09:43:55 PM » |
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Get the f in what a strike
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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Nico29
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« Reply #23 on: February 19, 2011, 02:46:49 AM » |
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I like the unders in the palace game. They don't seem to do goals much either way at home. As for sheff utd, steadiyng the ship seems the status quo right now and i'm pretty sure they'd bite yr hands off for a draw.
I've done under 2.25 goals @1.96 and have permed no goalscorer, 1-0 and 2-0 as i have a preference for palace in the game....roll on 1-1!
Another bet i'm pretty keen on is in the man united game under 3.5 goals@evens. Way i see it is plucky crawley will hang on till near half time before united score, another midway in the second half should seal it and then it will be pipe and slippers time.
Like the extra goal cushion this bet gives me too even though i'm half tempted by under 2.5 this will be fine.
Not much else took my eye, was tempted by ipswich at odds against at home to hull, but no bullard due to loan deal tilted it towards no involvement.
Might perm some high score results in the posh game.
Good luck all!
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« Last Edit: February 19, 2011, 06:32:43 AM by Nico29 »
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redarmi
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« Reply #24 on: February 19, 2011, 04:13:45 AM » |
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Think over 2.5 goals at 11/10 or bigger in the Boro game is a gift. Been to the Boro's last two games and since Matthew Bates got injured and Wheater was sold they literally have no defence. Seb Hines in particular is totally lost and his tendency to dive in and not hold his position creates a lot of space behind him that has potentially cost the team 3 of the 5 goals that the team has conceded in 140 or so minutes since Bates went off injured against Palace. On the plus side however the team is starting to come together going forward since Mowbray has come in. Against Swansea last week the game could seiously have ended 7-7 and I think there is the potential for the team to, temporarily at least, become a mini Posh. 20-1 over 5.5 goals on Betfair seems very fair to me and 14.5 any unquoted on BF seems decent too. In other games I agree that 1.11 Man Utd seems a gift and, in response to Keiths points, I would say that that is the price based on them playing a couple of reserves/youth players. If it was at Crawley then they would potentially have an outside (12-13%) chance of getting something out of the game but not here. Incidentally my algorithms make MU to win 3-0 decent value at the 7.2 on Betfair so the 13/2 with Freds/Bluesq really is a decent bet. Should be about a true 11/2 shot and does seem like a decent point for MU to take their foot off the gas a bit. Doubt Fergie etc will want to embarass Crawley. Arsenal are a best 3/10 away at Orient and this is effectively (after taking into consideration home advantage) the same price as Man Utd are. Orient have been scoring a couple of goals recently and if ever a team is going to struggle to get up for a game it is Arsenal here and whilst they should be able to win I wouldn't be surprised to see Orient go in front and possibly even go a few goals up. Maybe a dabble on Orient/Arsenal  -FT at 28/1 and maybe over 3.5 goals at 6/5 or so. Don't dislike 10-1+ On Orient either. |
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boldie
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« Reply #25 on: February 19, 2011, 09:07:47 AM » |
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Assuming Stoke will ring in the changes today I'l have some of Brighton's 11-2 but only for a tenner or so
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Give a man a gun and he can rob a bank, give a man a bank and he can rob the world.
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Matt.NFFC.
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« Reply #26 on: February 19, 2011, 12:30:57 PM » |
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Forest to Draw v Cardiff today
also had correct score 0 - 2 !
Not confident today at all, please prove me wrong Forest.
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doglayer
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« Reply #27 on: February 19, 2011, 02:06:11 PM » |
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Can manutd get bigger than 1.18 given fergie has said he will play a 'similar' team to the one he played against Southampton?
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doglayer
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« Reply #28 on: February 19, 2011, 02:22:59 PM » |
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Acidmouse
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« Reply #29 on: February 19, 2011, 04:02:51 PM » |
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sgrr..howson missed sitter, hit post...just obv they would concede late
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