Should we value bet here?

[zerofive]

Kind of a limpy 50p/£1 live game. New player sits down to my immediate right who I have never seen him before. The first hand he limps and calls flop and turn on before rivering an ace out of an £80 stack. Seems fairly clueless as to where he is in the hand the whole way.

The very next hand he raises £5 utg, I flat with , two callers behind me. Flop is . He cbets £11, I call, the other two fold. Turn is , he checks, I bet £28, he tank calls. the river is the . He checks to me. Should we bet here? At the time I was happy to check without reads, but now I think about it, I'm pretty sure I could value bet. Is that spewy or did I miss out on a chunk?

[boldie]

Meh, much of a muchness..I take him for a 7 here more often than not TBH so might stick a little bet in but don't mind checking

[pleno1]

£18/call

[SuuPRlim]

not 100% sold on bet call, but a value bet for abso-defy-lootley.

[Dubai]

Yeah obv he aint ever raising so bet call is irrelevant but people who limp and match description in op etc dont start check raise bluffing rivers after calling 2 streets, so if he did raise he somehow has us beat

[pleno1]

if he has some kind of heart draw he may jam river if we bet almost half of our turn bet and we also get some a high calls too which is nice

[SuuPRlim]

if he has some kind of heart draw he may jam river if we bet almost half of our turn bet

mmmmmmm maybe leveling urself a bit here

[zerofive]

if he has some kind of heart draw he may jam river if we bet almost half of our turn bet

mmmmmmm maybe leveling urself a bit here

Felt out of line saying this myself. You're thinking about 4 too many levels ahead bitb. I'd imagine him to play any two overs like this as a cbet flop/call turn and hope to get there. Now that I look at this again, this is probably a pretty obvious value bet spot. Defo getting away with a £20-30 bet as well.

[FUN4FRASER]

The way the action has played out Id say value bet 70/30 % in favour but there is a case to just call . Ofc if you do VB the river its a very easy lay down to a RR .

[danny_b]

£38